GBP/USD breaks major pattern

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The 1.3300 mark held, and a decline occurred throughout the week. In general, one event after another has strengthened the US Dollar, which has resulted in a decline of the GBP/USD as low as the 1.3050 level. Meanwhile, it was observed that the pair faced the resistance of the 50-hour simple moving average.

Economic Calendar


This week, the markets could react to the publication of the US Federal Reserve Meting Minutes on Wednesday at 18:00 GMT.

On Thursday, the top event of the week will take place. At 12:30 GMT, the US Consumer Price Index is bound to impact all currency pairs via an adjustment of the value of the US Dollar to the inflation numbers.

On Friday, the US Producer Price Index numbers will reveal how inflation is doing at the producer level. This rate might cause a move, if it deviates a lot from the market forecast. However, due to it being released a day after the consumer inflation, it is unlikely that the PPI numbers create a major market reaction.

GBP/USD hourly chart analysis

An extension of the ongoing decline is expected to look for support in the 1.3050 and 1.3000 levels. If these levels fail, the weekly S1 might act as support at 1.2979.

On the other hand, a potential recovery of the Pound against the US Dollar would have to break the combination of the 1.3100 mark and the 50-hour simple moving average. Higher above, the 1.3150 zone might act as resistance, before the rate is reached by the 100-hour simple moving average. If these levels fail, note the weekly simple pivot point at 1.3201 and the 1.3200 level.

Hourly Chart

GBP/USD daily candle chart analysis

The GBP/USD has broken the channel up pattern and plummeted to the 50-day simple moving average and the support range near 1.3100. The drop occurred due to the publication of the US employment data.

Due to this reason, it is no longer expected that the rate could soon approach the 1.3600 mark. It is more likely that the GBP/USD will look for support in the 1.3000 mark and the ascending 100-day simple moving average.

Daily chart


Most traders remain short
On Monday, trader open position volume showed that 68% of trader open positions were short.

Meanwhile, pending orders 100-points around the rate were 65% to buy.

On Wednesday, traders were 57% short, but pending orders were 56% to sell.

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