Análisis fundamental

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Thu, 31 Aug 2023 12:35:50 GMT

United States publish PCE Price Index and Unemployment Claims

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis has released the PCE Price Index data and the Department of Labor has published the weekly Unemployment Claims. In theory, the financial markets were set to react to the publications. Although, market reaction was muted. Market consensus forecasts were for a month on month increase of Core PCE Price Index of 0.2% and a

Wed, 30 Aug 2023 12:18:18 GMT

ADP releases US employment change data

The Automatic Data Processing or ADP has released its National Employment Report. The report mimics the official government employment change release and is revealed to the public two days before government data. The markets expected the report to show an increase of US employment of 194,000. The actual published number is 177,000. The lower than expected number has boosted the

Tue, 29 Aug 2023 14:09:12 GMT

Dollar plummeted due to JOLTS report

At 14:00 GMT, the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey results were published. It revealed that in the United States instead of 9.49 million job openings there are only reportedly 8.83 million jobs available. Due to the news, the US Dollar plummeted in value. Over the span of five minutes the Dollar index lost 0.38% or almost 40 base points.

Wed, 23 Aug 2023 11:46:35 GMT

GBP drops due to UK PMIs

The release of the United Kingdom's Manufacturing and Services sector Purchasing Managers Indices has caused a major decline of the Pound's value. The survey results were expected to be low. However, the actual results were far below the already pessimistic expectations. On August 23, the data caused a decline, which pierced below a cluster of support levels near 1.2740. A

Wed, 23 Aug 2023 10:22:06 GMT

European PMIs cause Euro drop

S&P Global has released the Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers Index survey results for the Eurozone countries. In general, the data has shown a larger than expected activity slowdown in the two sectors. The news caused a decline of the Euro. On the EUR/USD charts the event caused a 56 base point or 0.51% drop. After the initial drop a

Fri, 11 Aug 2023 12:34:26 GMT

United States publish Producer Price Index

The United States officials have published the monthly Producers Price Index change. The Dollar reacted to the news with an initial move upwards. Market consensus forecasts were that the PPI and Core PPI, which excludes food and energy prices, both have increased by 0.2%. The actual numbers were revealed to be increases of 0.3% The index reveals how prices have changed

Fri, 11 Aug 2023 07:14:54 GMT

UK GDP reveals recovery

The United Kingdom has published its monthly Gross Domestic Product data. The UK economy was expected to have grown by 0.2%. However, it turned out that the country has recovered in economic scale by 0.5%. The event caused a sharp surge of the GBP/USD of 0.22%.

Thu, 10 Aug 2023 12:39:45 GMT

United States publish inflation data

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics has just released the US monthly Consumer Price Index change. Namely, the inflation data has been published. Inflation is the main driver of the markets, as the US Federal Reserve sets the Dollar's monetary policy in accordance with its goals of combating high inflation. The CPI month on month change was expected to be

Fri, 04 Aug 2023 12:34:11 GMT

United States release employment data

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics has just released the US monthly employment data. The data release consists of three main numbers. The Average Hourly Earnings month on month change, the Non-Farm Employment Change and the Unemployment Rate. The Average Hourly Earnings were forecast to have increased by 0.3%. Officials revealed salaries to have increased by 0.4% The Non-farm Employment Change

Thu, 03 Aug 2023 12:27:22 GMT

Bank of England hikes interest rates

The Bank of England has just now increased its Official Bank Rate from 5.00% up to 5.25%. The move was expected by the financial markets. As a result of the policy change the value of the Pound initially reacted with a downwards move, before returning to previous levels. The members of the monetary policy committee voted as follows. Eight members

Wed, 02 Aug 2023 07:22:24 GMT

Crude oil demand boosts prices

US oil prices have surged during this week due to the official US inventory data revealing that US crude oil stocks have dropped by 15.4 million barrels, compared to the expected decline of only 1.37 million barrels. Note that the high demand appears to be priced in already, as the price for US light crude oil has surged almost 23.00% since

Thu, 27 Jul 2023 12:18:41 GMT

European Central Bank hikes Main Refinancing Rate

The ECB has just increased its base interest rate from 4.00% up to 4.25%. In addition, the central bank has released its Monetary Policy Statement, which explains the reasoning behind the policy decision. The move follows yesterday's Federal Reserve's 0.25% hike. The central banks have tightened monetary policy in a tandem effort to combat inflation without disrupting currency exchange rates Note

Wed, 26 Jul 2023 18:12:57 GMT

US Federal Reserve hikes interest rate

The US Federal Reserve Federal Open Market Committee has just increased the Federal Funds Rate from 5.25% up to 5.50%. The increase was expected. In addition, the Fed has released the FOMC Statement, in which the rate decision's base is explained. Note that the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell is set to host a live press conference at

Mon, 24 Jul 2023 13:20:25 GMT

EUR/USD falls due to PMIs

The release of the various European Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers Indices has revealed that the European business sectors are pessimistic in regards to the future. All of the data sets were already expected to be pessimistic. However, they beat the expectations to the downside, which caused a decline of the Euro.

Fri, 07 Jul 2023 13:08:24 GMT

United States publishes employment data

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics published the US monthly employment data sets at 12:30 GMT. Non-Farm Employment Change was expected to be at 224,000. Actual change in number of employed people during June was 209,000. Average Hourly Earnings month on month change was forecast to show an increase of 0.3%. The bureau reported that wages had increased

Thu, 06 Jul 2023 12:24:53 GMT

ADP Employment Change causes USD jump

The Automatic Data Processing Inc Non-Farm Employment Change number is seen as a precursor to official US employment data, as it is released monthly, one day prior to the official Non-Farm Employment Change of the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data release at 12:15 GMT has just caused major volatility. It was forecast that the US would have

Thu, 29 Jun 2023 13:09:08 GMT

US GDP surprises markets

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis has published the US Final quarter on quarter Gross Domestic Product data. The markets expected US economy to have grown in the first quarter of the year by 1.4%. Instead of the expected, the economy has been reportedly increased by 2.0%. The higher GDP data signals that the US economy remains strong and

Thu, 29 Jun 2023 11:20:56 GMT

Update to surge of USD/TRY

It was previously reported that the Turkish Lira reached a record low of 20.0750 on May 29. Since the publication of the report, the USD/TRY surge has gained additional 6.10 or 30.56%.Prior fundamental reasoning for the already occurred surge can be read below. The drop of the currency was caused by the re-election of Recep Rayyip Erdogan as the country's

Mon, 29 May 2023 11:13:27 GMT

Lira hits record low level

The Turkish Lira has reached a record low level against peer currencies. The USD/TRY traded above 20.0750 during mid-European hours. The drop of the currency was caused by the re-election of Recep Rayyip Erdogan as the country's President. Erdogan has extended his rule in Turkey for a third decade. In general, the re-election of the current head of state

Fri, 26 May 2023 12:42:12 GMT

US publishes higher PCE inflation

The US Bureau of Economic Analysis has just published its monthly Core PCE Price Index. The index was expected to reveal personal consumption expenditures to have increased by 0.3%. The actual increase has been revealed to be 0.4%. The data was already expected to confirm that the US Federal Reserve was not managing in decreasing price inflation in the United

Thu, 25 May 2023 12:35:18 GMT

United States publish GDP data

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis has published the US quarterly Preliminary GDP data. GDP was expected to have increased by 1.1%. The actual number has been revealed to be 1.3%. The news strengthened the USD. In the current macroeconomic environment positive GDP data indicates that the US Federal Reserve is set to continue to hike interest rates and

Wed, 24 May 2023 07:15:43 GMT

RBNZ ends monetary tightening

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has unexpectedly revealed that it would end its monetary tightening cycle. This morning, the central bank hiked its rate from 5.25% up to 5.50% and announced that it is the last hike. As a result of the unexpected monetary policy change the New Zealand Dollar's value plummeted. By 07:00 GMT the NZD/USD had declined

Thu, 11 May 2023 11:11:08 GMT

Bank of England hikes rates

The BoE has just increased its Official Bank Rate from 4.25% up to 4.50%. The central bank has decided to hike only 0.25%, despite annual inflation in the United Kingdom once again being above 10.00% mark. The bank reports that seven members of the nine member committee voted for a rate hike. Meanwhile, two members wanted to keep the rate

Wed, 10 May 2023 13:21:40 GMT

United States publish inflation data

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics has just published the monthly inflation data sets. The release consists of US Consumer Price index m/m, Consumer Price Index y/y and Core Consumer Price Index m/m changes in percent. The markets had already priced in inflation and market consensus forecasts were compiled. Due to this reason, the US Dollar value adjusts

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