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History of Jackson Hole and its Importance 37/62
Posted 24 Aug. by Sennna88 Ranking
USD Monetary Policy Fed Jackson Hole
The markets are quite, not just because its August and many investors are on leave but also in anticipation to Jackson Hole meeting. So, why is this tiny place usually known for its winter ski complex, such an important economic event ?
Many of the world’s most powerful financial players and policymakers will gather for three days in Jackson Hole, a mountain resort in Wyoming. It goes back to 1978, when the first meeting of such kind was held and since then it offers a chance for central bankers, finance ministers and academics to talk about the world economy in a public but informal setting. The event is formally the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City’s “Economic Symposium”. All 12 of the Fed’s district banks organize research conferences. So how did Jackson Hole become Davos for central bankers?
The first one, on “World Agricultural Trade: The Potential for Growth”, took place in Kansas City, Missouri, where the bank is based. In 1982 the conference moved to Jackson Hole (which is in the Kansas City district) and persuaded Paul Volcker, then chairman of the Fed and an avid fly-fisherman, to attend. In a textbook case of network effects, Volcker’s regular attendance attracted oth…
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Forex Weekly Analysis 40/62
Posted 23 Aug. by cosma Ranking
Analysis Article Contest #forex
Good Morning Community;
we'll see now a New Currency Analysis. August,22.
#EnjoyReading
Last week’s highlights
•Pound strengthens on above-forecast July data
•Fed remains divided on interest rate outlook
•Eurozone’s July inflation confirmed at 0.2% and 0.9%
This week’s highlights
•Second estimate of Q2 German, UK, US GDP
•Fed Chair Yellen to speak at Jackson Hole Symposium
•US Durable Goods Orders, German Business Climate

GBP
The pound strengthened last week as data came in above expectations for July, the first full month following the EU Referendum. Inflation rose 0.6% year-on-year, the fastest pace in three years, up from 0.5% in June. The Retail Price Index rose 1.9%, the Producer Price Index - Input rose 4.3%, and the Producer Price Index - Output rose 0.3%. Claimant Count Change was expected to increase but instead fell 8.6K. Retail Sales jumped 1.4% month-on-month and 5.9% year-on-year. Public Sector Net Borrowing posted a surplus of £1.472B. The gains enabled the pound to ease off new three-year lows against the euro and recover ground against the dollar. However, the pound came under renewed pressure on Friday on comments that the UK might invoke Article 50 by April 2017, …
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The Macd Indicator 31/62
Posted 22 Aug. by FX_Riper Ranking
Chart Indicator Macd
The MACD Indicator The MACD or Moving Average Convergence Divergence is very popular indicator used by a great amount of traders and financial investors worldwide.
The MACD was original created by Gerald Appel somewhere around the 1970 for technical analysis and trading tool.
It is a type of momentum and also a trend following indicator oscillator, it has built in several moving averages and trough a series of mathematical calculations it produces a signal line.
The MACD Formula: there are several variations depending on the broker or if the indicator is custom made, but the most commonly formula is basically is (12 EMA – 26 EMA) to produce the MACD and then 9 EMA or SMA over the mathematically result of the MACD to make the signal line. The indicator also makes a histogram to give a closer view of a possible trend change
Most common setting: Fast EMA12, Slow EMA 26, MACD 9 SMA or 9 EMA
Method of use:
several aspects are observed to read the indicator and they are MACD cross over/under the signal line, MACD cross over/under the zero line, convergence, divergence and also the wide separation of the 2 lines could indicate an imminent reversal of a spike or the trend at all.
The MACD …
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August 22 Technical Analysis Hkg.idx/HKD 15/62
Posted 22 Aug. by HOME Ranking
Hkg IDX/HKD Hkg Idx 恒生指数
August 22 Technical Analysis-HKG.IDX
  • Analysis strategy: buy low and sell high
  • Analysis method: ① Curve divergence (Top divergence,Bottom divergence) The probability of occurrence of steering is often large.② Channel line,Trend line.
  • Technical indicators: ① RSI Relative Strength Index (30 or less, 70 or more,Greater accuracy probability) ② KDJ(100 or more ,belong to the overbought zone. 0 or less ,belong to the oversold area)


Channel line and Trend line
It can be applied in both price and Technical indicators.
Highs and highs, lows and lows, or highs and lows between.
The minimum requirement is three different prices, four, five more meaningful. (Note: must have a time interval)
History of Success:
2015,06------2015,12 USDCHF
1 day candle

2015,12-----2016,06 EURUSD
1 day candle

2014,11----2016,01 USDCAD
1 day candle

HKG.IDX/HKD,This week we focus on technical analysis of future price movements:

1 day candle

KDJ indicators :in overbought zone, short-term buy risk.
RSI Indicator:the trend line support faces from strong to weak, short-term strategy should be sell.
Recalling trend analysis, August 15
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веер савкиной. анализ вероятностей. 27/62
Posted 22 Aug. by katinded Ranking
Математика Анализ Валютных Рынков Коридоры Кати Савкиной Веер Савкиной Теория Вероятностей
Введение.
Целью той статьи является получение уравнений для линий веера Савкиной из самых общих законов теории вероятности, а также нахождению связи его параметров с параметрами реального рынка. Для того мы снова обратимся к модели случайного рынка, которая подразумевает, что
Рынок в равные промежутки времени совершает равное количество одинаковых по величине шагов, причем каждый следующий шаг совершается вверх или вниз с одинаковой вероятностью, которая не зависит от шагов совершенных ранее.
Все понятно в этом определении, но нам еще предстоит уточнить понятие ШАГ. Казалось бы, вполне естественно назвать шагом изменение курса на, например, один пункт, но мы должны учитывать, что при большом количестве шагов курс, в принципе, может заходить и в отрицательную область, что валютным курсам совсем не свойственно. Чтобы исключить такие ситуации, более правильным будет считать, что рынок совершил один шаг вверх, если курс увеличился, например, в 1,0001 раза, и совершил шаг вниз, если в 1,0001 раза уменьшился. При таком подходе, случайные блуждания курса уже никогда не приведут его в отрицательную область, а результатом m шагов вверх и n шагов вниз будет изменение курса в (1,0001m
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Australian Technical Analysis 35/62
Posted 22 Aug. by foreignexchange Ranking
Technical Australian Linear Regression Slope

AUSTRALIAN TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
CHART SCALE
: Weekly
INDICATORS: Parabolic Sar, Money Flow Index, Linear Regression Slope
RESISTANCE LEVELS: 0.77302
SUPPORT LEVELS : 0.74685 - 0.75067
PAIR ANALYSIS :
The Aussie is in a bearish tendency as indicated in fig 1. The currency from the parabolic sar indication could be considered as dominated by the offer part of the market. The Linear Regression Slope around -0.001 and the configuration of the Parabolic Sar seem to support a slightly bearish tendency. The forecasting pattern indicates the possibility of retracement around the support line as indicated in fig 2 . A bullish crossing at 0.77302 could indicate a possible bullish monopoly. China GDP can support the bearish trend.
FIGURE 1 shows the bearish tendency

FIGURE 2
indicates the forecasting pattern
CHART SCALE: Weekly
INDICATORS: Parabolic Sar, Money Flow Index, Linear Regression Slope
RESISTANCE LEVELS: 1.03629 - 1.05522
SUPPORT LEVELS : 0.98677
PAIR ANALYSIS :
AUD/SGD is in a slightly bullish tendency after the retracement at the support zone as indicated in fig 1. The currency pair has been dominated by a buyers positions tendency with few corrections started at 0.98677. The Linea…
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Honey for the Bear Traders, since 1996! 16/62
Posted 20 Aug. by FXRabbit Ranking
Trader's blog Article Contest Forex Analysis Forex History Trade Example Forex Article
"You have now reached infatuation's final destination—the complete and merciless devaluation of self." -- Elizabeth Gilbert
The above quote may be from Ms. Gilbert's memoir "Eat, Pray, Love" on the subject of spirituality and romance, but it best describes the value and strength of the currencies discussed in this article. Without further ado, the following five currencies make our list of the least valued currencies of this century, with old price quotes and charts dating back only to 1996 when we saw the first generation of Forex online trading platforms available for retail Forex traders via the internet.
Please note, that many other currencies that may have topped or equally been worthy enough to be mentioned here has at some point during the past two decades denominated their currency to reduce the unwieldiness of its old value. Also, more emphasis has been given over each nation's current GDP data ranking among all of the present 187 International Monetary Fund (IMF) members.
#1: Uzbekistani Som
Estimated GDP: 187,947 millions of international$ , RANK: 62/187

One US dollar was equal to 40.00 UZS on the 1st January of 1996 and since it has gained 7487% to an unimaginable excha…
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If Ideas Mattered, we Would All Be Rich and Thin 19/62
Posted 20 Aug. by fxsurprise8 Ranking
Article Contest Trading System Discipline Ideas Simple Strategy Bias Behavioral Finance Human Mind Dalbar Forex Study
If ideas mattered, we would all be rich and thin’. I heard that quote once and it stuck with me. Think about all the overweight people around you constantly struggling to control their weight. Don’t these people know how to lose weight? Eat less then you consume. Get off that couch and workout. It’s not rocket science. Yet they don’t do it. Ideas or knowledge are not the problem here. Discipline is.
There are no Secrets
When I first started trading I read all the books I could find on the topic. I backtested all these different systems trying to find my ‘holy grail’. Yet I was losing money. I kept jumping from system to system or trying to improve a perfectly good trading strategy.
Several years and many mistakes later I started to develop the skill that is (in my opinion) the key to being a profitable trader. That skill isn’t programming or backtesting in a futile search for the perfect system. I didn’t figure out a new revolutionary way to look at the market. I developed discipline.
DALBAR Studies Show Investor Underperformance
Take a look at our next picture. This is from the famous DALBAR studies. It compares the returns of the typical investor versus the respective benc…
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What Are the U.s. Leading Indicators Suggesting? 6/62
Posted 19 Aug. by llolor Ranking
Article Contest Fundamental Analysis Economic Indicators Gdp Growth

Introduction

Crystal balls have been used for scrying since time immemorial. Scrying is the art of looking into a reflective surface, such as glass, water, a mirror, or a crystal, to gain mystical insight. The images of the gypsy fortune-teller gazing into her crystal ball and divining someone’s future is so popular. Along with this image comes the common misconception that crystal balls have magical powers that enable them to foretell the future, but rather images from deep within one’s subconscious mind, and the crystal ball is the door through which these subconscious thoughts can be accessed.
Likewise the leading indicators have been used to as a door to access the ‘subconscious mind’ of the economy to gain a better insight of what the future holds and do not necessarily foretell the future. This article looks at the leading indicators from the United States and what they may be suggesting about the future of that economy.
What is a leading indicator?
A leading indicator is a measurable economic factor that changes before the economy starts to follow a particular pattern or trend. These are useful to predict changes in the economy, but they are not always accurate.
A u…
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Utilizing R Code from Jforex Stategy 14/62
Posted 17 Aug. by mcquak Ranking
Automated Trading Java Automated Strategy Er
In my recent articles I was focusing on strategy hypotheses checking and strategies paper-trading in R. So all of these activities with so much of development effort in it bring a valid question. Is there any value in such backtesting and hypothesis checking? My answer is definitely yes, and I'm going try to persuade you about it.
Why doing back test in R when my strategy runs in Java/JForex?
This is valid question. Why anyone would be bothering writing thousand lines of code without any possible reuse?
First of all R is good for quick strategy prototyping. Before we would be bothering to write single line of code in Java, it's better to assure that our strategy is profitable. And R is very good tool for it. Ok, fair enough so far. However this would lead us to justified worries about rewriting whole strategy that we potentially have in R to Java. This could be potentially quite big issue since libraries we are used to use in R usually do not have their opposite siblings in Java world. So my personal intention about strategies being written in R is to be able to reuse as much from the code base in R as possible. How?
Reuse R code in Java/JForex? Use Renjin!

When I was starting inv…
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One Trade per Week Concept 17/62
Posted 16 Aug. by wisdom_consultant Ranking
Trading Strategy Forex Market Concept
Hunting for signals, searching intersections on stochastic, waiting for the formation of pin-bar, hope to close the gap and the expectation that it would be binding on the level of support - that is trading… Not true!
The reason that most traders are unsuccessful cut out that they are trying to open a new order despite the fact that they have to look for reasons to trade less frequently.
If you do not believe in this, then read this article to the end, and you will understand why trading less often, and knowing when it is better not to trade - it is a necessary skill that is inherent in a professional and profitable traders.
Money is being made in anticipation of, rather than in the trade.

- Jesse Lauriston Livermore

1. The first reason not to trade - when you thought about a deal before the opening of the order.

Best deal - those deals that just jump in your hands: after you look at the chart, you will already know what to do. Trading is often referred to as Business "pattern recognition", and the trader who has committed hundreds of transactions, knows the difference between a profitable setup and setup that "looks a bit wrong."
If you pause and ponder for a long time i…
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Currency Weekly Analysis 15 August-19 August 2016 39/62
Posted 15 Aug. by cosma Ranking
#article Contest #forex Analysis #currency
Good Night Users;
we'll see now a new weekly currency forecast.

Last week’s highlights
•Pound falls to new YTD low vs euro
•Dollar falls on disappointing Retail Sales, PPI
•UK trade deficit widens in June
This week’s highlights
•UK July CPI, Claimant Count Change, Retail Sales
•US inflation
•Fed, ECB meeting minutes

GBP
The pound fell 1.07% against the dollar and 1.75% against the euro last week, remaining under pressure after the Bank of England expanded its QE programme and cut interest rates to 0.25% the previous week. Sterling fell to a low around 1.1555 against the euro, its lowest levels since 2013, and to 1.2911 against the dollar, still above its YTD low around 1.2789. Trade balance and Manufacturing Production data for June, out Tuesday, disappointed, adding to the pressure on the pound. The trade deficit in goods widened more than expected to £12.5B, from May’s upwardly revised £11.5B deficit. NIESR estimated that the economy grew a slower 0.3% in the three months through July, contracting 0.2% in July itself.
The calendar picks up this week. July data will be particularly closely watched as markets seek a better understanding of the referendum’s initial impact. July rele…
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характерные скорости трендов. веер савкиной. 23/62
Posted 15 Aug. by katinded Ranking
Математика Коридоры Кати Савкиной Веер Ганна Веер Савкиной
Я никогда не использовал методы Ганна в практической работе. Приходилось участвовать в дискуссиях по поводу основ, и у меня сложилось стойкое ощущение, что неясностей там гораздо больше, чем ясности, ну а использовать на практике то чего не понимаешь глупо и чревато. Тем не менее, интерес остался.
Как поступают на практике приверженцы Ганна, например, с его веером? Есть, вообще говоря, два способа.
Первый. Соединяются отрезком прямой две соседние вершины, и эта прямая объявляется углом 1:1. Далее, строятся остальные углы, и именно на них трейдеры и ориентируются.
Второй. По каким-то соображениям строится так называемый Квадрат Ганна, стороны которого принимаются за масштаб по вертикали и по горизонтали. Способ построения таких квадратов сильно зависит от предпочтений автора, и каждый из этих способов является (по мнению автора) самым правильным.
Вернуться к рассмотрению проблемы масштабов Ганна меня побудило само существование ККС - коридоров вокруг SMA, внутри которых курс проводит большую часть времени. Мне показалось, что будет естественным попытаться использовать ширину коридора в качестве естественного масштаба. На этом пути, однако, мы сразу сталкиваемся с проблемой, котор…
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August 15 Technical Analysis:usatech.idx/USD 9/62
Posted 15 Aug. by HOME Ranking
Technical analysis Usatech IDX/USD Usatech Idx
Technical analysis USATECH.IDX/USD

  • Analysis strategy: buy low and sell high
  • Analysis method: Curve divergence (Top divergence,Bottom divergence) The probability of occurrence of steering is often large.
  • Technical indicators: ①RSI Relative Strength Index (30 or less, 70 or more,Greater accuracy probability) ②MACD trading opportunities and trends judged
1 day candle

1 day candle, February low connection May high, the current high point is formed. RSI indicators ,70 or more, in the overbought area.
Review history:
Use the RSI Review
January 9 - February 10, when the price in the low, RSI indicators at, 30 or less,appear bottom divergence,It can be considered imminent price reversal up,strategic positions and short-term investors can do more.
March 31 - April 18, when prices at a high level, RSI indicator at, 70 or more, appear top divergence,that the price is about to reverse down, investors can short-term strategy and short positions. The use of technical indicators MACD review January 9 - February 22, appears bottom divergence. parameters: from negative to positive. trend: short shift long.
USATECH.IDX/USD,This week we focus on technical analysis of future price movements:
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Concept of Binary Option, Bank, Regulation and Scam 4/62
Posted 15 Aug. by rupesh1984 Ranking
Forex Bank Regulation Binary Option Scam E-Wallet
Earlier Article we focused on strategies of trading in Binary Option and in this we focus on concept of binary option, bank, regulation and scam, So lets have a look :-
  • Concept of Binary Option
Binary options also called digital options or fixed-return options (FRO) are a simple way to trade price fluctuations in a wide range of financial markets. Binary options have different profits, costs, risks, liquidity structure and investment processes than the traditional (vanilla) options. Binary options offer a non-linear return and a way to gain up to 90% of the initial investment/premium if the contract terminates In-the-money. Binary options are a simple yes/no trade in which the trader either gains a fixed profit or loses their original investment. You can buy or sell binary options on stock indices, commodities, currencies and even economic events such as the monthly unemployment report.
Difference between Binary and Plain Vanilla Options
Binary options are significantly different from vanilla options. Plain vanilla options are a normal type of option that does not include any special features. A plain vanilla option gives the holder the right to buy or sell an underlying asset a…
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