Trade Pattern-Ideas

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Tue, 23 Jul 2013 07:00:05 GMT

CAD/JPY 1H Chart: Channel Up

Before forming the channel up on an hourly chart the currency pair was at risk of breaching the 200-hour SMA, which would imply a bearish outlook. However, the simple moving average withstood the downward pressure, allowing the Canadian Dollar to gradually appreciate during the last 170 hours.Just recently CAD/JPY has touched upon the rising support line at 95.95, where the

Tue, 23 Jul 2013 06:49:05 GMT

GBP/AUD 1H Chart: Triangle

For more than 300 hours already GBP/AUD has been gradually reducing the trading range, being contained by two converging trend-lines.The upper one is currently creating the resistance at 1.6666, which is also reinforced by the daily R1 level. On the other side the currency pair is underpinned by the up-trend line at 1.6543, which in turn is strengthened by the

Mon, 22 Jul 2013 14:12:49 GMT

USD/CAD 4H Chart: Channel Up

A 256-long channel up pattern was formed by USD/CAD on May 9, when the pair surged from a level close to parity, currently represented by Fibonacci Retracement. At the moment of writing the pair was hovering around the 200-day SMA, which stands at 1.0385. According to technical indicators, the pair is likely to reach the support line in the shorter

Mon, 22 Jul 2013 14:12:12 GMT

EUR/USD 4H Chart: Ascending Triangle

The most traded currency pair has formed an ascending triangle pattern on the 4H chart on July 9. At the moment of writing, the pair traded at 1.3185, level which is very close to pattern's resistance line. Even though the market sentiment is not clearly market, the pair is most likely to head to the north, as aggregate technical indicators

Mon, 22 Jul 2013 14:00:48 GMT

NZD/USD 1H Chart: Rising Wedge

Rising Wedge pattern in the kiwi-greenback cross has been narrowing it's trading area by 60 pips in the 100 bar period. It is worth pointing out that trading volume has decreased significantly lately and taking in to the account that the pair is trading on the pattern's support we could suspect that either bulls or the bears are preparing for

Mon, 22 Jul 2013 14:00:34 GMT

CAD/CHF 1H Chart: Channel Down

Aside the recent recovery (24th of June till 10th of July) the loonie-franc cross has been depreciating since the middle of May. And we can see the pair moving along the pattern's resistance, but not breaching it, since the 18th of July. Short and medium term technicals do not give any indications that pair could do significant moves soon, but

Mon, 22 Jul 2013 12:10:38 GMT

EUR/CAD 1D Chart: Rising Wedge

Euro-loonie cross has formed a Rising Wedge pattern whose trading area is narrowing by 250 pips in 100-bar period. Although usually Wedge type pattern's have decreasing trading volume in the length of the pattern we have a completely different situation here. Combined with the recent increase in volatility it suggests that we could expect significant moves. Regarding technical levels it

Mon, 22 Jul 2013 06:36:16 GMT

HKD/JPY 1H Chart: Channel Up

HKD/JPY has been in an up-trend since Jun 13, consistently recovering from the low of 12.6724. However, 10 days ago the currency pair encountered the resistance at 13.0953, evoking a bearish correction, which is currently being slowly negated.In the short term we may expect more bearish pressure, namely on the nearest supports at 12.8905, the 200-hour SMA, and 12.8111, the

Mon, 22 Jul 2013 06:36:08 GMT

EUR/TRY 1H Chart: Channel Up

Even though both trend-lines were respected by the market only on several occasions throughout the last 225 trading hours, there is a high possibility they are going to play a notable role in forming the price chart in the future. A rebound from 2.5165 and a subsequent close beyond the 200-hour SMA at 2.5280 should confirm this hypothesis.Conversely, if the

Mon, 22 Jul 2013 06:36:00 GMT

CAD/CHF 1H Chart: Channel Down

For the past 140 hours CAD/CHF has been trading in a 130-pip wide corridor that is sloped down. Right now the currency pair is facing the resistance at 0.9085, formed by a number of studies, including the daily pivot point level and the down-trend resistance line. Overhead there should be even more supply at 0.9107 (daily R1 and 200-hour SMA)

Mon, 22 Jul 2013 06:35:52 GMT

AUD/SGD 1H Chart: Channel Down

AUD/SGD has been trading in a channel down for 240 hours and it is currently at the upper edge of the pattern, if we look at the long-term perspective. This means that the set-up is bearish, especially considering the daily technical indicators, which are largely giving ‘sell' signals. In the short run, however, the currency pair is held by the

Fri, 19 Jul 2013 14:51:22 GMT

USD/SEK 1H Chart: Channel Down

As soon as USD/SEK fell beneath the long-term simple moving average (for 200 hours), the outlook turned negative. This bearish potential is currently being realised in the form of a high-quality channel down pattern. Both trend-lines were consistently respected by the market and should thus continue playing important role in shaping the path of the price in the future, which

Fri, 19 Jul 2013 14:51:13 GMT

EUR/JPY 1H Chart: Channel Up

EUR/JPY is not wasting time trading sideways, but is quickly rising. This is why the currency pair formed a channel up pattern, which creates the support at 131.43 and at the same time the resistance at 132.32. Judging from this set-up, also considering the signals provided by the technical indicators on 4H and daily charts, the Euro should continue winning

Fri, 19 Jul 2013 14:51:05 GMT

AUD/SGD 4H Chart: Channel Down

Even with the recent increase in the volatility the pair has been trading in the dram of the Channel Down pattern rather well.  Increase in volatility also increases the probability of the momentum gains which becomes important due to the fact that pair is currently trading at the pattern's resistance and at the last few bars of predicted pattern length

Fri, 19 Jul 2013 14:50:55 GMT

AUD/USD 4H Chart: Double Bottom

AUD/USD has been rather volatile lately, but relatively well shaped Double Bottom pattern managed to emerge. To be on the fair side there might be some questions about where the fist bottom should be, but that ahs little impact on overall analysis. Due to the volatility in trading pair has a magnitude (of movements) rating well above the average suggesting

Fri, 19 Jul 2013 06:55:25 GMT

GBP/USD 1H Chart: Rising Wedge

GBP/USD currency pair has been respecting a Fibonacci retracement since January, when it peaked at 1.6390. Currently the pair is trading at 1.5220, only about 40 pips above on of the retracement levels. As the majority of technical indicators are sending "buy" signals, the pair is likely to head to the north to reach the next Fibonacci level at

Fri, 19 Jul 2013 06:54:32 GMT

CAD/HKD 1H Chart: Triangle

A 212-bar long triangle was formed on the July 5, when the pair soared from 7.31, currently represented by a Fibonacci retracement. Despite the fact that the pair is changing hands at the level around the resistance line, and usually it will be a "sell" signal, the pair is widely expected to penetrate the level of 7.4831. This idea is

Fri, 19 Jul 2013 06:00:55 GMT

NZD/USD 1H Chart: Channel Up

After struggling at 0.77 for about half a month NZD/USD has finally commenced a rally that in turn already surpassed the 200-hour SMA.At the moment the currency pair is underpinned by 0.7890, created by the daily pivot point, four-hour S1 and up-trend line. Nonetheless, the technical signals are giving only weak ‘buy' signals. Moreover, the share of bullish towards the

Fri, 19 Jul 2013 06:00:47 GMT

EUR/AUD 1H Chart: Rising Wedge

EUR/AUD has been in an up-trend since the beginning of April, recovering from a low of 1.22. However, about 360 hours ago the Euro started to lose its pace of appreciation. This resulted in the currency pair fluctuating within two rising trend-lines, though converging.Right now EUR/AUD is in the proximity of the lower pattern's boundary, meaning that in the near

Thu, 18 Jul 2013 14:09:44 GMT

CHF/SGD 1H Chart: Rising Wedge

During the last 8 days we were observing an appreciation of the Swiss Franc versus the Singapore currency. Even though the pair has been retesting the support line at the moment of writing, aggregate technical indicators are sending "buy" signals at 1H and 4H charts, suggesting the pair will bounce back from current level. However, in a longer term the

Thu, 18 Jul 2013 14:09:20 GMT

USD/JPY 4H Chart: Channel Down

A 301-bar long Channel Down pattern was formed by USD/JPY on April 30, however, the pair is moving to its apex. Usually, trading around the resistance line would be interpreted as a "sell" signal, however, in this case an upside breakout is expected. This idea is supported by aggregate technical indicators on 1D and 1W charts. The penetration of upper

Thu, 18 Jul 2013 13:25:45 GMT

CAD/HKD 4H Chart: Channel Down

Pair has been slowly depreciating for the past few months.  However, after a recent bounce from the pattern's support we should continue to see a bullish correction towards the pattern's resistance.  Overall trend, as suggested by the long term technicals should remain bearish. It might be that recent choppy sessions might be caused by Fibonacci retracements however dues to the

Thu, 18 Jul 2013 13:25:31 GMT

AUD/CAD 4H Chart: Triangle

Pair has been gradually narrowing its trading range since the beginning of June and formed a Triangle pattern. There is only 50 bars (20%of total pattern's length) left till the pattern's apex, which is at 0.9568 on 30th of July, 16:00 GMT., thus we could expect significant movements in the nearest term. Important is the fact that recently there was

Thu, 18 Jul 2013 07:25:21 GMT

CHF/JPY 1H Chart: Channel Up

After bottoming out at 103.12, the currency pair started to exhibit bullish sentiments and since then has covered more than 300 pips.  The resistance CHF/JPY is presently facing at 106.30 is the daily R1, but this should eventually give way for a rally to the upper edge of the channel up to 106.82, the current level of the daily R2

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