There is a bullish pattern emerging in the hourly chart of AUD/NZD. However, considering that the pair has just confirmed the upper edge of the channel, we expect a sell-off down to 1.0650 today. There the decline should give way for a strong rally, being that this demand level is strengthened by the rising support line, weekly pivot point, and
USD/NOK is in a good position to rally. Since the last week of December the currency pair has formed a high-quality channel, and at the moment it is trading right at the lower boundary of the pattern. Accordingly, the price is likely to surpass the January 5 high and then probe the resistance trend-line at 9.07. The longer-term bullish outlook
Since the middle of October, when the Cable decided to develop downwards, this currency pair has already lost more than eight full figures, by descending from 1.55 to below 1.47 by January 2016. However, it seems that there is a time for a recovery in the nearest future, given that GBP/USD has approached the bearish pattern's lower boundary. Bullish momentum,
GBP/CHF is trying to break the horizontal trend-line, which has been able to keep the exchange rate lower since the last week of December. Overall outlook for the UK currency is positive, as the triple bottom is a reversal pattern, meaning we should observe a rally at some point of time in the future. In case a consolidation above 1.48
There is a plethora of reasons to be short the Pound against the Yen. The main one is the fact that GBP/JPY is currently trading in a well-defined bearish channel. Additionally, there is plenty of room for new sellers, as 62% of open positions are long. At the same time, the pair is now facing a key support level—the 2015
We hold a bearish outlook on the New Zealand Dollar this week. The currency pair has recently broken through the long-term moving average and formed a descending channel. The near-term rallies are to be capped by the falling resistance line at 0.9426, while the target is the December 15 low at 0.9242. However, the upside risks are not negligible. First,
USD/CHF is somewhat indecisive around 200-period SMA at 1.0020 right now. This important resistance is immediately followed by the new January monthly pivot point, which creates downside risks for the US Dollar. In case the pair fails to overcome this supply, it will be forced to go below the pattern's trend-line at 0.99. Additional losses will have to be contained
After confirming the rising wedge pattern, AUD/CAD is expected to begin with a new down-leg. By piercing through the 1.01 area, this currency pair managed to erode the weekly pivot point and 200-hour SMA, meaning the bears are strong enough, in order to push the Australian Dollar further to the south. The closest reliable support is placed within 15 pips
Our bias with respect to the Euro is negative. The currency has been in a down-trend since last year's August, and for the time being there seem to be no reasons to change the outlook. In addition, EUR/SEK has formed a high-quality bearish channel, and a majority of the technical indicators on all three relevant time-frames is pointing south. Accordingly,
As it has just turned out, the upper boundary of the descending channel failed to contain the latest recovery. The price is now probing the long-term moving average, which appears to be one of the last reasons to remain bearish on gold. If resistance at 1,069 is broken, the exchange rate will likely rise through the weekly R1 towards the
GBP/CAD has recently failed to pass through the resistance at 2.0960, and as a result, the pair entered a down-trend. The perspectives, however, are ambivalent. Even though the four-hour and daily technical indicators are mostly sending ‘sell' signals, and the SWFX market is overcrowded with bulls (72% of positions are long), we may still be in a correction phase following
The near-term outlook on AUD/NZD is bullish. The currency pair has just formed an ascending triangle, and most of the hourly technical indicators are pointing north. Accordingly, we expect the Aussie to rebound from 1.0650 and re-test last week's maximum. However, the price lacks the potential to go higher, which is implied by the daily studies. In addition, the Australian
XAU/USD is currently located somewhat in the middle between the current December high and the same month's low around 1,067. Earlier last week markets could expect a bullish break-out from the yellow metal, but for now gold seems to be unable to leave the vicinity of the 200-period SMA. This moving average coincides with both 55/100-period SMAs right now, as
The Sterling is nearing the channel down's lower boundary at the moment, meaning we could see some bullish pressure in the near-term. We would allow for the losses to continue for 200 additional points and the GBP/AUD cross will finally reach the monthly S2 and trend-line at 2.0119. Here we foresee some purchases of the Pound, also given that the
The outlook on GBP/NZD is strongly bearish. The currency pair has formed a high-quality channel, which implies an immediate sell-off from 2.1688. Moreover, four-hour, daily and weekly indicators are giving ‘sell' signals, and a majority of positions are long, implying there is plenty of room for new sellers. The June low at 2.1344 is unlikely to play an important role
USD/CHF is currently consolidating after a decline as a result of the pair testing 1.0320. Since a triangle is a continuation pattern, a close beneath the up-trend and a follow-up sell-off to 0.96 is considered to be more likely than a break-out to the upside. Another strong bearish argument is the fact that the rate has broken through the long-term
CHF/SGD cross refuses to bounce off the upper boundary of the bullish channel for a third week in a row. It proclaims that there exists a possibility of a bullish break-out in the nearest future, especially given that daily technical indicators are bullish for the moment. Moreover, the Swiss Franc seems to be deeply oversold in the SWFX market, as
The Euro is rapidly losing value against the New Zealand Dollar, after this currency pair confirmed a triangle pattern. Considering that all triangles are continuation patterns, a drop was considered as the most likely scenario for EUR/NZD. Now the pair is nearing the 1.59 level, which is only guarded by daily S3 at 1.5912. Recently it has managed to retreat
Although AUD/CAD has been struggling with resistance at 1.0110 lately, the risks are considered to be heavily skewed to the upside. The currency pair is trading within a well-defined channel, and most of the technical indicators are currently pointing north. At the same time, there is still room for more bulls to join the trend, being that only 34% of
NZD/USD has been in a distinct up-trend since the mid-November, when it turned around after hitting 0.6430. The downside risks, however, have greatly increased recently. The currency pair is approaching a critical resistance level at the moment, namely the October high at 0.69. Above it the Kiwi should aim for the upper boundary of the channel at 0.70, followed
EUR/AUD remains glued to the pattern's upper edge for a third consecutive week. Inability to bounce off in the direction of 1.49 (monthly PP and weekly S2) is highly likely to encourage the bulls for purchases of the Euro. Another support for them should be provided by the 100-period SMA, which is quickly heading to the north for the moment.
EUR/SEK is fluctuating under 9.19 on Monday, the lowest level since Thursday of the previous week. The common currency was unexpectedly derailed by the 100-hour SMA, which was shortly touched by the pair earlier today. Despite quite bullish (54%) SWFX market sentiment, the one-hour technical indicators are pointing to the south. A retreat below 9.18 should lead to a sell-off
GBP/AUD topped out in August, and since then the pair has been trending lower. There was a good chance that this was only a correction, because of the rising support line that has guided the rate since September of 2014. However, this time the up-trend failed to trigger a recovery, even despite the help from the 200-day SMA. Accordingly, our
After the volatile first half of December USD/JPY seems to have calmed down and formed a narrow bearish channel. The pattern implies that the price will not rise far above 120.50, but instead will decline. Additionally, the four-hour and daily technical indicators are mostly pointing downwards. The sell-off will be expected to take a prolonged pause after the price falls