Análisis fundamental

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Thu, 04 Jan 2024 12:15:37 GMT

Dollar declines due to Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes

The publication of the US Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes has reminded the world that the Fed is debating a reduction of interest rates and a stop to the reduction of the central bank's balance sheet. The reminder caused a decline of the US Dollar's value.

Wed, 20 Dec 2023 11:22:03 GMT

Pound plummets due to UK CPI

On Wednesday, at 07:00 GMT, the United Kingdom Office for National Statistics released the country's Consumer Price Index data. The event caused a major drop of the Pound against peer currencies. The market consensus forecast was that inflation in the United Kingdom had declined from 4.6% to 4.3%. However, the actual inflation was even lower, as CPI had increased by

Tue, 19 Dec 2023 16:37:43 GMT

Bank of Japan keeps policy unchanged

The Japanese central bank has announced that it would continue with its ultra-loose monetary policy despite a widely discussed expectations of an end to the stimulus. Governor of the BoJ Ueda stated that the policymakers were waiting for more evidence of wage and price increases that would justify a change of policy. The Japanese Yen's value adjusted to the announcement

Thu, 14 Dec 2023 14:37:30 GMT

ECB press conference causes Euro strength

On Thursday, at 13:15 GMT, as it was expected by market analysts, the European Central Bank has kept its base interest rate at 4.50%. In general, the ECB has continued to follow the example of the US Federal Reserve. The initial rate announcement did not cause a notable market reaction. However, the follow up press conference by the President and

Thu, 14 Dec 2023 12:06:26 GMT

GBP surges due to Bank of England

On Thursday, at 12:00 GMT, the United Kingdom's central bank announced the Official Bank Rate and released the Monetary Policy Summary. As forecast by the market consensus, the bank kept the rate at 5.25%. In the meantime, the Monetary Policy Committee was expected to vote with two members voting for an increase and seven for keeping the rate intact. However,

Thu, 14 Dec 2023 08:50:13 GMT

SNB changes inflation forecasts

As it was expected by market analysts, the Swiss National Bank has kept its SNB Policy Rate at 1.75%. However, despite the flat rate, the Swiss Franc lost value, as the central bank announced a change of future inflation forecasts. Namely, the SNB revealed that it expects lower than previously forecast inflation throughout 2024 and up to 2026. In general,

Wed, 13 Dec 2023 20:04:57 GMT

US Federal Reserve announces Federal Funds Rate

On Wednesday, at 19:00 GMT, the US Fed Funds Rate was released. The event rocked the financial markets causing major volatility. The market consensus forecast was that the US Fed would keep its Federal Funds Rate at 5.50%. As expected, the rate was kept at that level. The US Dollar index reacted to the initial rate announcement with a sharp

Wed, 13 Dec 2023 14:16:27 GMT

US PPI fails to move markets

The release of the US Producer Price Index has caused a minor 23 point decline in the US Dollar index. The move occurred due to the lower than expected Core PPI at 0.0% instead of 0.2%, which caused downwards pressure on the USD. However, at the same time the Dollar strengthened due to a revision downwards of the previous

Tue, 12 Dec 2023 13:50:00 GMT

US inflation causes volatility

The United States have just released the monthly Consumer Price Index data sets. In general, the event caused large volatility of the Dollar, as the released data was mixed. United States annual inflation has decreased from 3.2% to 3.1%. This data set caused an initial drop of the USD. Meanwhile, the US month on month CPI had increased by 0.1%

Fri, 08 Dec 2023 13:35:28 GMT

United States Employment Data Causes USD surge

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics has published the monthly employment data. The US Dollar reacted to the news with an initial spike upwards above the 104.00 mark. The monthly change of Average Hourly Earnings was forecast to be an increase of 0.3%. The publication revealed that wages had increased by 0.4%. Market analysts expected the Non-Farm Employment Change to show

Wed, 29 Nov 2023 13:35:34 GMT

US GDP moves the markets

At 13:30 GMT, the United States Bureau of Economic Analysis published the US Preliminary Gross Domestic Product data. The initial reaction to the publication was a US Dollar decline. The markets expected the US GDP to have increased by 5.0% on a quarter to quarter basis. However, the actual number turned out to be 5.2%. The US Gross Domestic Product

Thu, 23 Nov 2023 13:47:56 GMT

Pound surges due to PMIs

It appears that a sharp move of the Pounds value at 09:30 was caused by the publication of better than expected United Kingdom Purchasing Managers Indices of the Services and Manufacturing sectors. The Markit Services and Manufacturing sector Purchasing Managers Index survey results revealed better than expected situations in the two economic sectors. The Manufacturing PMI was forecast to be

Thu, 02 Nov 2023 13:02:08 GMT

Bank of England keeps rate unchanged

As the markets expected, the Bank of England has kept the Official Bank Rate at 5.25%. The GBP/USD initially reacted with a 21 point or 0.17% surge and reaching above the 1.2200 mark. The surge was attributed to how the monetary policy committee voted for the keeping of the rate unchanged. It was expected that 2 members would vote for

Wed, 01 Nov 2023 20:11:04 GMT

Federal Reserve keeps rate unchanged

The United States Federal Reserve has just revealed that it will keep the Federal Funds Rate unchanged at 5.50%. The news caused a 0.15% drop of the US Dollar index from 107.00 down to 106.82. The event was followed by the press conference of the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell. His initial talk caused a boost of

Tue, 31 Oct 2023 11:28:47 GMT

Bank of Japan continues easy policy

The Bank of Japan has kept its policy rate at -0.10%. Namely, the BoJ is not going to use interest rates as a tool. Meanwhile, the central bank has re-defined its 10-year bond yield 1.00% target from a rigid limit to a reference. The BoJ could allow the rate to reach above the 1.00% mark. In theory, the redefining should

Fri, 27 Oct 2023 13:01:16 GMT

Dollar reacts to Core PCE inflation

At 12:30 GMT the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Index revealed that month on month the inflation that affects the consumers had increased by 0.3%. The high reading was expected, due to which the US Dollar reacted with a slight decline from 106.65 down to the 106.35 mark.

Tue, 17 Oct 2023 12:36:30 GMT

US Retail Sales move the Dollar

The publication of the United States monthly Retail Sales data has caused a surge of the US Dollar. In less than five minutes after the publication, the US Dollar index gained 28 points or 0.26%. US monthly core retails sales change was expected to be an increase of 0.2%. Instead the actual number is a 0.6% growth. Meanwhile, the Retail Sales

Thu, 12 Oct 2023 12:36:53 GMT

US consumer inflation release

The monthly publication of the United States Consumer Price Index has revealed that inflation remains at previous levels, despite the markets expecting a slight decrease. US Dollar index reacted to the news with an immediate spike upwards. However, note that the yesterday's higher than expected Producer Price Index also caused an initial move upwards. After the publication, the USD

Thu, 12 Oct 2023 09:43:20 GMT

The Pound reacts to UK GDP

At 06:00 GMT the United Kingdom Office for National Statistics released the monthly UK GDP data. Despite hitting the forecast of 0.2% growth, the publication caused a drop of the Pound's value due to the revision of the prior data from -0.5% to -0.6%. After the release the GBP/USD increased volatility and initially surged from 1.2315 up to 1.2330, but

Wed, 11 Oct 2023 12:37:06 GMT

United States publish Producer Price Index

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics has just published the monthly US Producer Price Index and Core Producer Price Index. The data reveals inflation at the manufacturing level. In theory inflation at the producer level is followed by inflation at the consumer level. The PPI was expected to show an increase of 0.3% and the Core PPI was forecast

Fri, 06 Oct 2023 12:39:18 GMT

United States publish employment data

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics has just published the monthly employment data. The markets were waiting for the release for most part of the week. In general, the event has caused a spike up of the US Dollar that amounted to 52 points or 0.49%. Released data most importantly consists of the Non-Farm Employment Change, Average Hourly Earnings

Thu, 28 Sep 2023 13:38:09 GMT

US GDP release causes volatility

The publication of the United States Final Gross Domestic Product has caused major volatility of the US Dollar index. The index plummeted 18 points, before recovering as much as 35 base points. The finalized quarterly GDP data revealed that GDP had increased by 2.1% not the expected 2.2%. It indicates that the US economy is weaker than expected, which signals

Wed, 06 Sep 2023 14:03:25 GMT

ISM releases US Services PMI

The Institute for Supply Management has just released the United States Services sector Purchasing Managers Index survey results. The market consensus forecast was an index of 52.5 that would show an expansion of the sector. The actual survey result has been revealed to be 54.5. The news caused a surge of the US Dollar due to being better than

Fri, 01 Sep 2023 12:35:57 GMT

United States publish monthly employment data

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics has published the monthly updated data for Average Hourly Earnings, Non-farm Employment Change and Unemployment Rate. In general, the data was mixed. The US Dollar reacted to the news with an initial decline of more than 0.30% The Non-farm Employment Change was forecast to show an increase of 169,000. Real number was 187,000. Meanwhile, the

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