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Weekly Market Analysis 16-20 January 2017 N/A/55
Posted 12 hours ago by cosma Ranking
Article Contest Weekly Analysis Forex News
Good Morning All;
Global equities rose marginally last week, although many major markets dipped, with risk appetite hit by US President-Elect Donald Trump’s first press conference since the election, which provided little clarity around the US policy outlookUS retail sales were weaker than expected, despite continued robust consumer sentiment data
In the US, December’s headline retail sales rose 0.6% mom, marginally less than the 0.7% expected. December’s details are quite disappointing, with vehicles and parts contributing 0.51 ppts and gasoline stations adding 0.15 ppts. Outside of these components, only non-store retailers saw a noteworthy addition of just 0.14 ppts. The control group (excluding autos, gas and building materials) also disappointed at 0.2% mom against 0.4% expected, with the prior month revised down to 0.0% mom from 0.1%. This data appears at odds with the continued rise in consumer sentiment, but it still translates into a firm core group yoy rate of 3.4% despite disappointing November and December releases. January’s University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment preliminary release showed little change, dipping very slightly to 98.1 from 98.2. The current…
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Money Does Make more Money 21/55
Posted yesterday at 09:49 GMT by RahmanSL Ranking
Trading The Forex Market Making Money From The Forex Market Trading Forex As An Investment

When I stumbled into the forex world in late 2009, I used to win forex competitions. I did that without knowing why and how I managed to make hundreds of percentage over the initial capital. I would simply place huge positions on currency pairs, gold & other commodities and, through sheer luck, market move in my favor and I would shoot to the top of the competition ranking. However, none of the competition money lasted for more than a couple weeks before the trading account is all wiped out.
I visited and participated in many online forums and asked seasoned & expert Forex Traders for advice and guidance in becoming a successful Trader.
Most of them were very helpful to Newbies, but one particular Trader’s advice has remained with me all these years:
“There are many forex experts who can advise, teach, and show you how to trade. But, ultimately, it’s down to you and you alone to decide what type of Trader you are going to be and to decide on a trading system that best suit your trading style and which you can be comfortable with in making consistent profits.”
That is all so true because what works for one Trader doesn’t necessarily work for another.
I tried to learn and to trust t…
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5 Events to Watch for this Week 26/55
Posted yesterday at 09:17 GMT by mukeshsharmaa78 Ranking
News Trading Forex Eurozone Watch Events Economic Data Brexit

Like many, we recognize that political factors may overshadow macroeconomic drivers in shaping the investment climate in the period ahead.
We suspect this will be very much the case in the coming days It is not that the economic data doesn’t matter, but for many investors, the imprecision and quirky nature of the high frequency economic data pale in comparison to the risks emanating from politics and policy.
Before providing a thumbnail sketch of the five events, we think may shape the investment climate in the week ahead, allow us to briefly preview the economic highlights. The US and Japan round out the large countries industrial output reports. Europe accelerated. Japan is will likely confirm the strongest monthly increase since March 2014. US industrial output is expected to have snapped back from a weak November. The soft patch the dragged it lower for three of the past four months through November may have ended.

The US, UK, and Canada report inflation measures.
UK inflation is expected to have stabilized at higher levels, though PPI may continue to trend higher. US headline CPI is expected to continue to converge with the core rate, as is repeatedly done for the past fift…
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Introduction to Forex 29/55
Posted yesterday at 05:35 GMT by adnanking789 Ranking
Trading Forex Liquidity History Benefit Ancient Modern

What Is Forex?

The foreign exchange market is the "place" where currencies are traded. Currencies are important to most people around the world, whether they realize it or not, because currencies need to be exchanged in order to conduct foreign trade and business. If you are living in the U.S. and want to buy cheese from France, either you or the company that you buy the cheese from has to pay the French for the cheese in Euros (EUR). This means that the U.S. importer would have to exchange the equivalent value of U.S. dollars (USD) into Euros. The same goes for traveling. A French tourist in Egypt can't pay in Euros to see the pyramids because it's not the locally accepted currency. As such, the tourist has to exchange the Euros for the local currency, in this case the Egyptian pound, at the current exchange rate.
What is the need of Forex?
The unique aspect of this international market is that there is no central marketplace for foreign exchange. Rather, currency trading is conducted electronically over-the-counter (OTC), which means that all transactions occur via computer networks between traders around the world, rather than on one centralized exchange. The market is open …
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Canadian Pairs 32/55
Posted 16 Jan. by foreignexchange Ranking
Parabolic Sar Money Flow Index Linear Regression Slope
CHART SCALE: Weekly
INDICATORS: Parabolic Sar, Money Flow Index, Linear regression slope
RESISTANCE LEVELS: 0.8001
SUPPORT LEVELS : 0.73229
PAIR ANALYSIS :
CAD/CHF has been traded within a trendless tendency . The chart indicates a key level price of around the 0.77001 value.
The MFI, the linear regression slope at 0.0001 suggest an indecision zone and the Parabolic Sar support the validity of the convergence zone intuition with a slightly bearish tendency. The bullish crossing of the resistance line at 0.8001 could facilitate a 0.82001 objective level. A bearish crossing at 0.73229 could be interpreted as possible bearish domination market trend.
This level can be considered as a possible convergence price in consideration of the cyclic analysis. Also the chart analysis and the technical analysis could support this value as a possible forecast.
FIGURE 1 shows the trendlines
CHART SCALE: Weekly
INDICATORS: Parabolic Sar, Money Flow Index, Linear Regression Slope
RESISTANCE LEVELS: 97.001
SUPPORT LEVELS : 83.002
PAIR ANALYSIS :
The CAD/JPY is in a slightly bullish channel tendency as indicated in fig 2. The tendency of the chart analysis indicate a possible bullish domination but th…
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What we Might Have Missed due to Christmas? 30/55
Posted 16 Jan. by arjaq Ranking
News Trader Contest Major Pairs Exotic Pairs Trade Ideas Minor Pairs
Christmas break
Right now, as we all should be well rested after Christmas and New Year time, we have to remember though, that there were events occuring and the market will be likely pricing all things in with some delay now.
Since we might have gone a little bit out-of-zone as most of us likely spent great time with families and friends, I will try to give some compilation of the most important news (in my opinion) that could help to get us back in-zone faster.
In general, I'd just like to mention, we are likely to see increased volatility during the first weeks of the January, as many are coming back to the market with us alike. I advise to pick the trades carefully as we can earn really a lot now with the right choices or lose a huge sum with the wrong choices.
Well, for traders it is just about time to really get up now, together with markets!
Important events&data
  1. Turkish lira - the very first candidate for being the biggest mover this month or even this year. Breaking the most important data that came just on the very first days of the year 2017 according to that currency:
[list][/list]…
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Trade with Pattern 3/55
Posted 16 Jan. by rupesh1984 Ranking
Forex Support Resistance Trade Price Action Pattern Patience
Hello everyone,
Today I am going to share with you a very simple yet very effective method of trading currencies most of the people know it by the name of Price Action for using this method you need only one quality that is Patience.
The idea is to draw the important horizontal support and resistance lines on the chart. Time frame may be any,i personally prefer 4 Hour chart or above,after drawing the horizontal lines,we will wait for the price to reach these lines and get rejected or to go through these lines and wait for a pullback and then getting rejected.
HOW TO DRAW SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LINES
To draw support and resistance lines, keep in mind that there should be 3 or more touches to the trend line to be valid. You may refer to this link of www.babypips.com about placing support and resistance lines explaining very neatly how to place the support and resistance lines on the chart. After the lines have been drawn, we need to wait for the price action.
WHAT IS PRICE ACTION
Price action is nothing but the formation of candles that hint a reversal or continuation of the trend.
Let us say that we see the weekly chart of the NZDUSD pair and find lower highs and lower lows for…
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The Oversold Euro 31/55
Posted 16 Jan. by fxvolatilian Ranking
Traders Contest Eurozone Fundamental Contest Market Forecast Technical Trading
The euro fell from the high around 7 am Friday at 1.0685 all day to the low of 1.0603 after the US close—and then corrected higher by almost exactly 62% to 1.0657. . On the wider move over the last two days, a 50% retracement of the upmove would take the euro down to 1.0568.
On another analysis and what we are foresees that far faster inflation in the eurozone than the ECB expecting. Prices rise by 2% as early as Q2 and stay there for several quarters. The ECB sees only 1.7% on average in 2017 and that’s a jump from 1.1% in December. But sees the weak euro as feeding imported inflation and it won’t be a one-time thing.
Consumers are buying 9% more imported goods and services than in 2009. We all knows that the Exporters are happy to raise prices on higher demand. And the role of the euro as an invoicing currency has fallen. Here’s the turn of events: "Underestimating the significance of the exchange rate pass through will provide the hawkish members on the governing council with ammunition to force a discussion on tapering, earlier than expected as inflation creeps above staff projections.''
When we get a bit confused about the forecast, we look at the weekly chart. This time it of…
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World Reserve Currency 25/55
Posted 15 Jan. by AAARated Ranking
USD Forex Gold Standard World Reserve Currency
A world reserve currency can be defined as a currency which is kept in large quantities by many different governments and institutions for their international transactions. The world reserve currency is considered as safe-haven currency.
As of the 20th century, the US Dollar was made the world’s reserve currency and because of that the US government has an advantage of over $100 billion per year when they borrow capital from other countries.

World War 2 and Marshall Plan:

World War 2 destroyed many of the countries in Europe and Asia, except the United States of America. As a result European countries were running out of their gold reserves and borrowed from USA. This made USA ending up with large gold reserves, which resulted in USA being the only nation left with a good economy, making it a major political and economic power after the war.
In 1944, the allied nations came together in an effort to make an international monetary system which would prevent the economic crisis and sustain the economies around the world following WWII. The Allied nations named it “Bretton Woods Agreement”, which laid foundations for an international monetary system that created rules for economie…
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EUR/USD - когда паритет 33/55
Posted 15 Jan. by Vlad_55 Ranking
Тренд Прогноз Паритет Профит
« Будет ли паритет в паре EUR/USD » - данный вопрос возникает в головах трейдеров давно. И чем ближе курс пары к 1, тем актуальнее становится данная тема.
В ходе предвыборной компании Дональд Трамп пообещал понизить налоги и увеличить государственные расходы, что соответственно поддерживает ожидания усиления экономического роста США.
Это же может заставить ФРС возобновить процесс нормализации монетарной политики. Первый шаг к этому был уже сделан – процентная ставка ФРС США была в декабре 2016 года повышена. На этом фоне курс пары EUR/USD демонстрировал значительное снижение в район минимумов 2015 года и уже пробил их. На данный момент наблюдается коррекция после значительного и резкого укрепления доллара.
В течение 2017 года ФРС США планируют провести несколько повышений ставок. Каждое такое повышение будет способствовать укреплению доллара.
После выборов 8 ноября 2016 года будущего президента США Дональда Трампа – пара EUR/USD на одном дыхании упала более чем на 400 пунктов.
3 января пара снизилась до минимального значения - 1.0350, после чего произошел отскок. До паритета оставалось пройти всего 350 пунктов.
Обратите внимание на снижение пары на 400 пунктов после выборов и …
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Binves Strategy (std) 19/55
Posted 15 Jan. by chebyrashka Ranking
Article Contest Trading Plan Binves My Strategy


Большой стаж торговли отличает то, что со временем нарабатываются важные НАВЫКИ торговли.

Торговля ведется на основе систематического технического анализа рынков, анализе и интерпретации экономических и других фундаментальных данных. Торговля построена таким образом, что вход в позиции не частый – 1 - 2 раз в день, 3-6 раза в неделю на один инструмент (например Eur/usd). Осуществление данной торговой программы зависит как от технического, так и от фундаментального анализа. Технический анализ включает в себя изучение ценовых графиков(price action), уровней поддержки/сопротивления, скользящих средних. Фундаментальный анализ включает в себя условия рынка, тренд и волатильность, спрос и предложение, а также экономические факторы и другие мировые события, которые могут повлиять на рынки.
Торговля ведется по тренду. Торговля имеет прибыль также и во время консолидации рынка, его флэта. Установлены условия для входа в сделку, точки входа, выхода. Обязательный SL и TP. Рассчитаны риски на сделку, разработан манименеджмент счета. При торговле учитывается средние показатели волатильности рынка, его ликвидность. Производится постоянный контроль за новостями и контроль за морально психологич…
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Automation of Strategy Macd + Stochastic 16/55
Posted 13 Jan. by Ayushvam Ranking
Strategy Article Contest Articles Trader Contest Backtesting Trader Statistics Macd Visual Jforex Stochastic
In my previous article i have shown you a strategy based on MACD & stochastic oscillator. This strategy is one of the best strategy present in the library. Lets automate it and see
is this is a profitable strategy or not?
So lets start building the strategy first.

STEP-1 Beginning

1. Periods + Instrument Selections
2. Position Limiting Block
Take a look at the Figure-
STEP-2 Indicators

1. Macd

As from figure to Open a trade we have to look at the slope of macd.
is it upward or downward? To know we have to think about simple maths. we need three last histograms to be
Uptrend- "up down up"
Downtrend- "down up down"

See the Figures
hence it is confirmed that we have require the past three histogram data which is given by
MACD(Shift1), MACD(Shift2), MACD(Shift3)

2. Stochastic

A simple Stochastic of default period with shift-1
This is how it looks like-
STEP-3 Opening Orders
1. In the figure, The left hand portion is for opening Sell order and Right hand portion is for open Buy orders.
2. We have used 3 macd hence to Open a position we have to use same down up down strategy for opening Short position and vice versa for a long position.
3. Stochastic is default as crossover, if it …
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False Breakout Strategy 27/55
Posted 12 Jan. by Erka_shildeg Ranking
Entry Setup Profit Stop Target Range Strategy Pscychology
13Introduction
The forex market is a constant battle between bulls and bears. There is wise saying that “Bulls make money, bears makes money but pigs are slaughtered”. If we do not implement strategic trading considering all the risks, having proper money management and mastering own psychology then the result will be obvious. I often note that in ranging market, one particular strategy always works. It is called “False breakout strategy”. In this article, I will illustrate how I used this strategy. False breakout strategy is based on the major support and resistance levels.
Time Frame and Currency Pair
The false breakout strategy can be implemented in any time frame and any pairs, but for this example, I took 4 hours candlestick chart on USD/SEK currency pairs. This means that each candle on the chart represents 4 H of price movement.
Strategy Concept
In ranging market, the price often reverse after an attempt of false breakout around the resistance or the support levels. This happens because of the buyers and sellers are in hesitant state of mind at tricky levels. (Figure 1 equilibrium condition). Figure 1. In ranging market, equilibrium condition prevai
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USD between Trump and Yellen 36/55
Posted 12 Jan. by hossamgabr Ranking
USD Yellen Trump

Trump: as expected before the election results, almost analysts were suggesting a massive drop of the USD once Trump is elected to be USA president.. that's what makes many traders think that Clinton will be for sure the new elected president in the economic point of view. Mmm in the Election Day's few 1st hours, an uncertainty have been shown in the start of viewing the results , about +- 300 pipes were up and down in an unknown market movement, till California result which confirmed the debate . Trump is the President!
A massive moving up have been done which reflected a good healthy indicator for an understanding of Trump economic agenda.. although all reports about racism, Mexico , Russia, Arab and Muslims were confirming an instability of the economic status, means only one thing!! It is just misunderstanding to Trump.
Few days later, Yellen came with the interest rates decision to fire up the USD with an interesting plan for 2017 also..
Then yesterday was the 1st test to USD with Trump, by the 1st speech the USD has been injured on heart with an increase in market fearing and demotivation.
Now, the question is: will Trump continue shooting the USD down or Yellen will help U…
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Top Trading Opportunities for 2017 10/55
Posted 12 Jan. by Daytrader21 Ranking
GBP/USD EUR/USD Seasonality Fractals Forex Forecast Brexit Trump S&p500
This article is about what currencies and other asset classes I think is going to be the most at risk and can offer us the best opportunities in term of risk to reward ratio in the year ahead. 2016 has caused a lot of trauma in terms of volatility and it also builds up extreme trends that I would consider extreme because they don’t really fit between fundamental, technical and market conditions and that creates a lot of anxiety and it certainly curbs the potential for follow through. This kind of market conditions sends a clear warning that trends can reverse or at least give us a decent tradable retracement.
We’re going to look at a possible rebalancing of these divergent aspects and I think this is going to feed into the trading opportunities that we have in 2017.
EUR/USD Trade Opportunity for 2017
The EUR/USD is the most severe or at risk currency amongst the majors as the parity level will act as a catalyst and ultimately this will become a self-fulfilling prophecy. However, what is more important is what will happen with EUR/USD after the parity level is reached? I believe that the answer to this question will reveal the EUR/USD trade for 2017.
The monetary policy bearings th…
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