SGD/JPY 1H Chart: Two scenarios likely

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

Indicator 4H 1D 1W
MACD (12; 26; 9) Buy Sell Sell
RSI (14) Neutral Neutral Neutral
Stochastic (5; 3) Neutral Sell Buy
Alligator (13; 8; 5) Buy Sell Sell
SAR (0.02; 0.2) Buy Buy Sell
Aggregate

The SGD/JPY currency pair reversed north from the lower boundary of the long-term descending channel located circa 79.00 at the beginning of January.  

From a theoretical point of view, it is expected that the exchange rate targets the upper channel line located circa 83.15. 

However, technical indicators for the short run suggest bearish scenario. Also, given that the pair is being pressured by the 55-period SMA (4H), it is likely that the rate re-tests the lower channel line. 

If given channel does not hold, a breakout south occurs within following trading sessions. Potential downside target is the Fibonacci 23.60% retracement at 77.38.

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