A rising wedge pattern with average percentage of quality and magnitude was formed by USD/JPY on July 19. Even though the pair has performed a false downside breakout, it has moved back in pattern's boundaries, as this move was market's reaction on fundamental data. At the moment of writing, the pair was trading at 98.205– just 25 pips above the
During the last two days, USD/RUB was appreciating, exceeding important resistance levels at its long and short-term SMAs that now act as support regions. Currently, the pair came close but did not quite approach its 50-hour SMA at 33.2148. If the pair slips through this level, it will slide to its 200-hour SMA at 33.1017 and, if breached, USD/RUB would
A rise above the 200-hour SMA on August 13 gave USD/ZAR an impulse to rally to more than a five-year high of 10.5109 touched on August 28. However, the pair came off this high to plunge to the pattern's support that stopped a drop and sent the currency couple near its 50-hour SMA, the level close to which the pair
After being traded below its 200-bar SMA and above its 50-bar SMA, CAD/JPY lost momentum and dropped under its 50-bar SMA that transformed into a strong resistance preventing upward moves of the currency couple. Now the pair is vacillating above its daily S1 at 92.87 that, if overcome, will trigger a sharp decline to the next support zone at 92.46.
Having surpassed its 200-hour SMA, USD/NOK was trading in a narrow corridor formed by two upward-sloping lines. The pair jumped above its 50-hour SMA on Wednesday to trade near the level of 6.0684 (daily PP). In the short-term, the currency couple may decline, as 57.14% of market players hold short positions in the pair. If traders' expectations materialize, the pair
After peaking at 1.16 on August 25, AUD/NZD has been moving in boundaries of the descending triangle, however the patter is likely to be completed soon. First, both trend lines will converge on August 30, while yesterday's breakout and the recent throwback are supporting the case of an upcoming apex. However, aggregate technical indicators do not give a clear
The Aussie is losing ground against another major and this time it is the Swiss Franc, and most likely the tendency will persist for some time. Even though on August 15 and 19 there has been two attempts to perform the upside breakout, the pair bounced back after touching the 200-bar SMA. As bulls were unsuccessful and the pair resume
Pair seems to be heading downwards after a rally from the 7th to 19th of August. On the other hand, pair has been depreciating since the beginning of August and Channel Down pattern at hand should be seen more as a continuation of this trend. Short term technicals point at further appreciation of the pair which seems are very likely
Pair has been holding a noticeable bullish trend since the beginning of April. This trend has manifested in to the form of Rising Wedge pattern which started on the beginning of July. It is worth pointing out that there are another three rising wedge pattern's in the area of this pattern. However their quality and magnitude ratings are much lower
Having reached a pattern's upper trend-line, the pair changed its direction to the north. A stab to the lower boundary of the channel down pattern prevented the pair from a further decline that may have taken the pair well below the current level.Now AUD/JPY is moving towards its daily R1 at 87.82 that, if overcome, may trigger tests of daily
EUR/NOK was strong enough to advance after a sharp decline under its long-term SMA, a drop under which sent the currency couple to an one-month low of 7.7784 on August 13. A sharp rise was observable after this short-term weakness, with EUR/NOK skyrocketing to a 33-month high on August 22. However, a bounce above this level failed, making the
For more than a month, 200-bar SMA was blocking any upside movements of USD/SEK, forcing the pair to retreat every time it attempted to approach this psychological level. It seems unlikely for the pair to overcome its 200-bar SMA at 6.5284 in the days to come, and USD/SEK may continue to swing not far away from 6.4722 (daily S1). If
GBP/USD gained inspiration after crossing its 200-bar SMA on July 22, the level which it was unable to surpass for almost a month. The rise triggered a short-term rally of the pair that failed to remain above its 200-bar SMA after breaking it for the first time in a month but managed to better this zone after a short pause
Pair has been in a noticeable uptrend since July, 2011. Usually it was a substantial one month long rally followed by a consolidation period of two to 3 months. This pattern captures one of these rally periods and it is worth pointing out that shows a much greater slope than in most of the other mentioned cases. We are seeing
Pair has noticeably narrowed it's trading range—from 67 pips in the beginning of the pattern to 12 pips recently. In addition pair is trading in the last one fifth of the pattern's length which in itself already speaks about the increased probability of a breakout. Add a very high magnitude (of moves) rating of the pattern and we have a
After reaching 9.969 on August 7, USD/ZAR began a rally and until the moment of writing the pair has been appreciating. However, it seems that bulls will experience some difficulties around 10.513– more than a 5-year high, however, in case of penetration of this level, the pair is likely to head towards 1.643– pattern's resistance. Meanwhile, 74% of all opened
After receiving a strong bullish impulse in April, GBP/AUD has been only appreciating and is now approaching a three-year high. While technical indicators on three different timeframes are pointing at further appreciation of the pair, the majority of traders are opening short positions, considering the pair as an overbought already. Additionally, Mark Carney's comments and pledge to keep borrowing costs
The pair managed to bounce off its 200-bar SMA twice between June 20 and August 28. Over this period, the pair neither dropped below the lower line of the pattern of 1.4711 nor surpassed the upper-boundary of 1.5414. At the moment, EUR/AUD is faltering near the mark of 1.4940 (daily PP), and a decline beneath this level may create a
Having received an impulse for a rally after crossing its 200-hour SMA, USD/HKD was following an upward trend until it topped a three-week high. The pair retreated from this mark to the pattern's support, and now the level of 7.7563 (pattern's support) prevents USD/HKD from a further decline towards the support zone sitting at 7.7558/7 (four-hour S2 and daily
The 200-hour SMA represented a strong support level for GBP/CAD throughout three weeks ended August 21 when the pair failed to sustain its upward trend and dropped below its 200-hour SMA, the level close to which GBP/CAD was vacillating during the last nine hours. Currently, the currency couple is swinging slightly below 1.6301 (200-hour SMA) but a deeper
Gold was trading above its 200-hour SMA after surpassing this level on August 8. Last Thursday, XAU/USD started to form a rising wedge pattern and now is moving closer to the convergence of the pattern's trend-lines, implying that a bearish reversal is possible. At the moment, the precious metal is struggling at the four-hour pivot point at 1416.94 that, if
Greenback seems to be gaining against most of its counterparts, both in the short and longer terms. No different is the cross with the South African rand. Pair has already appreciated 2600 pips since the recent bounce from the pattern's support and 6900 pips since the pattern's beginning on the 7th of August. Pair was somewhat range bound (9.6—10.4) before
Pair seems to be heading to test 3 year low at 0.885 once more. Recent attempt took place in the beginning of august. Then pair appreciated 360 pips in the course of 120 hours. It is not clear if such scenario wont repeat itself this time as well since short term technicals give unanimous bearish signal, but medium and long
Another rectangle was formed by EUR/PLN on August 9 and the picture here is not so clear. The pair seems to be overbought already, as Stochastic moved above the benchmark level, which indicates strong bullish sentiment. The pair is rapidly approaching the resistance line, however, current market sentiment, which is bearish, is raising concern the upper trend line will be