EUR/USD closes in on 1.39

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"If the German price data fails to show any improvement, this would immediately raise expectations for an ECB easing as soon as May 8, and hurt the euro."
- BNP Paribas (based on CNBC)


Pair's Outlook

As suspected, EUR/USD did move north, and it is already supposed to feel the pressure coming from the long-term down-trend resistance. This is evidenced by a change in the technical indicators, which have become mixed on the daily time-frame. And while the downside risks increase with every new pip, we cannot completely rule out a breach of 1.39, which would most likely mean the Euro heading to the 2011 highs at 1.42.

Traders' Sentiment

The selling pressure intensified and the sentiment towards EUR/USD notably deteriorated. The share of short positions grew from 65% up to 69%. Similarly, the number of sell orders also increased 50 pips near the spot—from 54% to 65%.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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