EUR/USD recovers before Fed rate

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA


Today, all attention will be on the US Federal Reserve Rate announcement at 18:00 GMT. The event is going to set the base rate on the USD. A hike is expected to increase the USD demand and value, but no hike would decrease it. Prior to the event, the EUR/USD retraced back up and broke two resistance levels. It could be assumed that the short position holders were taking profits prior to the event.

In the case of a surge of the EUR/USD, note the resistance of the 1.1100 mark and the 100-hour simple moving average. Higher above, the 1.1150 level, the weekly simple pivot point at 1.1169 and the 200-hour SMA might act as resistance.

On the other hand, a decline of the Euro against the US Dollar might find support in the 50-hour SMA, the weekly S1 simple pivot point at 1.1063 and the 1.1050 mark, before approaching the weekly S2 and the 1.1000 mark.

However, fundamentals and especially Fed rate hike are above all technicals.

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