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Making Profits Consistently | the Simple Approach 11/29
Posted 18 Feb. by killer195175_reborn Ranking
Risk To Reward Trendlines Position Size Stop-Loss Take-Profit Support Lines Resistance Lines
The goal of a successful trader is to make the best trades. Money is secondary. – Alexander Elder
Hello, my dear friends and fellow community members.
1. INTRODUCTION
To make sure that we, the members of the Dukascopy Community are profitable each and every month I want to share with you an idea that if we put into practice then we will definitely be in profits at the end of each month. We have to find out a system, in which our stop loss and take profit is predefined. Also, we have to make sure that our take profit level is at least 3 times from the traded price as much as the stop loss is.
2. THE PLAN
We will put 1% of our account at risk on every trade. And we will aim for 3% of the account if we are right. To understand what I am talking about, we need to do a simple mathematics. Let us say that we took 10 trades in a month in this manner, where we risked 1% to gain 3%. And let us say that 5 trades were not in our favor. In other words, the stop-loss was triggered. The price hitting stop-loss 5 times means we have lost 5% of our entire capital(as we had 1% at risk on each trade and 1*5=5). At the same time out of 10, we have also won the five trades. Winning 5 trades mean that …
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Tорговля пробоев экстремумов предыдущего дня 17/29
Posted 17 Feb. by AnddreyDr Ranking
Strategy Gbpusd Tradercontest

В прошлой статье я рассматривал поведение цены при пробое экстремумов предыдущего дня. Анализ показал, что в большинстве случаев после пробоя минимума или максимума предыдущего дня цена продолжает двигаться в том же направлении как минимум еще 10 пунктов. Однако, в комментариях к статье справедливо было замечено, что до достижения дано цели цена может откатиться назад и закрыть позицию по стоп лоссу. В данной статье постараемся подобрать оптимальный стоп лосс и построить стратегию торговли пробоев экстремумов предыдущего дня.


Определение уровня стоп лосса

Для определения уровня стоп лосса воспользуемся функцией оптимизации торгового робота в платформе JForex. Но сначала опишем самого торгового робота. Торговый робот будет запускаться после закрытия дневной свечи нужного нам торгового инструмента и выполнять следующие операции:


  • Закрывать все открытые позиции (позиции будут закрываться по тейк профиту, стоп лоссу либо в конце дня)
  • Проверять дату закрывшейся свечи (торговать будем только во вторник, среду, четверг и пятницу)
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Breakout Trading Strategy 14/29
Posted 17 Feb. by DaTony9 Ranking
Support And Resistance Breakouts Swing High And Swing Low Breakouts Volume Weighted Moving Average

In order to understand what breakout trading is, you have to understand that there are two types of breakouts. Well I am going to talk about two types of breakout trading setup:
  1. Support and Resistance breakouts
  2. Swing high and Swing Low breakouts
So what is breakout trading? Simply put it, breakout trading is an attempt to enter the market once the price moves outside a defined price range (support or resistance). However, the important characteristic of a genuine breakout is that it needs to be accompanied with increased volume. A chart speaks more than words can do so here is what support and resistance breakout trading should look like: Please take a piece of paper and a pen because what you’re about to learn next is very crucial and it needs to be immortalized. In breakout trading a genuine breakout is followed by a big, bold candle that closes well above the support resistance level. In the figure above, this can be noticed quite instantly. As a rule in breakout trading the bigger the breakout candle is the better. What is breakout trading of a swing high and swing low? Well, we apply the same rules as in the case of the support and resistance breakout trading but adding one…
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Momentum Based Trading Strategy 13/29
Posted 16 Feb. by TarMarHan Ranking
Article Contest Cci Strategy Contest Momentum Indicators Stochastic Indicator Visual Jforex Commodity Channel Index

Introduction

Momentum based trading strategy is an investment strategy that aims to capitalize on the continuance of existing trends in the market. In order to take advantage of the perceived opportunity, a trader takes a long position in a currency pair that has shown an upward trending price, or short-sells a security that has been in a downtrend. The idea being once a trend is established, it is more likely to continue in that direction than to move against the trend.
This article looks at how we can create a momentum based trading strategy in Visual JForex using the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and Stochastic indicators.
What is Visual JForex?

Visual JForex is a comprehensive solution to build, test and run strategies; it is based on a user-friendly interface using drag and drop feature. It has a unique way to develop fully automated strategies using blocks linked to each other to build a complete and ready-to-execute forex strategies. The platform is web based presenting a flash user interface with a Java backend.

Fig 1: Visual JForex platform.

Momentum indicators

  • Commodity Channel Index
The CCI is an oscillator introduced by Donald Lambert in 1980 that is useful …
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What Is the Shoulder Head Shoulder? 10/29
Posted 15 Feb. by FreeLancer Ranking
Technical analysis Trading Head And Shoulders Pattern
In this article I will talk about:
  1. What is?
  2. What are the main features?
  3. How does the reversal confirmation of occur?
  4. Example.

What is?
It is a graphical pattern or a reversal figure that signals the shift from a high to low trend. But how does pattern formation occur? Generally the SHS (Shoulder Head Shoulder) is formed by three consecutive tops that are separated from each other by two.
Image 1 - Head and shoulders formation
The tops 1 and 3 highlighted in the figure usually occur in the same price range and are the shoulders of the pattern. The top 2 is the tallest, is located between the shoulders and is known as the head of this reversal figure.
The two points in the bottom are formed in the same price range, where it is possible to draw a horizontal line or a diagonal line with a slight slope linking them. This line is known as the neck line. It works as a support and plays a key role in confirming the pattern.
What are the main features?
1 - Occurs within a bullish trend. This means that tops and bottoms precede the formation of the pattern. The head is the last rising top, that is, the highest point of the trend.
Image 2 - Head and shoulders projection
2 - Projectio…
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Signal Detection Theory in a Sentiment Indicator 8/29
Posted 13 Feb. by pshan Ranking
Article Contest Sentiment Indicator Signal Detection Theory
In a trading period of two years, from 2014 to 2016, I've tested a sentiment trading indicators. One was live traded, the Options Sentiment Indicator (OSI), and one was backtested during the same period. This other indicator was able to generate buy and sell signals on the Euro every single trading day, the sentiment proxy of the universe of texts courtesy of SMA.
What was interesting is in theory the OSI, a proprietary indicator, acted as a noise trading indicator, able to profit in times of non-linearity, or during see-saw trends in the market for the Euro. And, the sentiment proxy from SMA, was able to capture a greater risk-reward ratio then a non-directional Euro from 2014 to 2016.
Here's the EUR/USD chart for the corresponding time period of the study:
TABLE RESULTS
Now, to introduce the signal detection theory, it's important to note that this perception science has everything to do with signals presented, and signal responses. Similar to getting an eye exam, where the optometrist presents a series of signals on an x-y coordinate, the signal detection theory tests whether there were matching responses (a "hit"), or a failure to recognize the signal (a "miss"). Whats more, th…
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Trading Analyse Stock Indicies, Eurusd and Wti Crude Oil 15/29
Posted 13 Feb. by VectorCZ Ranking
Trading Analysis Eurusd Wti CMD/USD
February began in the financial markets very wild. Important assets are showing unprecedented or even historically record moves. We observe the sharp drops of brutally growing cryptocurrencies, strong declines in stock indices, bonds and oil, or a swing US dollar strengthening.
For stock indices, it is not yet possible to talk about the final expected turnover, but the drops in the past 6 days are really significant and fast. Daily candles on the US Dow Jones index of over 500 but more than 1000 points are stunning.
The definitive turnover of equity indices does not confirm the intraday development, where the continuing efforts of important Market Movers are still to reverse or at least significantly correct the intraday downturns.
On the other hand, the market's reaction to news in the last days suggests a possible turn of the mines or their proximity. The data is very recent in the US, the results of the companies also, the revolutionary tax reform actually realized, yet the indices started a significant weakening.
The first and one of the major drops in the decline was the 2.70% surplus for US 10-year bond yields in the first week of February. Instead, the analysts now add t…
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от лося к олимпу 12/29
Posted 11 Feb. by kish Ranking
Forex Video Pictures Humor Jackie Chan Liverpool
Считать деньги в чужом кармане нехорошо, но интересно

Данная статья создана для развлечения и отдыха от будних дней на форексе. Считайте то, что после успешного трудового дня, вы взяли две бутылки пива и начали смотреть футбольный матч "Ливерпуль-Манчестер Сити". Но это конечно неправда. Скорее всего какой-нибудь фильм с Джеки Чаном (Jackie Chan).
Проснувшись утром, откройте журнал Forbes и посмотрите его. Вы видите там свою фамилию?Нет? Тогда быстро на работу

Есть такое неофициальное правило: "Торговля начинается с выбора кредитного плеча". Если спросите:"Кто придумал?". То отвечу, что я, только что. А может где-то на просторах интернета вычитал от очень умного и продвинутого трейдера. Но суть остается сутью.Так или иначе, перед началом торговли вам предстоит сделать первую ставку в пользу выбора кредитного плеча. Так что будьте аккуратнее.
Задача 1. Правильный выбор кредитного плечаЕсли вы рисковый трейдер, в запасе которого бесконечные свободные минуты в часах и два килограмма кофе, то берите кредитное плечо по максимуму. Для вас это будет нормально. а если вы любите поспать и открывать сделки без стоп лосс (stop loss) на лет десять, минимум - ваш выбор.
Джон Рокфеллер
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психология толпы 6/29
Posted 8 Feb. by Mepcuk Ranking
Dukascopy Jforex Dukascopy Contest Support Line Resistance Line Jforex3
Базис
Основой основ Форекса - являются деньги. Да, деньги которые инвестор должен потерять. Почему потерять? А вы думаете "Уалл Стреет" спит. Форекс - это не благотворительность. На удачу тут не выиграть ни цента. Пример - рассмотрим форекс с точки зрения математики. У Вас всего два решения, играть на понижение или повышение. Какая простота кажется начинающему трейдеру, увы это не так. Это принципиально можно сравнить с бросанием монетки. Тоже две стороны - два варианта ответа, то есть 1/2 или 50% возможного выигрыша (1-количество итераций, 2-количество решений). И гипотеза доказана эмперически (то есть практически) кидая монету огромное количество раз (1 миллион и более) количество выпадения "Орла" будет приближаться к 50%. То есть играя на деньги в игру бросай монетку, вы не выиграете и не проиграете (при огромном количестве раз).
В форексе все похоже, но добавьте к игре комиссию брокера и спред, игра на удачу (допустим только на понижение) станет для Вас убыточной.
Психология толпы
Да, да именно психология толпы и создает Support - Resistance или ценовые уровни. Вы скажете, нет. Они созданы умной системой, увы и ах. Мы - трейдеры сами создаем их. Для меня ценовой уровень, э…
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торговля по ценовым уровням 3/29
Posted 7 Feb. by IgorKolchik Ranking
Технический Анализ Уровни Торговая Стратегия Индикаторы Объёмы
Предисловие
Я не сторонник технического анализа, потому что я считаю его не эффективным из-за того, что он показывает нам прошлое еще и с запозданием, так же я практически не торгую по фундаментальному анализу, потому как большинство новостей в глобальном плане ни на что не влияют и на самом деле являются, как бы по мягче сказать, «фейком». А тех стоящих новостей, которые несут влияние на ценообразование, не так уж и много. Но вот единственное из технического анализа, что имеет непосредственное влияние на будущую цену, так это ценовые уровни и объёмы. Но объёмы не те, что мы встречаем на большинстве торговых терминалов, а те, что несут информацию непосредственно в денежных единицах (объёмы сделок).

Ценовые уровни

Что же такое ценовые уровни в моем понятии? Это те уровни, на которых «решалась» дальнейшая судьба цены, то есть где входит в рынок некий инвестор в рынок и «толкает» цену в нужном для себя направлении. После этого я использую этот ценовой уровень как поддержку/сопротивление, и когда цена начинает подходить к ценовому уровню, я пытаюсь подсесть в «вагон» к сильному инвестору.
Объясню свою логику. Если кто-то с большими инвестициями входит в рынок, да так что может в…
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Mixed Signals for the U.s. Dollar 7/29
Posted 6 Feb. by pshan Ranking
Euro Eurusd Article Contest Sentiment Fxe Spy U.s. Dollar
Last week's market sell-off in U.S. stocks coincided an upshot in interest rates--one of the major anchor points being increased inflation expectations. Although the recent economic forecast from the Atlanta Fed points to economic growth at 5.4%, there's reason to believe that inflation expectations are greater at the rate that we're going.
Whatever the cause of the selloff is, the scenario bodes well for the U.S. Dollar in the near term. This could create a scenario for a relatively stronger dollar as we race back up to the top.
Important to note, the EURUSD has been tumbling down, due most likely to overall market fear. In this scenario the market would eventually get back on course, as the Euro has obstinately stayed on an upward path.
GOVERNMENT SPENDING VS. NET EXPORTS
There are some significant factors to be wary of; such as, re-establishing trade in North America, and relative weakness in the U.S. economy. With the isolationist stance in America, it's hard to know if the U.S. will get back on solid footing to increase net exports, one major component to the GDP equation. Yet, there is increased federal spending. By passing the ever increasing defense spending bill this amoun…
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Forex 2018: so Far and what to Expect Further 1/29
Posted 5 Feb. by md1fk1 Ranking
USA UK Forex Fundamental Japan Eurozone Performance Quarterly Report Brexit 2017
FX 2017 highlights
  • Euro was the strongest performer last year on dissipating geopolitical risk, strong economic growth and ECB tapering.Pound,
  • Aussie and Loonie also did well.
  • Dollar Index down by 10%. The reason for this big move is that other CBs will likely tighten following FED.
FX year to date
  • Sizeable movement for short span of time.
  • Dollar still is the punching bag.
  • Pound outperformance on Brexit optimism.
  • Aussie, Kiwi outperformed on better global economic prospects and rising commodity prices.
  • Yen is not as bearish as expected.
United Stated Economy

  • Annualized growth topped 3% in Q2 and Q3 but Q4 GDP growth missed the expectation to grow by 2.6%. However growth to return above 3% after tax rate cut effect.
  • Headline Inflation for December 2017 was 2.1% y/y, below the 2017 high of 2.7% hit in February. Core PCE came in at 1.5 % y/y in December.
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символизм животных на бирже 16/29
Posted 5 Feb. by Muller Ranking
Article Contest Animals Symbolism
Многим известны биржевые термины «бык» или «медведь», но многие ли знают, что они в действительности означают? А помимо них наберётся ещё больше десятка других. Не вдаваясь в историю их происхождения, рассмотрим основные типы как характеристику трейдеров.
Бык. Олицетворяет покупателя, то есть человека «двигающего» цену вверх так, как бык бьёт рогами, подбрасывая свою жертву. Заинтересованы в росте рынка, и их превосходство над продавцами создаёт «бычий рынок».
Медведь. Означает продавца. Всё как и с быком, но с точностью до наоборот. То есть совершение продажи, сделки на понижение, двигающей рынок вниз, — как медведь бьёт лапой сверху вниз. Установившийся нисходящий тренд называется «медвежьим рынком».
Лемминг. Новичок на бирже, познающий азы и совершающий множество ошибок. И только умение их анализировать и учиться не повторять, сделает из трейдера кого-то ещё из представленных далее. Также есть мнение, что это то же, что и «овца» из-за аналогий в групповых движениях этих животных. Не претендую на истину первой инстанции, но часто и опытные трейдеры ведут себя как овцы, поэтому леммингов отнесу именно к новичкам.
Овца. Трейдер, который не уверен в себе и бездумно следует за тол…
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How to Use Fibonacci in Financial Markets 2/29
Posted 4 Feb. by FXNOAD Ranking
Fibonacci Financial Markets How To Use
1. Introduction:

Fibonacci was one of the most important scientists of Italy in mathematics made a theory that the basis of any rise must be followed by a temporary decline before continuing to rise again and recently traders began to benefit from this theory in predicting the movement of currencies and measure this theory the extent to which the decline of the process and the most important levels seen by Traders are 38.2 and 50.0 and 61.8 of the main movement which is in the general direction of the currency.
2. Applying Fibonacci Theory to Currency Trading:

Fibonacci lines are strong lines to identify support and resistance points, and the idea of these lines is short: that after forming a bullish or bearish trend, the price must return to correct (ie opposite direction). Here comes the role of these lines to determine the extent to which the correction will occur, and whether this correction will reach the degree of reversal of the trend from the rise to the fall or from the descent to the rise.
Fibonacci lines are therefore the support and resistance points in this correction. The trend here may differ from a strong long-term trend on Weekly or Daily, for example, or it may …
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Feel the Power of the Best Advanced Mobile Forex Trading 5/29
Posted 4 Feb. by Hashimu Ranking
Trader Contest Dukascopy Tv Contest Rules
Mobile trading Mobile trading has become almost a necessity in the world of Forex trading as it enables traders to access their accounts and execute trades from wherever they are.
Jforex Forex Mobile Platform
I find myself in the greatest love of using Jforex platform from Dukascopy and it is more convenient, simple, easy to understand and very well for beginners. The platform has all potential needed for a trader to trade patiently without thinking about other complications like it will close directly, it will restart and maybe whenever i decide to trade some google adds will appear on screen, we all know how we feel when adds appears.
Also, it has all securities that you get when you open Computer Jforex Platform. I feel very feel to look my portfolio, Trading reports, Strategies, news, alerts and analysis. You can contact support team at anytime through phone, official web and twitter.
Is Jforex mobile Forex trading any different? You may be thinking that Jforex mobile trading app developed by The Dukascopyis completely different to sitting at home in front of a PC. But you couldn’t be further from the truth. Not only is it just the same but trading on mobile devices is actually…
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