Technical Analysis

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Fri, 29 Jun 2012 07:04:16 GMT

USD/CHF to recover from 0.9555/31

As anticipated, USD/CHF was incapable of sustaining a rally, resulting in a sharp fall from a resistance at 0.9639/69 down to a support at 0.9555/31, which is in turn considered to be strong enough to oppose the current bearish momentum. Moreover, it is reinforced by 0.9503/0.9497, decreasing probability of the price extending the dip and changing long-term outlook.

Fri, 29 Jun 2012 07:02:48 GMT

USD/JPY lingers at 79.36/12

USD/JPY gravitates towards 79.36/12 and is yet unable to leave its vicinity despite the overall bullish outlook and signals of technical indicators. Delay in resumption of a rally raises concerns whether the pair will be able to remain within the upward channel. Supports are located at 78.63, 78.16 and 77.63/54, in case 79.36/12 is eroded and bulls take the lead

Fri, 29 Jun 2012 06:59:18 GMT

GBP/USD to hit 1.5638/67

Following a false bearish breakout of a downward sloping trendline at 1.5557, GBP/USD has recovered and is now about to retest a resistance zone at 1.5638/67. Subsequent level may be encountered at 1.5719/44, although given its toughness the currency couple is likely to consolidate near it before recommencing bullish advancement.

Fri, 29 Jun 2012 06:57:05 GMT

EUR/USD bumped into 1.2566/99

EUR/USD has strongly bounced off a support area at 1.2456/16 and has already tested an interim resistance located at 1.2566/99. An initial attempt to penetrate it, however, proved to be unsuccessful, as the currency pair faces a lot of formidable levels, which are unlikely to allow the price to reverse the trend, only to make a short-term bullish correction.

Thu, 28 Jun 2012 15:33:10 GMT

EUR/JPY is set to fall further; bears are approaching 98.10

EUR/JPY is trading with bearish mood as the EU summit has not delivered any concrete plans to address the debt turmoil. If an upbeat trend emerges, then 101.58 (55-day SMA) is likely to be the first target to be tested by bullish investors. If this level is successful pierced, a path towards 102.15 (R1 Weekly; Upper Bollinger band) and 104.55/65 (100-day SMA; R3 Weekly) will

Thu, 28 Jun 2012 15:33:02 GMT

AUD/USD tested and bounced off 1.0118; might fall to 55-day SMA

Bulls gain confidence on AUD/USD as the pair is floating near the initial resistance level at 1.0118 (61.80% Fibo). If the pair manages to pierce and hold this level,  investors could expect the pair to edge higher Resistance 2 and Resistance 3 at 1.0179 (R1 Weekly) and 1.0215/20 (100-day SMA; R1 Monthly), respectively.

Thu, 28 Jun 2012 15:32:50 GMT

USD/CAD is trading flat; 1.0183 in bearish cross-hairs

The US dollar is trading slightly higher compared to yesterday against the Canadian dollar. As the pair failed to breach the 1.0241, USD/CAD is likely to move higher and 1.0323 (R1 Weekly) is going to be an initial resistance in case of such event. If the bullish momentum intensifies, 1.0375/90 (Upper Bollinger band; R2 Weekly) and 1.0464 (R3 Weekly; Upper resistance level) are going to be

Thu, 28 Jun 2012 15:32:41 GMT

Kiwi dollar rises against the US dollar; approaches 0.7970

NZD inched higher today, approaching the 0.7970 level (200-day SMA). If bullish inertia to continue, 0.8082 (Upper Bollinger band) might become the second resistance for bullish investors. A breakout of this level would expose the third resistance at 0.8148 (R3 Weekly).

Thu, 28 Jun 2012 07:10:37 GMT

USD/CHF to slip

USD/CHF has bounced off 0.9639/59 and is presently heading towards an initial support at 0.9553/31, which, in conjunction with a tough area at 0.9503/0.9497, should prevent the currency pair from falling and dipping as low as 0.9417 or 0.9448/46. The long-term outlook for the price remains positive, as monthly indicators point out.

Thu, 28 Jun 2012 07:08:22 GMT

USD/JPY consolidates just above 79.36/12

The currency couple is currently contained by a support area at 79.36/12 from below and by a resistance zone at 79.99/80.03 from above. USD/JPY is expected to be range-bound today, refraining from pronounced moves and trading sideways. Afterwards, nonetheless, the price is likely to resume inching higher, since supports that underpin the pair seem to be impenetrable for now.

Thu, 28 Jun 2012 06:57:12 GMT

GBP/USD to retest 1.5638/67

Despite insignificance of a resistance area at 1.5638/67 in the long run, the Cable did not manage to overcome it yesterday, but should challenge it once again in near future, which should then result in a bullish breakout and continuation of an upward advancement. Dips, in the meantime, are likely to be limited by supports at 1.5588/57 and at 1.5499.

Thu, 28 Jun 2012 06:51:39 GMT

EUR/USD attempts to recover

EUR/USD has repeatedly tested a formidable support at 1.2456/29, confirming intentions of the currency pair to undergo a bullish correction, as indicated by most of daily technical studies. The rally, however, is expected to be shallow, given toughness of resistances that lie overhead. The initial level is located at 1.2570/99 and is reinforced by 1.2660/80.

Wed, 27 Jun 2012 14:51:10 GMT

NZD/USD is trading flat; might test 0.7970

NZD stabilized against the US dollar and for now the currency pair is trading in a tight price range. If bullish impetus occurs, 0.7970/85 (100-day SMA; R1 Weekly) might become an initial resistance for bulls. A breakout of this level would clear the path for 0.8082 (Upper Bollinger band) and 0.8148 (R3 Weekly).

Wed, 27 Jun 2012 14:51:04 GMT

USD/CAD is neutral; bears might approach 1.0183

The greenback slumps against the Canadian dollar and it has already tested 1.0241 level. If the bearish inertia strengthens, 1.0183/74 (S2 and PP Weekly) will be the first target for bears, followed by 1.0133 (100-day SMA) and 1.0049/42 (61.80% Fibo; S3 Weekly), respectively.

Wed, 27 Jun 2012 14:50:59 GMT

AUD/USD bounces from 55-day SMA, aims at 1.0118

AUD/USD added to gains compared to yesterday as the pair bounced from the 55-day simple moving average. Thus, if bullish momentum intensifies, 1.0118 (61.80% Fibo) will be the first target among investors. A breakout here would expose next resistance levels at 1.0179 (R1 Weekly) and 1.0215/20 (100-da SMA; R1 Monthly).

Wed, 27 Jun 2012 14:50:52 GMT

EUR/JPY stabilizes, might reiterate bullish reversal

The single European currency slumped yesterday against Japan's yen but today it is attempting to stabilize. If a bullish reversal occurs, 101.58 (55-day SMA) might become the first resistance level for bulls. If a bullish momentum holds further, a path towards 102.15 (R1 Weekly; Upper Bollinger band) and 104.55/65 (100-day SMA; R3 Weekly) will be open.

Wed, 27 Jun 2012 09:28:28 GMT

USD/CHF to undergo a bearish correction

A rally above 0.9600 remains shallow, as the bullish move was short-lived and not distinct. Therefore we may expect dips to extend down to 0.9554/31 or even 0.9503/0.9497, as suggested by values of most daily technical indicators. The longer term outlook, however, remains bullish, implying that worth of the Greenback is expected to increase within the next few months.

Wed, 27 Jun 2012 09:28:21 GMT

USD/JPY stabilises at 79.36/12

USD/JPY has stalled after running into a support area at 79.36/12. Accordingly, bearish momentum of the currency pair has weakened, but nevertheless is capable of dragging the price down to 78.53 or 78.16 in the medium term. Overhead lies a short-term resistance, which may be found at 79.61, followed by a subsequent level at 79.99/80.03.

Wed, 27 Jun 2012 08:01:42 GMT

GBP/USD is headed towards 1.5719/87

As expected, the Cable has bounced off a support area at 1.5581/71 and has just encountered an interim resistance at 1.5638/67, which is unlikely to play a significant role in future fluctuations. Resistance zone that stretches from 1.5719 to 1.5787, on the other hand, poses significant risk to the upside momentum, but should eventually give in.

Wed, 27 Jun 2012 07:02:05 GMT

EUR/USD to be contained by 1.2660/80

The currency couple is attempting to commence recovery after rebounding from an initial support level at 1.2456/26. The current rally, nonetheless, is expected to be tepid, since resistances at 1.2569/99 and 1.2660/80 should be able to halt EUR/USD, where the price is likely to resume trading lower en route to a long-term target at 1.2037/00.

Tue, 26 Jun 2012 15:20:38 GMT

NZD/USD failed to hold above 0.7961; might fall further

NZD slightly paired losses against the greenback today, though the outlook on the pair is neutral for now. In case bullish momentum emerges, 0.7970 (100-day SMA; R1 Weekly) might become an initial resistance for bulls. A breakout of this level would clear the path for 0.8082 (Upper Bollinger band) and 0.8148 (R3 Weekly).

Tue, 26 Jun 2012 15:20:31 GMT

USD/CAD attempts to recover; bears aiming at 1.0241

The US dollar paired previous weekly losses against the Canadian dollar. However, if the bearish impetus to dominate the pair, 1.0241 (PP Weekly) will be the first target for bears, followed by 1.0183 (S2 and PP Weekly) and 1.0133 (100-day SMA) accordingly.

Tue, 26 Jun 2012 15:20:23 GMT

Aussie slumps against the US dollar on Eurozone concerns

AUD/USD didn't move much compared to yesterday as the pair is floating near the 55-da simple moving average. However, if bearish mood intensifies, 0.9955 (S1 Weekly) will be the first target among bears. A breakout here would expose next support lines at 0.9826 (23.60% Fibo) and 0.9740 (Lower Bollinger band; S3 Weekly), respectively.

Tue, 26 Jun 2012 15:20:15 GMT

EUR/JPY is trading lower, attempts to slide to 99.06

The common European currency continues moving South amid uncertainty over the Eurozone prospects and its ability to address the debt turmoil. In case of a bullish reversal, 101.64 (55-day SMA) is likely to become an initial resistance line; once breached, a path towards 102.15 (R1 Weekly; Upper Bollinger band) and 104.55/65 (100-day SMA; R3 Weekly) will be open.

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