Overview of the previous week, this week's key events

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The Swiss National Bank's cap on the nation's currency still remains a key policy instrument, that is not likely to be removed anytime soon, the SNB board member Fritz Zurbruegg said Tuesday. Despite some positive signs from domestic economy, risks for the recovery remain high, especially from the neighbouring Eurozone, which is in the recession for 18 months already. Without the cap, further uncertainty can lead to a much bigger jump in Swiss Franc's value against the Euro, adding more pressure on the policy makers. Therefore, the SNB is still considering the cap as a vital tool, which can prevent the country from falling into recession. In its quarterly report the SNB showed the economy experienced a temporary revival in the beginning of this year, expanding by 2.3% in the first quarter. While domestic sentiment, private consumer spending and construction investment registered a positive trend, signals from abroad remained weak, the Swiss National Bank said in its quarterly bulletin. Even though foreign trade contributed to growth substantially, it was only due to a marked decrease in imports, while equipment investment declined as well. Amid speculations the economy is facing certain risks and the recovery may be limited, the Swiss Franc lost its ground versus the U.S. Dollar and the Euro, falling 0.9% and 0.2% respectively.

Also last week the European Central Bank's President Mario Draghi said they are ready to take fresh actions if needed, however, governments across the region should implement more structural reforms as money from the ECB cannot create real economic growth. He also assured that the ECB's monetary policy will remain accommodative for the foreseeable future. His remarks came as investors all over the world felt anxious after the Fed's Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the U.S. central bank is considering winding up its massive stimulus programme later this year. Moreover, Draghi defended the bond-buying programme, known as the Outright Monetary Transaction, which already helped to stabilize the shared currency and made the Eurozone a more resilient place for investments than one year ago. Nevertheless, these comments proved that not only a financial and debt crisis is weighing on the performance of the 17-nation economy, but also external political disputes. The shared currency depreciated 0.75% against the greenback during the last week, on Draghi's comments. 

On Thursday July 4, the official data will show the Eurozone GDP data, as well the ECB's monetary policy meeting is scheduled at the same day. The economy is expected to contract 0.2% in the second quarter, falling deeper into recession. Even though analysts' do not expect another rate cut, further measures are needed as the Eurozone economy is now in its longest recession since the creation of single currency in 1999. 

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