Trade Pattern-Ideas

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Wed, 02 Mar 2016 08:26:54 GMT

EUR/NZD 4H Chart: Channel Down

The signals on EUR/NZD are mixed. From one side, the outlook should be bearish, considering that the pair has formed a descending channel and a majority of the technical studies are pointing south. At the same time, the bears are facing a major challenge, namely the 11-month trend-line just above 1.63 dollars, and it does not seem to be willing

Wed, 02 Mar 2016 08:26:41 GMT

EUR/JPY 4H Chart: Channel Down

The Euro is set to decline. Not only did the pair form a well-defined bearish channel, but it has already managed to break some of the major supports, such as the nine-month falling line and the 2015 low. The target is now the 2013 February minimum at 118.80, while the upside is limited by the upper boundary of the channel

Tue, 01 Mar 2016 14:17:07 GMT

USD/CAD 4H Chart: Descending Triangle

Triangles are classical continuation patterns, meaning the confirmation of the observed cross to the downside looks reliable and historically proved. For now we are looking for a deeper correction lower in the direction of 1.34, the first weekly support line. Next two levels of demand are guarding the 1.33 mark, the monthly S1 at 1.3316 from above and weekly S2

Tue, 01 Mar 2016 14:06:15 GMT

USD/SGD 1H Chart: Rectangle

There is an immediate support represented by the weekly S1 at 1.4011. By crossing it, the bears will be able to attack the rectangle pattern's lower edge at 1.3986, from which will are looking for a new up-leg from the US Dollar. 4H technical indicators are also pointing to the upside at the moment. Rectangles are continuation patterns, meaning the

Tue, 01 Mar 2016 07:27:26 GMT

EUR/SGD 4H Chart: Channel Down

EUR/SGD has just touched upon the lower edge of the emerging bearish channel. Accordingly, we expect the Euro to bounce off of the support at 1.5230 and rally towards 1.5470, where the bullish correction should end. The bearish wave that is likely to start there will probably extend down to 1.51. This level is in turn is the lower bound

Tue, 01 Mar 2016 07:22:32 GMT

USD/NOK 4H Chart: Channel Up

The outlook on USD/NOK is strongly bullish. Not only has the currency pair formed a high-quality ascending channel, but it has also come into contact with the long-term trend-line that originates back in the second half of 2014. Considering the technical indicators, the near-term outlook is bullish as well. The price is expected to rebound from 8.6730 (weekly PP and

Mon, 29 Feb 2016 14:33:16 GMT

USD/JPY 4H Chart: Double Bottom

Long-term expectations are favouring the Dollar on the back of the Yen at the moment. By forming the double bottom reversal pattern, it proclaims that a more likely outcome is bullish one after this pattern is confirmed in the medium-term. To do that, the bulls are required to breach the 114.88 mark and also the weekly R1 from above. Another

Mon, 29 Feb 2016 14:22:16 GMT

EUR/JPY 1H Chart: Channel Down

There are bearish forecasts for the Euro against the Japanese Yen at the moment. The classical safe haven from Asia is likely to test 122.87 (monthly S1) at the expense of the common currency in the nearest future. By confirming this support, the pair will immediately expose the recent February low at 122.46, which is also the lowest mark since

Mon, 29 Feb 2016 08:02:51 GMT

CHF/JPY 1D Chart: Channel Down

The bias towards the Swiss Franc is strongly bearish in its pair with the Yen. Late last year the currency pair closed under the major trend-line that had been guiding the pair north for more than three years. Now, the price's goal could be another potential rising trend-line, but the rate will come into contact with it only after covering

Mon, 29 Feb 2016 07:38:24 GMT

GBP/CAD 1H Chart: Falling Wedge

GBP/CAD is trading right at the apex of the falling wedge, implying the risks are heavily skewed to the upside. If resistance 1.8780 is broken, the first target will be the weekly pivot point at 1.9070, while in the long run we will expect the rally to extend towards 1.95, namely the major broken trend-line. However, the recovery might be

Mon, 29 Feb 2016 07:26:36 GMT

EUR/CHF 4H Chart: Falling Wedge

Last week, EUR/CHF exited the boundaries of the rising wedge that has been forming in the daily chart for 14 months. Accordingly, our overall bias is negative. In the shorter-term perspective, however, there will be an opportunity for a strong rebound, considering that at the moment the pair is trading between two bearish converging trend-lines, meaning the current downward momentum

Fri, 26 Feb 2016 14:23:08 GMT

AUD/SGD 4H Chart: Channel Up

The Aussie has been demonstrating strong bullish momentum lately. However, despite AUD/SGD forming a high-quality channel, the risks are skewed to the downside. The technical indicators are either mixed or neutral, but the pair is expected to fail to rise past 1.0210/00, where resistance is implied by the three-year down-trend. Accordingly, while there is still some room for the Aussie

Fri, 26 Feb 2016 14:12:48 GMT

GBP/JPY 4H Chart: Falling Wedge

GBP/JPY has been heavily battered recently by the ‘Brexit' talks. However, from a technical standpoint, there is a good chance that the Sterling will soon start a recovery. The main reason is the fact that the currency pair has formed a falling wedge, a pattern that suggests a reversal. If the price manages to climb over 159 yen, there will

Fri, 26 Feb 2016 06:33:07 GMT

EUR/AUD 4H Chart: Channel Down

EUR/AUD exited the bullish channel last week. The current outlook is therefore bearish. The pair is expected to bounce off of 1.5330 and fall down to the lower edge of the new channel at 1.4950 before undergoing a notable correction. Next week, the Euro might fall down to 1.4550, but here the price will likely bottom out because of the

Fri, 26 Feb 2016 06:22:07 GMT

USD/TRY 4H Chart: Falling Wedge

USD/TRY has recently pierced through the rising support line and confirmed it, which is a strong ‘sell' signal. Nevertheless, there is still a possibility of a rally next week. The currency pair has formed a falling wedge, meaning that demand is building up. The upside, however, is limited. In case of a close above 2.9350, the first target will be

Thu, 25 Feb 2016 14:22:06 GMT

USD/CAD 4H Chart: Descending Triangle

Although USD/CAD has formed a descending triangle, which usually portends a decline, the risks are skewed to the upside. The reason to be bullish on the pair is the solid demand area at 1.3662/34, created by the most recent lows, monthly S1, and the 10-month up-trend. Accordingly, the price is likely to bounce back to the long-term moving average and

Thu, 25 Feb 2016 14:21:45 GMT

EUR/CAD 1H Chart: Channel Down

The Euro keeps depreciating against the Loonie after an unsuccessful attack on 1.5920 in the first half of February. Taking into account that this pattern is the sell-off after the second peak in the double top (in the daily chart) reinforces the negative bias. However, we would like to see EUR/CAD closing under the January low (1.4950) first. The next

Thu, 25 Feb 2016 06:21:09 GMT

AUD/JPY 1H Chart: Channel Down

Although AUD/JPY seems to have formed a high-quality channel, being short is risky. The reason is a solid demand area near the psychological level of 80 yen, which has already managed to prevent several attempts of the pair to go lower. A close beneath this mark will be a strong 'sell' signal. As for the one-two day perspective, AUD/JPY is

Thu, 25 Feb 2016 06:10:29 GMT

EUR/PLN 1H Chart: Channel Down

EUR/PLN has recently formed a well-defined channel, meaning the outlook for at least the next several days is bearish. The negative bias is reinforced by the technical indicators, though this signal is rather weak. Since the pair has just tested resistance at 4.3890 (down-trend, weekly PP, and 200-hour SMA), the current target is the lower bound of the pattern, namely

Wed, 24 Feb 2016 14:18:38 GMT

EUR/TRY 4H Chart: Channel Up

The Euro is poised for a rally against Turkish Lira. The currency pair is trading right at the lower bound of the channel it has been forming since last year's December. Accordingly, EUR/TRY is expected to rebound from 3.23 and begin a new bearish wave. The immediate resistance is at 3.2457/36, and the 200-period SMA is at 3.28, but the

Wed, 24 Feb 2016 14:18:08 GMT

XAU/USD 4H Chart: Triangle

Gold has just left the symmetrical triangle, meaning the outlook for the next few days is strongly bullish. Considering the height of the broken pattern (about 80 dollars), our objective is now the 2015 high at 1,308. However, XAU/USD will have to pierce resistances 1,248 (weekly R1) and 1,268/63 (weekly R2 and Feb high) first. The closest significant support level

Wed, 24 Feb 2016 06:34:07 GMT

CAD/CHF 4H Chart: Double Top

CAD/CHF is completing a double top in the middle of the major falling wedge (weekly chart). If the rate manages to close beneath the demand area at 0.7180/57, the pair will be set for a 150-pip decline. The technical studies confirm that this scenario is highly likely. However, there is also a notable support level at 0.7118, represented by the

Wed, 24 Feb 2016 06:23:03 GMT

XAG/USD 1H Chart: Channel Down

The outlook on silver is strongly bearish, being that it has recently tested the upper bound of the falling wedge in the weekly chart, though we should be wary of a potential rally, considering the nature of the long-term pattern. During the next few days, the metal is expected to cover the distance between the upper and lower trend-lines that

Tue, 23 Feb 2016 14:24:06 GMT

AUD/CHF 1H Chart: Channel Up

As AUD/CHF has just bumped into the rising resistance line, the near-term outlook is bearish. The currency pair is expected to dip under the weekly R1 and keep descending until it finds support at 0.7080. In the one or two-week perspective, however, the Aussie is bullish. The price is likely to continue fluctuating with an upward bias within the boundaries

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