USD/JPY bounced off 101.23/00

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"The last few times the dollar fell below the 200-day moving average, its stints have been brief. For now the dollar looks to have hit a technical bottom, but a downward bias will be formed if it closes the next one or two sessions below the moving average ."
- a trader at a Japanese bank (based on CNBC)


Pair's Outlook

While the 200-day SMA has already been breached, which is generally reckoned to be a bearish sign, some of the strongest demand areas remain intact. Consequently, unless a cluster of supports at 101.23/00 is broken, there will still be a high probability of a robust long-term rally. But for the bullish intentions to be confirmed USD/JPY needs to rise above a dense supply zone at 102.26/16, and it does not seem to be an easy task.

Traders' Sentiment

At the moment nearly three out of four (74%) SWFX market participants are convinced that USD/JPY bottomed out and is set to surge. The buy (64%) and sell (36%) orders also imply a rally due to the potential increase in the buying pressure.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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