EUR/USD fails to close below 200-day SMA

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"The fact that, even in this context, the Fed is still talking about tightening is pretty dramatic. The monetary policy divergence trade is still very much intact."
- IronFX (based on MarketWatch)

Pair's Outlook

EUR/USD tried to depreciate on Friday as bearish target levels were represented by recent lows around 1.11. However, negative momentum was exhausted by the end of the trading session and the pair bounced back to close above the 200-day SMA at 1.1192. Additional attempts to consolidate below 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the Jul-Aug uptrend and 100/55-day SMAs are likely to take place soon. A failure here may trigger extra losses down to 1.1087 (Sep 3 low) and 1.1017 (Aug 18-19 lows) afterwards.

Traders' Sentiment

The share of bulls on the market decreased from 54% to 53% over the weekend. In the meantime, the portion of long pending orders in 100-pip range from the spot remains in red at just 39% (36% on Friday).

© Dukascopy Bank SA

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