Фундаментальный анализ

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Tue, 04 Jan 2022 13:56:22 GMT

03.01.-07.01. US Employment Data is in Focus

The most notable event of the week will be the US and Canadian monthly employment data release on Friday at 13:30 GMT. However, some might argue that the FOMC Meeting Minutes release on Wednesday at 19:00 GMT might cause a larger move. However, historical data of immediate reactions shows that it is not the case. In the meantime, take into account

Fri, 17 Dec 2021 09:48:54 GMT

Bank of Japan prolongs stimulus

On December 17, the Bank of Japan published its Monetary Policy Statement. The bank kept its interest rate at -0.10% and extended the non-government covid relief loan program. Quoting the statement: "Financial conditions in Japan have improved on the whole, despite the continued significant impact of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) on domestic and overseas economies. With regard to financial conditions

Thu, 16 Dec 2021 15:25:33 GMT

20.12.-24.12. minor data releases

The week is set to be quiet. The only event, which could cause a notable move, is the Canadian GDP publication on Thursday at 13:30 GMT. Prior to Thursday, on Tuesday, a minor CAD move could occur due to the Canadian Retail Sales data at 13:30 GMT. On Wednesday, at 13:30 GMT, the US Dollar might react to the publication of the

Thu, 16 Dec 2021 13:50:37 GMT

European Central Bank reduces stimulus

On December 16, the European Central Bank published its monetary policy decisions. The central bank kept its interest rates unchanged. However, the bank would reduce asset purchases of the pandemic emergency purchase programme. Quoting the official release: "The Governing Council decided to extend the reinvestment horizon for the PEPP. It now intends to reinvest the principal payments from maturing

Thu, 16 Dec 2021 13:27:32 GMT

Bank of England Hikes Interest Rates

On December 16, the Bank of England unexpectedly hiked interest rates and caused a surge of the GBP against peer currencies. Meanwhile, corporate and government bond purchases would remain unchanged. Quoting the Assessment: "At its meeting ending on 15 December 2021, the MPC voted by a majority of 8-1 to increase Bank Rate by 0.15 percentage points, to 0.25%. The Committee

Thu, 16 Dec 2021 08:53:06 GMT

SNB keeps policy intact

On December 16, the Swiss National Bank published its Monetary Policy Assessment. In general, the bank kept its policy unchanged. The deposit rate would remain -0.75% and the bank would intervene into forex markets to push the value of the Swiss Franc down. Quoting the Assessment: "The SNB is maintaining its expansionary monetary policy. It is thus ensuring price

Wed, 15 Dec 2021 19:16:43 GMT

Federal Reserve decreases stimulus

On December 15, the US Federal Reserve published its FOMC Statement and Economic Projections. In general, the federal funds rate remained unchanged. However, the bank announced that it would decrease its monthly treasury purchases by $20 billion and mortgage backed securities purchases by $10 billion. Quoting the statement: "With progress on vaccinations and strong policy support, indicators of economic activity

Wed, 15 Dec 2021 13:48:32 GMT

USD/CAD moves due to Canadian CPI

On Wednesday, at 13:32 GMT, the Canadian Consumer Price Index was published. The inflation measure hit the forecast of 0.2%. Due to that reason, the market reaction was muted, as the USD/CAD surged only 17 base points or 0.13%.

Wed, 15 Dec 2021 13:40:24 GMT

EUR/USD reacts to US Retail Sales

At 13:30 GMT on Wednesday, the publication of the US Retail Sales caused a drop of the USD value. The EUR/USD surged 13 base points or 0.12% in the first five minutes after the data release. Retail sales had increased in November by 0.3%, compared to the forecast of 0.8%. Meanwhile, Core Retail Sales also came in at 0.3% instead

Wed, 15 Dec 2021 08:45:42 GMT

UK inflation causes rate spikes

On Wednesday, at 07:00 GMT, the UK Inflation data was published. The event caused a spike in the value of the GBP. However, the currency almost immediately returned to previous levels. For example, the GBP/USD jumped and retraced back by 22 base points or 0.16% in less than five minutes. The year-on-year UK Consumer Price Index results came in at 5.1%

Fri, 10 Dec 2021 13:36:11 GMT

EUR/USD reacts to US CPI

At 13:30 GMT on Friday, US monthly Consumer Price Index data was published. CPI came in at 0.8% instead of forecast 0.7%. Meanwhile, Core CPI hit the forecast of 0.5%. The EUR/USD reacted to the news with a 42 base point or 0.37% jump upwards, as the USD lost value.

Thu, 09 Dec 2021 14:52:05 GMT

14.12.-17.12. Most Busy Fundamental Week of the Year

The week is set to be the most busy and vital for macroeconomic data and central bank announcements that has been observed during the recent years. Namely, four central banks of the USD, EUR, GBP and CHF are making policy announcements. Meanwhile, five consumption data sets and Purchasing Managers Index survey results will be released. On Tuesday, at 13:30 GMT, the

Wed, 08 Dec 2021 15:49:19 GMT

Bank of Canada keeps policy unchanged

On December 8, the Bank of Canada published its Rate Statement and Overnight Rate. The central bank kept its interest rate and government bond holdings unchanged. The Bank of Canada today held its target for the overnight rate at the effective lower bound of ¼ percent, with the Bank Rate at ½ percent and the deposit rate at ¼ percent.

Tue, 07 Dec 2021 08:23:44 GMT

RBA causes AUD recovery

On December 7, the Reserve Bank of Australia published an official monetary policy statement. In addition, the official cash rate was revealed. The central bank kept its interest rate unchanged and it would continue to purchase government securities at a pace of $4 billion per week until the middle of February 2022. Meanwhile, the statement includes comments on the Delta

Fri, 03 Dec 2021 13:43:30 GMT

EUR/USD jumps on US employment release

At 13:30 GMT, the publication of the US monthly employment data caused a 40 base point spike on EUR/USD charts. In general, the value of the USD dropped on all USD involved pairs and commodity price charts. The US Average Hourly Earnings disappointed, as wages in November had grown by 0.3% instead of the forecast 0.4%. Namely, average hourly pay

Fri, 03 Dec 2021 10:54:38 GMT

06.12.-10.12. Australian and Canadian Central Bank Rates

During the week, main attention is set to be put on the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of Canada bank rate publications on Tuesday and Wednesday. However, minor USD moves could still occur in the second part of the week. On Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia will publish its Cash Rate at 03:30 GMT. On Wednesday, at 15:00

Wed, 01 Dec 2021 15:20:19 GMT

Upcoming US Employment data

This week, the main event will be the release of the US employment data on Friday at 13:30 GMT. The release will consists of the publication of the Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change and Unemployment Rate. Also on Friday, the Canadian Employment Change and Unemployment Rate are set to be published at 13:30 GMT. The Canadian Dollar is expected to

Wed, 17 Nov 2021 13:50:01 GMT

Canadian Dollar drops on inflation data

On Wednesday, at 13:30 GMT, the Canadian Consumer Price Index data release hit the market forecast at 0.7% growth. The announcements caused a drop of the value of the Canadian Dollar. The USD/CAD currency exchange rate reacted to the release with a surge of 46 base points.

Thu, 11 Nov 2021 14:10:01 GMT

15.11.-19.11. Inflation and Retail Sales data week

The week prior, the US inflation data was released, which is the first one in a series of global consumption data sets. This week, the UK and Canadian consumer price indices will be published. Moreover, the US, UK and Canadian Retail Sales data will be published. All of the events have caused from minor to high impact on the underlying

Wed, 10 Nov 2021 15:17:57 GMT

US inflation data causes USD volatility

At 13:30 GMT, on Wednesday, the US statisticians published monthly US inflation data. The numbers were higher than forecast, which caused a short lived USD surge. For example, the EUR/USD currency exchange rate dipped 24 base points or 0.21%. However, the pair returned to previous levels after just 15 minutes. The data caused the drop due to the US Consumer Price

Fri, 05 Nov 2021 12:39:34 GMT

US Employment data boosts USD

At 12:30 GMT, the US monthly employment data caused a strengthening of the USD. The EUR/USD immediately dropped 22 base points or 0.19%, on the release of data. The release consisted of three data sets. The Average Hourly Earnings hit the forecast of 0.4% increase. Non-Farm Employment Change revealed a 531K increase, compared to the forecast 455K. Meanwhile, Unemployment Rate was

Fri, 05 Nov 2021 11:25:46 GMT

08.11.-12.11. US Inflation Data

The second week of November is expected to be a calm one, as there are no scheduled data releases, which have shown to be capable of causing notable volatility. However, note that US inflation data sets will be published during the week. US monetary policy makers use the data as a benchmark for their decisions. On Tuesday, the US Producer Price

Thu, 04 Nov 2021 12:17:59 GMT

Bank of England continues monetary stimulus

On November 4, the Bank of England announced its future monetary policy. The Official Bank Rate, Bank Rate Votes, Asset Purchase Facility and Asset Purchase Facility votes were revealed. Namely, the bank published both the policy decision and how the members of the monetary policy committee voted. In general, the bank decided to keep monetary policy unchanged. However, instead of

Wed, 03 Nov 2021 18:15:31 GMT

US Fed reduces stimulus

On November 3, the US Federal Reserve Federal Open Market Committee published its statement. In general, the central bank announced that it would decrease monthly asset purchases by $15 billion. Meanwhile, the Federal Funds Rate remained unchanged. Quoting the statement: " The Committee decided to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and expects it

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