The US Bureau of Economic Analysis has published the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Index. This index reveals inflation at the consumer level. Prices have increased by 0.2%, as expected by market analysts. The US Dollar is reacting to the news by increasing its volatility without a clear direction. In the current market environment inflation remains the top macroeconomic aspect to watch.
Market consensus forecast was that the quarterly US Advance GDP will show 2.0% growth. Actual released number is a stunning 2.8%. Initially the news caused an upward move of US stocks and the US Dollar. However, the Bureau of Economic downgraded the previous reading from 1.6% down to 1.4%, which initiated a reversal of the initial spike up of the
At 13:45 GMT, Bank of Canada lowers interest as it was forecasted, by 0.25 basis points. Current interest rate defined by Bank of Canada's monetary policy is 4.50 %. Canadian Dollar is reacting to the downside. Lower rates are better for the consumer looking forward.
During the early hours of July 24, S&P Global released the results of the Purchasing Managers Index survey results. In general, the survey has disappointed the markets, as almost all readings are below expectations. The PMI publication consisted of six notable readings. For each country, S&P Global publishes two survey results. One fore the services sector and one for the
The People's Bank of China has cut its market operations rate and the benchmark bank lending rates. This rate reduction was a surprise, as market consensus was that China would not cut rates. However, the reduction has come after the Chinese government reported lower than expected second quarter economic data and the meeting of the Communist Party leadership. The event caused
At 12:30 GMT, Census Bureau, revealed its monthly retail sales data. The USD reacted by surging. Retail sales Month-on-Month forecast was -0.3%, actual number is above number which is 0.0% Core retail sales Month-on-Month expected number was 0.1%, actual number is 0.4%. The US Federal Reserve is monitoring macroeconomic data in to decide whether to cut rates or not. Lower Retail
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics has just released the US monthly employment data. In general, the data shows a mixed job environment. The US Dollar is reacting to the news by an initial spike up and then starting a decline. Average Hourly Earnings were expected to increase by 0.3% on a month on month basis. The actual number is
Throughout Wednesday's trading, the US Dollar has been declining due to a string of worse than forecast or at forecast data. At 12:15 GMT, the US ADP Non-Farm Employment Change revealed that ADP has calculated 150,000 new jobs created in the US over the last month instead of the market expected 163,000. This started a decline, which by 14:00
The United States Institute for Supply Management has published its Purchasing Managers Index survey results. Results are worse than expected, which is causing a decline of the US Dollar. Markets expected the results to show a reading of 49.2 that would indicate a decline in the sector. A reading above 50 indicates growth, but a reading below 50 shows decreasing
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics has published the monthly US employment data sets. Employment situation in the United States is much better than expected. US Dollar reacted to the news by jumping, as the Dollar index immediately moved from 104.05 up to 104.60. Average hourly earnings were expected to increase by 0.3% on a month to month basis. Actual
For the first time in five years, the ECB has reduced its Main Refinancing Rate. The rate has been cut from 4.50% down to 4.25%. This rate cut was expected, as ECB policymakers had kept talking about it to the media since the start of the year. The Euro reacted to the news by surging, despite lower rates meaning lower
The Institute for Supply Management has published the US Manufacturing sector Purchasing Managers Index. The index has come in below expectations. Markets expected the PMI to be at 49.8, but the actual reading is 48.7. US Dollar index reacted to the news by dropping 0.18% and extending a prior decline.
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis has published the US Preliminary quarterly GDP data. US GDP has increased by 1.3% instead of the forecast 1.2%. Dollar index reacted to the news with an immediate dip of 11 base points that was followed by a further decline. However, the USD was already declining during the early hours of today's trading
The Conference Board has published the CB Consumer Confidence reading. The data surprised the markets with a positive reading of 102.00 instead of the expected bad reading of 96.00. US Dollar index reacted to the news by extending an ongoing recovery against peer currencies.
US statisticians have published consumer price index and retail sales data sets. Both inflation and consumer shopping were expected to have increased. In general, the data showed that prices have risen less than expected. However, retail sales are unchanged. US Dollar reacted to the news by plummeting, as the Dollar index dropped from 104.80 down below 104.50. The US Bureau of
The Bureau of Labor Statistics has published the Producer Price Index and the Core Producer Price index. These data sets provide insight into price changes at the wholesale level. Inflation has turned out to be much higher than expected. The US Dollar reacted to the news with a 0.25% surge upwards, erasing prior losses. The Dollar surge is attributed
The Bureau of Labor Statistics has published the Non-farm Employment Change, Average Hourly Earnings and the Unemployment Rate. The data has been abysmal. US Dollar index has reacted to the news with an initial drop downwards below 105.00. Non-farm Employment Change was forecast to show 238,000 new jobs created. Actual numbers is just 175,000. Average Hourly Earnings were expected to show
On May 1, US monetary policy makers, who decide upon the supply of the US Dollar, announced the Federal Funds Rate. The rate is used as a base rate for all USD denominated debt. The Fed has kept the interest rate unchanged at 5.50%, as the financial markets expected. In addition, the central bank has published the Federal Open Markets
Bureau of Economic Analysis has published the US Advance GDP data for the first quarter of 2024. The release shocked the markets by being below expectations. The market consensus forecast was that GDP had increased by 2.5% over the quarter. Actual released data revealed growth of just 1.6%. This publication confirms what other data sets have been signalling. The US economy
On April 23rd, the US Dollar dropped at 13:45 GMT. The drop was created by the publication of the United States Manufacturing and Services sector Purchasing Managers Indices. Released numbers showed a slowdown of US business activity. Both PMIs were forecast to reveal an expansion with a reading of 52.0. Actual numbers were 50.9 for Services sector and a reading
The European Union country Purchasing Managers Indices were released from 07:15 GMT up to 08:00 GMT. In general, the event caused a surge of the Euro. However, the move was stopped by the 1.0675/1.0690 range and the weekly R1 simple pivot point at 1.0695. In general, the markets expected that the Manufacturing and Services sectors are doing badly. Although,
The US Census Bureau has published the United States monthly retail sales data. In general, the data shows high demand at the retail level. The publication strengthened the US Dollar's value. Higher retail sales indicate that consumers continue to buy despite rising prices. The data signals that retailers can and will continue to increase prices and inflation will continue to
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics has published the US Producer Price Index data sets. Namely, price inflation change at the company level. It turns out that producer inflation has grown, but at an expected pace. Meanwhile, note that the President of the ECB is scheduled to host a press conference at 12:45 GMT. However, this time Madam Lagarde is
The European Central Bank has published its Main Refinancing Rate. The central bank has kept its rate at 4.50%, as it was expected by the financial markets. The Euro reacted to the event by resuming its prior decline and reaching new low levels. However, the move did not occur outside to normal volatility range. Meanwhile, note that the President of the