Although formally the EUR/AUD currency pair is forming a symmetrical triangle, we suppose that the lower trend-line is largely flat, in order to see this pattern as a descending triangle. The outlook is therefore biased to the downside. We expect the Euro to fail at both 55 and 100-hour simple moving averages, which is offering supply above the red trend-line.
The outlook on GBP/AUD is bearish. The pair is trading within a well-defined descending channel, and for the next week this implies a sell-off from the upper boundary of the pattern at 1.9055 down to 1.8400/1.8350, where the rate will be expected to meet the lower boundary of the pattern along with the monthly S2 and 2015 low. Even if
There is a bearish channel emerging in the four-hour chart of USD/SEK. And while there is a possibility of a rally in the near future, as the currency pair has just tested the lower boundary of the pattern, the upside is to be limited by the falling resistance line and the monthly S2 circa 8.25. There we expect the bears
Provided with a reliable demand area below the current spot price at 1.6531/05, the Euro is getting ready to commence a strong recovery against the New Zealand Dollar. Even though the double top pattern implies a confirmation to the South, we are not ruling out the possibility of a third top or even a rectangle emerging eventually. However, short and
Over the past several hours the bulls have been trying to derail a downward correction of the pair. In case they penetrate the upper bound of the channel down pattern, this will be a major upward signal for the future. The task is not expected to be easy, as the red trend-line is being secured by the weekly pivot point
Although the pattern is still of relatively low quality, AUD/SGD appears to be trading within the ascending channel. This implies a potential sell-off down to the 1.0250/00 area before the currency pair starts a new bullish wave, as the Aussie has recently confirmed the upper boundary of the pattern. However, if the support zone proves to be insufficient to trigger
Silver has been in a distinct downtrend since the first half of 2011, but there is a good possibility that in the perspective of the next several weeks the metal is going to appreciate. At the moment, the price is forming an ascending triangle—an argument in favour of growing demand. The bullish outlook will be confirmed once resistance at 15.86/83
It has taken only five days since our latest report on the Cable and its development in the 4H chart. GBP/USD successfully reversed back to the South near 1.44 where the pair hit the upper trend-line of the pattern. This week the Sterling is a subject to substantial losses. The monthly pivot point has been penetrated, along with many other
Although EUR/JPY has been stagnating since Tuesday, by generating only sluggish growth, it is still hovering above the green trend-line and 200-hour SMA. It means that our expectations are bullish for the time being. The pair may rely on help from weekly and daily PPs around 125.80. Daily technical indicators and SWFX market sentiment are backing the Euro and suppose
Despite the fact that for the last several weeks GBP/NZD has been trading upward, the risks are becoming heavily skewed to the downside. While there is still some room for the Sterling to rise in value, the bearish medium-turn outlook is implied by the seven-month down-trend at 2.1660. We should thus soon see a re-test of the lower edge of
Although the currency pair has formed a well-defined channel, further appreciation of the Australian Dollar is highly unlikely. At the moment, AUD/CHF is trading near the lower boundary of the pattern that was initiated in the first half of February. Accordingly, while there is a possibility of a short-term rally from 0.7350, the upside is to be limited by 0.7480,
Five days ago the Loonie bounced off the upper boundary of the broadening rising wedge pattern in its currency pair with the Swiss Franc. A drop was contained by the 100-period SMA, currently 0.7379, just nine pips below the spot. This moving average is therefore holding ground, by not allowing the bears to succeed. At the same time, we are
As USD/NOK has just approached the upper edge of the bearish pattern, it is now expected to start depreciating in the direction of 8.36 where it is going to find the green boundary. Bearish expectations are fuelled by the fact that the current price is limited by the weekly R1 and daily R2 from above. Over the next few hours
The Cable is set to rebound. The pair has just bumped into the lower boundary of the bullish channel, which is strengthened by the long-term moving average. GBP/USD is expected to bounce off of the support area at 1.4266/30 and then rally up to 1.4550. In the longer-term perspective, the price could try re-testing 1.4670, namely the February high. Alternatively,
So far this year has been bearish for the Sterling, but the lower time frames suggest the currency has the potential to negate some of the latest losses within the emerging ascending channel. Eventually, in the perspective of the next several weeks, GBP/CAD might recover up to 1.9350, but for now the gains are to be limited by the upper
The first monthly supply level, the pivot point at 162.21, is not a problem for the bulls any more, as this line was crossed last week. Now the focus is turned to the 200-period SMA at 163.78. The goal of violating this resistance is expected to be accomplished successfully, as there are no additional technical levels able to contain the
The base scenario for gold implies an advance, after the current leg down is completed by the end of Monday. As it resumes growing up, the first major obstacle will be located between 1,257 and 1,261. Here gold is going to meet the weekly and daily pivot points, as well as the simple moving averages on all basic time frames.
Since the middle of the last quarter of 2015, the Euro has been trading in an uptrend against the British Pound. The pair is being contained by the monthly pivot point at the moment, but we see the 200-week SMA as a much more important resistance for the cross. This moving average is located at 0.7937 and a rally above
There is a high chance of a downward confirmation of the pattern, which will happen in case the December 2015 low at 8.3240 is penetrated. Such a case is statistically implied by the pattern itself, as rectangles suggest the earlier trend of the pair, which is to the downside, will continue in the future. Weakness of the US Dollar is
This currency pair will shortly reach a point when it should commence a correction to the upside, which is also forecasted by the daily technical indicators at the moment. The green trend-line is placed at 1.1171 and secured by the first daily support for today at 1.1162. Any drop below here seems unlikely, as extra demand is being offered by
Yesterday the US Dollar accelerated its depreciation tendency versus the Polish Zloty, as this cross penetrated an important demand cluster between 3.89 and 3.90. Here the bears managed to eliminate the weekly and monthly S1s that are now helping the pair in prolonging the leg down. Eventually we expect the 3.78 mark to be reached, as this is represented by
Even in case the Cable successfully breaches the 200-period SMA at 1.4268, this currency pair will be most likely forced to resume a downtrend in the medium-term when it touches the red trend-line of the channel down pattern. For now this boundary is placed slightly above the 1.44 mark and is guarded by both weekly and monthly resistance lines. According
The New Zealand Dollar has been declining against its Canadian counterpart since the beginning of 2016, trading in a broadening falling wedge. The pair recently confirmed the wedge's support line and is now aiming to reach the upper boundary circa 0.93. However, daily technical studies suggest the exchange rate is to put the lower border to the test, but
By trading inside the channel down pattern, the Dollar is expected to depreciate against the Norwegian Krone. The main obstacle is the first monthly support line at 8.5109, which risks stopping a decline at any point of time, especially noting the bullish four-hour technical studies and the fact that USD/NOK is heavily oversold in the SWFX market. At the moment