UK Private Sector Sees Moderate Growth Amid Job Losses

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
In December 2025, the UK private sector showed signs of renewed momentum, with the S&P Global Flash PMI Composite Output Index rising to 52.1 from 51.2 in November, marking a two-month high. Both the services and manufacturing sectors contributed to the acceleration, with manufacturing output reaching a 15-month high. The increase in output was supported by the strongest rise in new business in 14 months, driven by stronger service sector demand and a rebound in foreign orders, ending a 13-month period of decline. Backlogs of work also increased for the first time since February 2023, reflecting a combination of supplier delays and higher-than-expected demand.



Overall, the December PMI data suggest GDP growth of around 0.2% for the month and 0.1% for the fourth quarter as a whole. While business confidence has improved somewhat, growth remains concentrated in technology and financial services, with many other sectors struggling. Widespread job losses and elevated costs persist, pointing to a cautious outlook and leaving the door open for potential further interest rate cuts, depending on how inflation and employment trends evolve in 2026.
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