EUR/RUB 4H Chart: Rate approaches junior channel

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Indicator 1D 1W 1MN
MACD (12; 26; 9) Sell Buy Buy
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Stochastic (5; 3) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Sell Buy Buy
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Buy Sell Buy
Aggregate

The Euro strengthened significantly against the Russian Ruble mid-April. The pair surged unexpectedly 12.80% within four days, thus shooting past the upper boundary of a two-year channel near 78.00. This move proved to be a false breakout, as the pair returned within this channel and began easing its strong bullish momentum. 

As apparent on the chart, the Euro is gradually approaching the bottom boundary of a shorter-term channel formed in December, 2016. Given that the pair is located below the 55-, 100– and 200-period SMA, its is likely that the current bearish momentum continues until this junior channel and the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement are reached near 71.65 this month. 

At the time, technical indicators on the daily time-frame would be located in the oversold territory, thus pointing to a reversal and subsequent surge in price.

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