USD/JPY gravitates towards 50% Fibo

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"The dollar may not be able to defend its number one spot if the economic outlook turns negative, handing its top safe-haven place to the yen." 
- State Street Global Markets (based on Reuters) 


Pair's Outlook
Investors sold the American Dollar on Monday, due to uncertainty emitting from the US political debates that day. As a result, the USD/JPY currency pair crossed the nearest demand area, represented by the monthly S1 and the 50% Fibo. However, a significant drop lower would still be an achievement, as it would imply a full-scale breach of the 100.00 psychological level. In turn, the 100.00 mark is reinforced by the weekly S1 and the Bollinger band, also indicating that a fall deeper down is highly improbable today. The base case scenario is a rally, but it is uncertain whether the Buck will be able to climb over the 100.75 level, with technical indicators unable to confirm the bullish scenario.  

Traders' Sentiment 
Today 64% of traders are long the US Dollar (previously 63%), whereas 61% of all pending orders are to buy the Buck (down from 63%).
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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