- 54% of all SWFX open positions are long
- Gold opened Tuesday's session at 1312.11
- Economic events to watch over the next 24 hours: All quiet on Tuesday
Manufacturing activity in the United States rebounded in September after a disappointing August report, official data showed on Monday. The Institute for Supply Management said its Index of manufacturing activity advanced to 51.5 in September, following the previous month's 49.4, while market analysts pencilled in a 1.0 point-acceleration to 50.4 in the reported month. Back in August, manufacturing output contracted for the first time since February of this year, as only six out of 18 industries reported growth. A number below 50 points indicates contraction in the US manufacturing sector, while a number above indicates improving conditions. Furthermore, the New Orders Index rose to 55.1 the Employment Index jumped to 49.7 in September from last month's 49.1 and 48.3, respectively, while the Price Paid Index remained unchanged at 53.0, in line with analysts' expectations. The data indicated that nine of the 18 industries reported a rise in new orders, while 10 of the 18 industries reported an increase in production last month. After the release, the US Dollar rose against other major currencies, trading at 1.1217 against the Euro, 1.2833 against the Sterling and 101.44 against the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index rose 0.25% to 95.694.
Consumer prices in the Euro zone increased last month, official data showed on Friday. According to Eurostat's preliminary reading, the annual Consumer Price Index in the region advanced 0.4% in September, following to the preceding month's 0.2% and meeting analysts' expectations. Meanwhile, the so-called core CPI, which excludes food, energy, alcohol and tobacco, rose 0.8% in the reported month, unchanged from the previous month's reading, whereas economic desks anticipated a slight acceleration to 0.9%. Prices of food, alcohol and tobacco jumped 0.7% in the ninth month of the year, following August's rise of 1.3%, while prices of services and 1.2%, slightly up from the previous month's 1.1%. Non-energy industrial goods prices accelerated 0.3%, unchanged from August, whereas the price of energy declined 3.0% in September, following the prior month's 5.6% fall. The Euro zone seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 10.1% in August, in line with July's reading but down from 10.7% seen in the same month year ago. Other data released by Federal Statistics Office showed that Germany's retail sales increased 3.7% on an annual basis and dropped 0.4% in August. The July figure was revised down to a gain of 0.5% from the originally reported rise of 1.7%.
Upcoming fundamentals: All quiet on Tuesday
During Tuesday there are no notable data releases, which will affect the yellow metal's price. However, traders might still keep an eye out for the Australian Cash Rate and the Reserve Bank of Australia Rate Statement, as the country is a large Gold miner, and the domestic monetary policy will affect the miners.
Gold falls to 1,310 mark
Daily chart: The yellow metal continued to fall on Tuesday morning, as it went into the seventh consecutive session of losses. However, during the day's session the metal met with a strong support level, as just below the bullion is a line of support, which is formed by connecting the September and August low levels. Moreover, the support is also strengthened by the 100-period SMA at 1,310.31. Although, daily aggregate technical indicators forecast a continuation of the fall, and in such scenario the metal would likely fall to at least the 1,304.78 level, where the first weekly support is located at.Daily chart
Hourly chart: The hourly chart for the yellow metal reveals two additional facts. Firstly the metal is being pressured lower by the 20-day SMA, as the bullion tried to move higher and was pressured back by the SMA four times this week. Secondly, gold reached and tried to find support in the before mentioned trend line. In one of the cases the metal rebounded, and the second time a rebound also occurred. However, the second rebound came after the bullion spent almost two hours below the trend line.
Hourly chart
Traders increase bullishness
Meanwhile, OANDA Bank clients are majorly bullish with respect to the bullion, meaning that 76.55% of all positions are long. In the meantime, SAXO bank clients show a similar trend with 66.95% of all positions being held by bulls.