The currency that is definitely worth paying attention to, is the kiwi. The New Zealand Dollar fell to 0.8135 against the greenback on Friday, amid concerns the RBNZ will pull the trigger, as policymakers are seeking for a weaker currency. Moreover, NZD/USD has penetrated a strong support at 0.8182 and is not trading in rectangle's boundaries. Usually, rectangles are formed in a period of consolidation, when the pair stops before resuming following the trend. In this particular case, the trend changed, and the fact that 72.53% of opened positions are short, is reflecting bearish strength, hence, a movement to 0.8102 and then, possibly, to 0.8034 can be expected. Moreover, the pair is likely to be highly volatile this week, as together with a bunch of data with high importance from the United States, New Zealand statistical offices would publish trade balance and business confidence. While fundamental data from the world's largest economy, can have a significant impact on markets, as they can play decisive role for the Fed, statistics from New Zealand would indicate whether the RBNZ would intervene markets or rely on previous rate cuts.
While exotic currencies are posing great opportunities for investors, the most traded currency pair is recovering from its early losses. On Friday, the single currency was lifted by better-then-expected data from Germany, and even despite weak third quarter GDP data, indicators are drawing bright prospects for Europe's powerhouse. Amid a lack of fundamental data from Europe, the pair is likely to fluctuate around 1.35 in the first half of the week, however, on Friday Eurostat will unveil region's inflation and unemployment rate. The situation in the labour market is unlikely to improve, while CPI is expected to inch slightly higher, suggesting the Euro will appreciate. In this case, a retest of recent high at 1.3578 and then a move toward 1.36 could be expected. However, at the moment of writing, neither market sentiment, nor pending orders were pointing at some significant movements of the pair.