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22/61
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Introduction
In this article, GBP/USD will be analyzed both fundamentally and technically and as known nothing is impossible in Forex, so different scenarios will be drawn to express about the most probable scenarios with the GBP /USD.
What is affected the move of GBP/USD nowadays:
Fundamental Analysis:
GBP/USD is affected now by two different policies by both Bank of England (BOE) and United States Federal Reserve (FED) and also affected sometimes by UK internal issues like last Scotland independence vote which spread fears about UK unity, finally pound and other currencies is affected due to strong growth in US in the last months which make US$ to be favored.
  • Different policies by BOE and FED:

One year ago, BOE hinted about possible rate hike after improvement of employment and inflation which hit 2%, but after strong fall of inflation to below 0, BOE still not able to talk about possible rate hike before next midyear.
In different, US FED is ready to raise interest rate for the first time from years, FED delayed its first rate hike more than once in order to prevent broad US$ gains which may dampen US growth, this time rate hike is very near but if something horrible hit …
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Durden avatar
Durden 22 Sep.


Great article, well written and useful

A bearish opinion on Pound ; )

Airmike avatar
Airmike 23 Sep.

nice article

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23/61
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Introduction
In this article EUR/USD will be analyzed both fundamentally and technically and as known nothing is impossible in Forex so different scenarios will be drawn to express about the most probable scenarios with the EUR/USD.
What is affected the move of EUR/USD nowadays:
First/ Fundamentally:
EUR/USD is affected now by two different and opposite policies by both European Central bank (ECB) and United States Federal Reserve (FED) and also affected by special crisis of each country of the EU which is affected –sometimes- the unity of EU and finally Euro and other currencies is affected due to strong growth in US in the last months which make US$ to be favored.
  • Different policies by ECB and FED:

ECB was injecting EU area by quantitative easing (QE) in order to support growth and raise inflation, simply (QE) means that ECB printed more Euros and the natural reaction for this is to weaken Euro against other pairs, in last meeting, ECB still ready to inject more QE is market conditions required.
In different, US FED is ready to raise interest rate for the first time from years, FED delayed its first rate hike more than once in order to prevent broad US$ gains which may dampe…
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Airmike avatar
Airmike 23 Sep.

nice

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21/46
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This article is an update for my last article "Black Days for Gold Is Coming"PrefaceIn my last article, I wrote about selling gold after breaking the strong support at 1540, I advised to sell at this place with small stop loss and great take profit. But what happened ? Gold fall dramatically in the Monday opening in the last week, it seems like that gold collapse.What happened for gold :Let's remember the broken support :The price of gold at 1540 is not normal place, let's see what this area represents.Chart Shows strong area at 1540Breaking the 1540 caused collapse :When gold price hit the 1540, downtrend accelerated and it seems that huge stop losses was hit, and this is exactly what caused the collapse. Briefly falling prices hit huge stop losses (turn from buy to sell) which causes more falling for prices.Chart Shows that gold ounce lost 220 USD in 30 hourGold recent Scenarios:After collapse of gold, in the long term we should look to sell gold again and again but in the near term retracements is expected and we will sell at the probable strong resistance available. Below we will discuss the probable retracements of gold and recent scenarios of the movement of gold.First scenar…
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khalidamassi avatar

hazem2013, after reaching 1485, gold indicates some weakness signs, now you should enter with breaking the range below 1460 to go short again in gold.if gold break the 1485 area it should face strong resistance at 1495 or 1500 so you should know that the target of going long in gold is limited ... I hope these words is useful for you

khalidamassi avatar

merosalah, thanks for support

khalidamassi avatar

alifari, thanks for support

khalidamassi avatar

Thanks for everybody for support

Experimenter1 avatar

good job

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3/35
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Hello dear members Dukas community, first of all, I want to wish to everyone, a happy 2013, which this year be full of many pips "blue" for all. This month I return to articles, and once again within the philosophy of negotiating with simplicity. I bring you another strategy that already use a few years ago, call it FiboDec_System. For this strategy, we will use graphs 1 hour time frame. The analysis should be performed between 18 and 23:00 GMT, and my experience tells me that analyzes at 18:00 may translate into better results, however later analysis also show very interesting perform. This system should be divided into a few distinct stages, namely: 1) Determination of maximum and minimum of the last 24 hours 2) Application of Fibonacci_Dec (Fibonacci custom which is divided into tenths) 3) Determination of scenario / predominant trend 4) Definition of possible scenarios Having said this, I try to describe each of these steps so in summary form, to anyone of you could try this system. MAX vs. MIN The first thing to do is determine the maximum and minimum which occurred in the last 24 hours or since the last review. We'll need these values ​​when we make the application of our Fib…
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Likerty avatar
Likerty 25 Jan.

I like this approach but I would add common mathematical proportions - 25 %, 75, 125, 175 etc..

Sintano avatar
Sintano 26 Jan.

If you so much like mathematical proportions, I would recommend you to work over Murray Math SR levels. These are a must in my personal trading system.

Bluedragon avatar
Bluedragon 29 Jan.

Sintano i know it and a like very much ;). Thanks for suggest

Bluedragon avatar
Bluedragon 29 Jan.

Likerty if you see, the targets in this strategy is not so far of your suggest values ;) I think that is important test all scenarios, because everyone is right ;)

SpecialFX avatar
SpecialFX 30 Jan.

Another good strategy, thanks for sharing! :) Will this one be automated as well sometime in the future?

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14/35
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As the global equity markets continued to rally in response to the new round of stimulus measures outlined by the US Federal Reserve, the Kiwi also registered sharp gains relative to the US Dollar over the last several days. In reaching its current exchange rate, it broke the major Resistance boundary of the Monthly and Weekly Pennant to signal the possible start of sharp and fast gains over the next few months. Nevertheless, this bullish signal could be the setup for a false breakout that leads to a sharp bearish reversal insidethe Pennant, if safe-haven flows take over the markets once more. This analysis will therefore look at these two scenarios in detail, using Fibonacci Retracement and Extension levels as well as Support and Resistance to predict possible turning points and price targets in both directions. CURRENT SCENARIO The Kiwi Dollar has been moving within the large Descending Pennant that began to be formed at the start of August in 2011 (see Monthly Chart). This has taken place at the peak of the strong uptrend that has held since the recovery of the financial markets in March 2009, following the flight to safety actions in favour of the US Dollar. MONTHLY CHAR…
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DaddyPapi avatar
DaddyPapi 25 Sep.

thanks, QE 3 isnt gonna do much to stimulate growth, just limit downside risks. Despite the European and Asian export market downturn, a lower USD definitely would still help

Nick_T avatar
Nick_T 26 Sep.

DaddyPapi, are you more into the Forex market or do you also pay some interest to stock market? Do you trade for living?

LinnuxFX avatar
LinnuxFX 26 Sep.

Another excellent analysis in a great article, good luck...

DaddyPapi avatar
DaddyPapi 26 Sep.

Thanks Linnux, Nick T, Forex is the focus, will branch off into stock markets later since the patterns and principles are the same...yes I trade live and earn income, but part-time for now..

scramble avatar
scramble 27 Sep.

seems like if we no see a new clear high this week... shorts will be in play next one to go for 8000. just an opinion looking develops in PA. great analysis btw!

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