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Although this week may have been a good rally week for the dollar, the medium-to-long run factors could divide a solid base of fundamental strength. The number one factor stemming from the employment situation. Due to some favorable economic news overall, an increase in interest rates, and geopolitical stability with a campaign in Syria, things are currently looking up for dollar bulls, but something worth pointing out are the multiplier effects able to contort the U.S. and world economies in the medium-to-long run.
In a previous article, "Mixed Signals For The U.S. Dollar" , I had pointed out some visible disparities for policy making, pointing to choppy trading for the dollar in February and March of this year.
This disparity in policy making can be seen clearly with increased government spending, versus a protectionist stance in trade. On one hand, the economy gains from increased government expenditures; but, on the other hand, the economy suffers a loss from decreases in net exports.
Well, in this article, I argue that these disparities will result in a dramatic divergence in calculating overall averages for GDP growth. When I say dramatic divergence, I do mean an extreme divi…
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AAAnya avatar
AAAnya 10 May


vugarali avatar
vugarali 13 May

good article

mcquak avatar
mcquak 14 May

Very well fundamental article. Good job.

AS_binary_option_trader avatar

Хорошая статья!!!!!!!!!

Dominos avatar
Dominos 23 May

good article

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A lot of differing signals currently exist in the markets, with much of the sentiment perhaps being a false indicator as we await a possible outcome for trade, and as quarterly earnings fill in, per equity markets. The U.S. Dollar has been battered with a need for a new trade pact and tariffs, a so-called trade war is being waged.
The damaging effect to the dollar has mostly given rise to a negative sentiment, possibly being buoyed by a recent increase in interest rates to the overall dollar index level.
However, the debasing of the currency itself is the real damage that could potentially keep the U.S. Dollar submerged for the time being.
Sentiment seems to be operating on a sociopathic level where certain receptors become damaged and a flurry of signals and neurotransmitters get passed without there being any real sense-making, or true indication of actuel health or sentiment.
For example, market participants and sqwakers will always overweight one factor or another to find context or meaning to their position. In fact, they become deleterious agents in the greater complex structure of the markets.
By not gaining a co-receptor, for instance, not being…
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AnddreyDr avatar
AnddreyDr 27 Apr.


pshan avatar
pshan 27 Apr.

Thank you Dr.

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