Análisis fundamental

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Tue, 29 Oct 2024 15:22:45 GMT

US Job Openings conflict with Consumer Confidence

At 14:00 GMT, two data sets were released that conflict with one another. The US JOLTS Job Openings disappointed, but the CB Consumer Confidence surprised the markets. However, it appears that JOLTS rule the market, as the US Dollar dropped on the announcement. Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) revealed that there are 7.44 million jobs available in

Mon, 28 Oct 2024 10:52:54 GMT

Oil prices drop on Monday

Crude oil price benchmarks started the week by dropping more than 6.00%. By 09:00 GMT, US Crude Oil Price was down by 6.34%, UK Brent Oil was down 6.02%. The decline was attributed to the limited Israeli attack on Iran. The markets appear to have expected an escalation and surge in oil prices.

Fri, 25 Oct 2024 13:02:02 GMT

Canadian Retail Sales impact CAD

The publication of the Canadian Retail Sales data has caused an increase of volatility for the Canadian currency. The Canadian Dollar spiked up, before starting a decline. Market consensus forecast for the Canadian Retail Sales was that the sales would have increased by 0.5%, but actual released numbers showed growth of 0.4%. Meanwhile, the Core Retail Sales, that exclude

Wed, 23 Oct 2024 14:23:52 GMT

Bank of Canada cuts interest rates

The Bank of Canada has cut its base interest rate from 4.25% down to 3.75%. The central banker decision was already expected by the markets, as it was known beforehand to the public that a cut was incoming. Due to this reason, the market reaction was muted, as the USD/CAD moved just 20 base points in the 30 minutes

Fri, 18 Oct 2024 13:55:08 GMT

UK Retail Sales differ from forecasts

The market consensus forecast for the UK Retail Sales was that the sales would show a decline of -0.4% on a month-on-month basis. However, analysts were surprised that the data revealed an increase of 0.3%. The news caused a surge of the Pound against peer currencies. During the surge, the GBP/USD currency pair jumped 47 base points, or 0.36%.

Thu, 17 Oct 2024 17:50:44 GMT

US Retail Sales are surging

The US Dollar has surged due to the publication of the US Retail Sales data for September. In general, sales have grown more than expected, which caused a surge of the Dollar index. Month-on-month retail sales have increased by 0.4% instead of forecast 0.3%. Meanwhile, the Core Retail Sales that exclude auto sales have grown by a staggering 0.5% instead

Thu, 17 Oct 2024 17:45:16 GMT

ECB cuts rates as expected

On the 17th of October, the European Central Bank has decided to cut its Main Refinancing Rate, which is the base rate for all Euro debt. The rate has been reduced from 3.65% to 3.40%, as expected by market analysts. The bank has been cutting rates, as most recent inflation data indicates that Euro Zone inflation has returned to the

Wed, 16 Oct 2024 13:41:15 GMT

UK inflation is lower than expected

On Wednesday morning, at 06:00 GMT, the UK CPI was published. In general, inflation in the UK is a lot lower than expected. Monthly inflation measured year-on-year is just 1.7% instead of the expected 1.9%. Moreover, it is a decline from 2.2% in the prior month.

Fri, 11 Oct 2024 13:03:23 GMT

US PPI causes volatility

The publication of the US Producer Price Index has caused a minor increase in volatility. In general, the PPI showed a reading of 0.00% instead of 0.1%, which caused a minor dip of the US Dollar. In the meantime, the US Core Producer Price Index hit the market forecast reading of an increase of 0.2%.

Thu, 10 Oct 2024 12:38:02 GMT

US inflation is above expectations

The monthly US Consumer Price Index data has revealed that inflation in the USA is higher than expected. Dollar is trading with increased volatility. US CPI grew by 0.2% instead of 0.1%. Core CPI increased 0.3% not 0.2%. Annual inflation is 2.4% instead of expected 2.3%.

Fri, 04 Oct 2024 12:33:15 GMT

Good US employment data moves markets

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics has published the monthly employment statistics. In general, the data is a lot better than expected. The US Dollar index is reacting to the news by immediately spiking up more than 60 base points. The data release consists of three notable elements. Firstly, the Average Hourly Earnings Change that shows the monthly increase

Thu, 03 Oct 2024 14:15:02 GMT

ISM Services PMI boosts USD

The publication of the US Institute for Supply Management has published the Services sector Purchasing Managers Index survey results. In general, the sector is very optimistic, which is strengthening the value of the US Dollar. The survey results were expected to show a reading of 51.7 points, instead of the 54.9 points. The lot higher reading indicates that the sector

Tue, 01 Oct 2024 14:09:39 GMT

US surveys show mixed picture

At 14:00 GMT, the markets reacted to two US data survey results, the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the JOLTS Job Openings. The Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing sector Purchasing Manager's Index was forecast to show a reading of 47.6, but actual data was a bit more pessimistic. The published survey results showed a reading of 47.2. The US Bureau of

Fri, 27 Sep 2024 12:59:20 GMT

US consumer inflation is below expected

The US Dollar is declining and with it, boosting asset prices, as Personal Consumption Expenditure Index has revealed that consumer inflation in the USA is below forecast. This in turn signals that the Federal Reserve can continue to ease its monetary policy. The index was expected to increase by 0.2% on a month-to-month basis, but the actual increase is just

Thu, 26 Sep 2024 08:31:05 GMT

SNB cuts interest rate

The Swiss National Bank has reduced its Policy Rate from 1.25% down to 1.00%. The rate cut was expected. Due to this reason, the Swiss Franc did not lose value. Moreover, algorithmic traders sold off the rate after the announcement. However, an hour after the rate reveal, the rate returned to trade near 0.8500.

Tue, 24 Sep 2024 16:37:08 GMT

CB Consumer Confidence causes minor move

The publication of the US Consumer Board Consumer Confidence index has caused a minor market reaction, despite the survey results showing a bleak picture. The survey results were forecast to show a positive future outlook with a reading of 103.9. However, actual survey results showed a reading of 98.7. The US Dollar index reacted to the news by declining just 28

Mon, 23 Sep 2024 16:36:27 GMT

Euro reacts to bad PMIs

During the morning hours of Monday, S&P Global published one by one the results of the Manufacturing and Services sector Purchasing Managers Indices for European Union countries. In general, the survey results are worse than the markets expected. The gradual data releases caused a 76 point or -0.68% decline of the Euro against the US Dollar. French Flash Manufacturing PMI

Fri, 20 Sep 2024 04:20:45 GMT

BoJ sees growing consumption

The Bank of Japan has kept its Policy Rate at 0.25%. Meanwhile, the central bankers have published their Monetary Policy Statement. In general, the bank has revealed that it has observed a moderate increase in consumption. The increasing consumption might eventually cause rising prices, which would then devalue the Yen. In this case scenario, the central bank would have to

Thu, 19 Sep 2024 16:03:43 GMT

Bank of England keeps rates intact

At 11:00 GMT, Bank of England in its Monetary Policy Committee has decided to keep interest rates unchanged. GBP is reacting to the upside. Also, the Committee voted to reduce government bond purchases, reducing purchases by 100 billion pounds over the next 12-month period. As forecasted, official Bank rate of GBP has not changed. It remains at 5 .00%. Predictable

Thu, 19 Sep 2024 05:13:38 GMT

Fed cuts rates more than expected

The United States Federal Reserve has cut interest rates more than the markets expected. The Fed has cut 0.50% instead of 0.25%. The larger than expected USD rate cut initially caused a USD decline, as the demand for USD to pay off loans is set to decrease. Afterwards, the Dollar recovered as soon as the press conference of the Chairman

Wed, 18 Sep 2024 06:09:35 GMT

UK CPI strengthens GBP

The United Kingdom's Office for National Statistics has published the country's monthly Consumer Price Index data. Annual inflation in the UK remains at 2.2%, which indicates that the Bank of England has to keep monetary policy tight. This fact caused an appreciation of the GBP. The target of the BoE for annual inflation is 2.0%. Inflation had been decreasing over

Tue, 17 Sep 2024 13:04:50 GMT

US Retail Sales impact market

The publication of the monthly US Retail Sales data has caused a market move. In general, Retail Sales have slightly increased not declined, which indicates that the US Fed can keep policy tighter for longer. The data release has caused a slight surge of the value of the US Dollar. The Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales which exclude auto

Thu, 12 Sep 2024 12:31:50 GMT

US producer prices are above expected

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics has published the monthly Producer Price Index data sets. In general, the data revealed higher than expected price growth at the producer level. The US Dollar is reacting to the news by surging. Market consensus forecast was that the US Producer Price Index will increase on a month-to-month basis by 0.1%. Actual price growth

Thu, 12 Sep 2024 12:22:11 GMT

European Central Bank cuts interest rates

The European Central Bank has cut its Main Refinancing Rate, which is the base rate for all Euro debt. Namely, the rate is the base borrowing cost for the European currency. The rate has been reduced from 4.25% to 3.65%, as expected by market analysts. The Euro is reacting to the news by increasing volatility, but the rate remains at

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