British Pound trades to 1.2750

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

On Thursday, the British Pound passed the support level of the 62.30% Fibonacci retracement level at the 1.2864 mark.

In regards to the future, the pair was facing a strong support cluster. If the support gets passed, the rate would decline as low as 1.2720.

Latest Fundamental Event

The British Pound depreciated against the US Dollar, following the UK BOE Official Bank Rate data release on Thursday at 12:00 GMT. The GBP/USD exchange currency rate lost 34 pips or 0.27% . The British Pound continued trading against the US Dollar at the 1.2895 area.

The Bank of England released Bank of England Official Bank Rate data that came out in line with expectations of 0.75%. The Votes and Monetary Policy Summary together with the MPC Official Bank Rate data release came out today at 12:00 GMT, in which all votes were in favor to hold the rate unchanged.

Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said: "The fog of Brexit is causing short term volatility in the economic data, and more fundamentally, it is creating a series of tensions in the economy, tensions for business."

Busy week for the US and the UK

This week will be busy for macroeconomic data releases. With the exception of Tuesday, on each day there is a notable data release.

On Tuesday the heads of Bank of England and the US Federal Reserve spoke publicly. UK's Governor Carney spoke at 13:00 GMT and the head of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell spoke at 17:45 GMT.

On Wednesday, at 09:30 GMT the UK CPI will be released. Later on at 13:30 GMT the US CPI and Core CPI will be released.

On Thursday, at 13:30 GMT the US Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales data will be published. In addition, at the same time the US Producers Price Index will be released.

The week will be closed by a UK data release. Namely, the UK Retail Sales data will be published at 09:30 GMT.

All of these events are scheduled to be covered by Dukascopy Analytics on our Dukascopy Webinars YouTube channel. The streams start ten minutes before the data release.

For more information watch the weekly Calendar Analysis stream recording.

GBP/USD short term review

During the previous trading session, the 200-hour SMA resisted the British Pound to push it to pass through the support level of the 62.30% Fibonacci retracement level. On Thursday morning, the rate was located between the 62.30% Fibo and the weekly S1 at the 1.2840 mark.

In regards to the near-term future, it is expected that the 55-hour simple moving average will continue resist the rate to the 1.2750 level.

However, during today's US Retails Sales, Core Retail Sales, PPI and Core PPI data release at 13:30 GMT, the British Pound could appreciate against the US Dollar to push the rate to break the resistance levels of the SMAs.

Hourly Chart


On the daily, one can see that the 100-day simple moving average has begun to provide resistance to the currency exchange rate at 1.2890.

Meanwhile, the 55-day simple moving average was providing support to the pair at 1.2810. It was previously stated that it is set to provide support together with a pivot point.

That is set to occur, if the SMA moves slightly higher to the weekly S1 at the 1.2831 level. Daily chart

Swiss sentiment remains neutral

On Thursday, GBP/USD traders on the Swiss Foreign Exchange were  long. The sentiment had become 57% long. 

Meanwhile, 51% of trader orders for the GBP/USD were set to buy.

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