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31/70
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1. Fast-growing oil reserves
US commercial oil reserves have broken all records in the past year. The volume of oil storages in the United States reached a 80-year-old top-level of 490 million barrels. They then declined slightly in the middle of summer, but the end of the year and increased again in December, has already exceeded the figure of 490 million barrels per day. And now, the oil reserves of the United States remains the highest in the world.
2. All of increasing OPEC production
The cartel began to exceed its own quota in November 2014. Since then, OPEC production rose by more than 1 million barrels a day. Production growth was recorded mainly in Iraq (plus 900 thousand. - 1 million barrels per day) and Saudi Arabia (plus 600 thousand barrels per day). The December meeting of OPEC caused a new fall in oil prices. And with the return on Iranian oil market, OPEC production in 2016 will rise further.
3. Slow down the Chinese economy
China has been the main driver of growth in oil demand last decade. But in 2015, China's economy is cracking, GDP growth slowed down, and across Asia began to spread fears of global instability. And then on the stage appeared quietly India. In t…
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al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 29 Jan.

Useful content, nicely explained and very well written!

tdbatinkov avatar
tdbatinkov 31 Jan.

interesting conclusions

Alisitas avatar
Alisitas 9 Feb.

Интересно

Sharpshooter avatar

Жаль, что не на русском((

Alivio avatar
Alivio 25 Feb.

нужно учить английский пригодится)

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19/70
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1.0 Introduction
Fuel prices are falling in recent months. CAD trading forex pairs (CAD is inversely correlated with the price of Oil) as well as Oil in recent weeks are in the strongest trend in the last 10 years. Some experts predict that the price of "black gold" in the coming period could fall below $ 20 a barrel. In this case, analysts estimate, many countries have to stop production.
As we know, the price of oil is based on supply and demand. Despite claims that oil demand falls, data from the International Energy Agency show that she, on the contrary, is growing. But the scope of supply growing faster than demand, and there is a major problem.
Figure 1: Huge drop in Oil price since June 2014. From $115 in 2011 till $28 in 2016.
2.0 The impact of oil prices on certain global manufacturer
Today I heard more interesting news which can influence on Oil price. The Iranian Oil Ministry has ordered today that oil production in the country increased by 500,000 barrels a day. This decision was made after the European Union lifted sanctions on Iran in accordance with the nuclear agreement reached six months ago, after the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirmed that Tehran…
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nahimkha avatar
nahimkha 28 Jan.

Nice analysis

khalidam avatar
khalidam 28 Jan.

good article. next time please describe prediction for gold.

hossainis avatar
hossainis 29 Jan.

USD/CAD and Oil - nice correlation.great work

albertpip avatar
albertpip 29 Jan.

Excellent article & setup.

pipericky avatar
pipericky 29 Jan.

34.4 is strong resistance for Oil. I ll be flat.

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28/70
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Le prix du baril de pétrole ne cesse de baisser, Le WTI Crude oil est actuellement côté à 36,40 USD, un plus bas de sept ans. Nous évoquerons ici les raisons de ce recul, les conséquences et les perspectives pour l'année en cours.
Commençons par analyser l'évolution graphique du prix du baril en données mensuelles.
  1. Fin 2008, le cours rebondit avec force sur la résistance devenue support vers 36,30 et sur la droite de tendance, en vert dans le graphique.
  2. Début 2015, une tentative avortée d'un rebond sur la droite de tendance ramène le cours dans la zone du support vers 36,30.
  3. Le cours se retrouve actuellement sur le dit support et ne montre aucune force propice à un renversement de tendance

Les causes
Les raisons d'une telle dégringolade sont multiples, citons: la récession mondiale, un dollar fort mais aussi et surtout une offre excédentaire. C'est sur ce dernier facteur, responsable en grande partie de la chute des cours, que nous allons nous attarder.
1. L'OPEP.
Lors de la réunion de décembre 2015, l'OPEP a renoncé à fixer un plafond de production. Cette « non-décision » tient aux incertitudes quant au retour de l'Iran sur les marchés qui n'envisage pas de limiter sa producti…
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fx_lmcap avatar
fx_lmcap 21 Jan.

Isomere, several OPEC member countries like Angola, are requiring a BRENT/CRUDE OIL price increase, in order to achieve the expected revenues targets to support domestic budget. Otherwise investments already committed with european companies will have to be cancelled, or stay on hold until it's reached budget conditions to restart operations!

isomere avatar
isomere 21 Jan.

@fx_Imcap: This article is not the minutes of the last OPEC meeting. Furthermore, I have mentionned the disagreements within the Council. What matters are the reasons and consequences of the OPEC's decision.

miriam1313 avatar
miriam1313 21 Jan.

can fall more the Price?

miriam1313 avatar
miriam1313 21 Jan.

which is the limit?

miriam1313 avatar
miriam1313 21 Jan.

30$

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26/66
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Petróleo Barato, antesala de recesión mundial o final de la 3ª revolución industrial?
Mis comienzos en el Trading, se centraron en la operativa del petróleo, su precio se determina por multitud de factores, pero los más importantes son: oferta y demanda, el valor del dólar USD y el sentimiento de mercado. Este último factor es generado por la reacción de los participantes, provocando variaciones en el precio a corto plazo, el motivo es la percepción de obstáculos o mejoras en el flujo de entrega o producción de petróleo. El sentimiento de mercado es el que produce la volatilidad en el mercado y donde buscaba oportunidades para entrar diariamente, en principio use como indicadores técnicos, CCI y Bandas Bolinger, pero con el paso del tiempo me aficione a usar ICHIMOKU, que es el que utilizo actualmente con muy buena satisfacción. Con la información obtenida del mercado de petróleo, operaba también cruces de forex donde el dólar canadiense estuviese presente, debido a la vinculación que existe.
Estrategia Trading: En mis operativas uso el indicador ICHIMOKU (9,26,52) en gráficos Diaro y 4 Horas, a fin de apoyarme en las decisiones uso como oscilador RSI 9 Opero en Compra cuando obse…
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taimasik avatar
taimasik 30 Dec.

thanks for it))

SalviLeana avatar

good !

Bernny avatar
Bernny 12 Jan.

nice job

GammaBurst avatar
GammaBurst 19 Jan.

We should be preparated to a new big global crisis on 2016, and if this will occurs, it should be the end of the euro.

MaziarE avatar
MaziarE 24 Jan.

informative

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7/61
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1.0 Introduction
Oil prices fell in August to the lowest level in six and a half years due to increased production and concern that the slowing economy of China, which is a very big energy consumer. US crude oil dropped to 37.7 dollars on 24. august, the lowest since the beginning 2009, when the world economy was hit by the financial crisis and recession.
Figure 1: Oil price bottom on 24. August 2015.
Economists around the world are struggling to assess what will be the effects on the global economy leave the current dizzying increase in the price of oil on the world market. The shocking rise in oil prices the past few decades was accompanied by rising inflation, the decline in employment and the recession. On the macroeconomic radar now no trace of these phenomena. This time it's not about reducing deliveries, but the unstoppable demand, despite the price. If the global economy is tottering and soon, it will be because of a collapse of the mortgage market, and not because of the turmoil in the oil market. Insatiable thirst of China, India and other third world economies on the rise for oil, the main reason why oil prices, expressed in the weakening US dollar, has not yet begun to…
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nahimkha avatar
nahimkha 30 Sep.

well educating article....

nahimkha avatar
nahimkha 30 Sep.

Warren Buffet said :"This is right time for Crude Oil buying". Should we buy Crude Oil now ?

albertpip avatar
albertpip 30 Sep.

Another great work. Nice

khalidam avatar
khalidam 30 Sep.

Excellent description, figures.Good luck.

pipericky avatar
pipericky 30 Sep.

Please can you describe more about oil and CAD correlation ?

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