Gold reaches above 1,940.00

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
First of all note that the price encountered resistance at the 1,939.00 level and the 100-hour simple moving average. The event was followed by a retracement to the 1,920.00 level, which acted as support and caused a surge that at mid-day on Thursday reached above the 1,941.00 mark.

In addition, the recent confirmation of the 1,920.00 level provided a reference point for drawing patterns. Namely, it was spotted that the recovery of the commodity has occurred in a channel up pattern.

Economic Calendar Analysis



The top event of the week will occur on Friday, as at 13:30 GMT the US Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change and Unemployment Rate are set to be published.

The week's events are scheduled to end at 15:00 GMT with the publication of the US Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index survey results.

Click on the link below to find out more about data releases of this and other currency exchange rates.

XAU/USD short-term forecast

If the price for gold continues to surge in the channel up pattern, the pair might soon test the 1,950.00 mark and afterwards reach the late March high level at 1,966.50.

On the other hand, a potential decline of the yellow metal might look for support in the 1,940.00 level and the 100 and 200-hour simple moving averages near 1,930.00, before approaching the lower trend line of the channel up pattern.

Hourly Chart

XAU/USD daily charts review

On the daily candle chart, the metal's price has been reached by the 50-day simple moving average near the 1,896.00 level. Further below, take into account the 100-day SMA near 1,855.00 and the 200-day SMA near 1,820.00.

Daily Candle Chart


Traders are almost neutral

On Thursday, the sentiment on the Swiss Foreign Exchange was 52% bullish, as 52% of open position volume was in long positions.

Meanwhile, in the 1000-pip range around the metal's price, pending trade orders were 59% to buy the precious metal.

On Wednesday, the open positions were 53% long and pending orders were 63% to sell.

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