Gold pauses its decline

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
  • SWFX traders are 54% bullish
  • 58% of pending commands are to buy the metal
  • The bullion opened at 1,224.25
  • Upcoming Events: US Trade Balance
The yellow metal continues to trade in the descending channel, which has guided it since the end of February. However, on Tuesday there have been additional details revealed, as the commodity price has stopped its decline, and it is most likely that further movements will be limited until Wednesday's trading session.

Economic activity in the US services sector rose unexpectedly last month, official figures showed on Friday. The Institute for Supply Management reported its Purchasing Managers' Index for the services sector climbed to 57.6 in February, while market analysts expected the Index remain unchanged from the prior month's reading of 56.5 during the reported period. Any reading above the 50-point level indicates activity expansion in the services sector. Furthermore, the Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index came in at 63.6, the highest level since February 2011, up from the previous month's 60.3. Data also showed the New Orders Index increased to 61.2, the highest since August 2015, following January's 58.6. The ISM said 16 out of 18 industries reported growth last month, adding that the share of companies expressing a positive outlook for the future rose markedly last month despite the existing uncertainty in the US economy. Economic activity contracted in the information industry and the real estate, rental and leasing industry in February.

After the release, the US Dollar hit its intraday high of 114.54 against the Japanese Yen but failed to maintain its gains as investors awaited a speech by the Fed Chair Janet Yellen in the day

Watch More: Dukascopy TV


Upcoming events: US Trade Balance

At 13:30 GMT on Tuesday the US will release their trade balance data. The data release will be covered by the Dukascopy research team. However, the analysts will concentrate on the USD/CAD currency exchange rate during the release, as the US data will be released simultaneously with its Canadian counterpart.



Gold reaches below 1,225 mark

Daily chart: During the early hours of Tuesday's trading session the yellow metal had paused the decline, which occurred during Monday's trading. The bullion stopped just below the 1,225 level and attempted to regain some of its value. However the attempt failed, and the commodity price still remains positioned to fall to the 1,219.20 level, where the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level is located at. The Fibonacci retracement level is also supported by the weekly S1, which is located at 1,216.60 level.
Daily chart
© Dukascopy Bank SA

Hourly chart: As it was seen previously, the bullions price bounced off the resistance line of the descending channel pattern. In addition, the decline of the rate afterwards has revealed another channel on the hourly chart, which represents the rates movements inside of the dominant pattern. It seems that the commodity price will remain rather flat until the end of the day, and the fall will resume on Wednesday.

Hourly chart
© Dukascopy Bank SA


Trader opinion remains firm

For the third consecutive trading session SWFX traders remain 54% long regarding the bullion. In addition, 58% of trader set up orders are to buy the metal.

OANDA Gold traders have increased their bullish outlook, as open positions are 65.14% long on Tuesday, compared to 63.14% previously. In addition, traders of SAXO bank have done the same, as 67.24% of open positions are long, compared to 64.25% on Monday.

Spreads (avg,pip) / Trading volume / Volatility


Market participants foresee the price of Gold being above 1,250 in April

Traders who were asked regarding their longer-term views on gold between February 7 and March 7 expect, on average, to see the metal near 1,300 in April. Generally, 73% of participants believe the price will be above 1,250 in ninety days. Alongside, 25% (+2%) of those surveyed reckon the currencies will trade in the range between 1,000 and 1,200 over the next three months.

© Dukascopy Bank SA

Actual Topics

Subscribe to "Fundamental Analysis" feed

Suscribir
Para conocer más sobre la plataforma de Trading de CFD y Forex de Dukascopy Bank, SWFX y otras informaciones relacionadas con el Trading,
llámenos o haga una solicitud de devolución de llamada.
Para obtener más información sobre la posible cooperación, por favor llámenos o haga una solicitud de devolución de llamada.
Para obtener más información sobre las opciones binarias de Dukascopy Bank / La plataforma de operaciones de Forex, SWFX y otra información relacionada con el Trading, por favor llámenos o solicite una devolución de llamada.
Para conocer más sobre la plataforma de Trading de CFD y Forex de Dukascopy Bank, SWFX y otras informaciones relacionadas con el Trading,
llámenos o haga una solicitud de devolución de llamada.
Para obtener más información acerca de la plataforma de operaciones Crypto Trading / CFD / Forex, SWFX y otra información relacionada con el comercio,
llámenos o realice una solicitud de devolución de llamada.
Para obtener más información sobre Business Introducer y otra información relacionada con el comercio,
llámenos o realice una solicitud de devolución de llamada.
Para obtener más información sobre la posible cooperación, por favor llámenos o haga una solicitud de devolución de llamada.