USD/JPY closes below 55-day SMA

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
© Dukascopy Bank SA
"If you look at the spread between Japanese and U.S. bond yields, then the current level looks more reasonable than 95 yen to the dollar, which would only make sense if the yield on U.S. Treasuries was 2.5 percent."
- Brown Brothers Harriman (based on CNBC)

Pair's Outlook

Correction in USD/JPY drags on and has already resulted in the 55-day SMA being eroded. Currently the pair is probing 92.93/81, but it appears that bulls need considerably more time to fully regain control of the price and recommence pushing it higher. First such possibility could be realised at 92.23/10, although the downside risk remains considerable and a deeper dip is likely to occur before we see a robust recovery.

Traders' Sentiment
While traders' perception of the Pound is changing at the moment, there are no significant shifts observed in market's attitude towards the Japanese Yen, 72% of positions are bets that the Asia currency is going to depreciate. In the meantime, 61% of all orders on the pair are to buy the U.S. Dollar.
© Dukascopy Bank SA

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