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7/26
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GOOD MORNING ALL.
Hi all my friends this month I have decided to analyse the NEW Zealand Dollar as I saw it has witnessed a free fall against all its counter parts. I am trying to find out what are the possible reasons and and from here what are the prospects for its future growth.
In the fundamental factors let's have a look at GDP, INFLATION RATE TRADE BALANCE and UNEMPLOYMENT RATE which affects currency value.
GDP OF NEW ZEALAND:
In the first quarter of 2018 New Zealand GDP has shown a growth of 0.6% which is same as 0.6% of last quarter of 2017.
In the contributing factors breakdown is as follows.
  • Service industries shown a growth of 1.1 percent, driving economic growth.
  • Primary industries weakened, down to 2.4 percent.
  • Capital goods also shown rise thus lifting investment.
  • GDP per capita shown a rise of 0.1 percent.
  • Real purchasing power of New Zealand’s income rise up to 1.4 percent.

Pie Diagram representation of contributing factors.

Year-on-Year and Quarter-on-Quarter comparison of GDP numbers.

Breakdown of GDP components.
INFLATION IN NEW ZEALAND:
In first quarter of 2018 CPI in New Zealand fell to 1.1% from 1.6% of last quarter of 2017. In the components housing and other ho…
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Vlad73 avatar
Vlad73 30 May

very good

FE_GMTplus10 avatar

Good job.

Diana29 avatar
Diana29 31 May

Спасибо)) Статья супер)

Chilli avatar
Chilli 31 May

good article !

Yesa avatar
Yesa 31 May

Great job

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7/57
Ranking

Before the RBNZ
The NZD started off the week strong against the USD despite the NFP jobs report that came in with over 70K above the expected. All eyes were on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and more importantly the Top Boss Graeme Wheeler as to whether the RBNZ would maintain its rates or follow the BOE, RBA, and BOJ which had adjusted their interest rates in the week earlier.
All traders were expecting a rate cut due to;
  • The decrease in the oil prices that weren’t enough to push the inflation higher as expected by the RBNZ estimates in June.
  • The expectations of the FED rate hike didn’t drag NZD/USD lower but rather strengthened it.
  • The RBNZ also tightened its mortgage lending restrictions as a possible indication of rate cut.

Furthermore RBNZ Chieftain Wheeler said in the June RBNZ statement that:
At this stage it seems likely that further policy easing will be required to ensure that future inflation settles near the middle of the target range

After the RBNZ
The RBNZ cut its cash rate by 0.25% to a record low 2.0%.
CHART 1- The RBNZ interest rate since April 1st 2015 to July 1st 2016
Contrary to what experts thought, the NZD/USD shoot up by over 130pips within 30minut…
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fx211pips avatar

superb article

geoma avatar
geoma 16 Sep.

Very interesting, keep up the good work.

Brezhnyulia avatar

you are really great  in it

paglu avatar
paglu 4 Oct.

nice article

DONCEVCLARK avatar

great!

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17/57
Ranking

30分钟K线蜡烛图
新西兰元美元NZDUSD,趋势高位,沽空SELL,这样操作,严格止损,成功率高,风险小。
我们分时寻找操作的机会时间:
1分钟K线蜡烛图
趋势顶部沽空:1分钟K线图MACD连续出现背离。
SELL① 08月01日 03:00
SELL② 08月01日 04:45
历史趋势分析图:
7月27日 趋势顶部沽空 5分钟K线图MACD出现背离,K线跌破上行趋势支撑线。
5分钟K线蜡烛图
Automatically translated via Google Translate ®
30分钟K线蜡烛图
新西兰元美元NZDUSD,趋势高位,沽空SELL,这样操作,严格止损,成功率高,风险小。
我们分时寻找操作的机会时间:
1分钟K线蜡烛图
趋势顶部沽空:1分钟K线图MACD连续出现背离。
SELL① 08月01日 03:00
SELL② 08月01日 04:45
历史趋势分析图:
7月27日 趋势顶部沽空 5分钟K线图MACD出现背离,K线跌破上行趋势支撑线。
5分钟K线蜡烛图
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sharpsense avatar
sharpsense 31 Aug.

Good approach for the Kiwi

sharpsense avatar
sharpsense 31 Aug.

You seem to use trendlines in your analysis

HOME avatar
HOME 31 Aug.

Sharpshooter Купить дешево продавать дорого, он может быть использован. Анализ диаграммы, я больше видео русских объяснить.

HOME avatar
HOME 31 Aug.

sharpsense Yes, with trend lines, channels line analysis, the opportunity to buy low and sell high

Sharpshooter avatar

))

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33/66
Ranking
Introduction
In this article NZDUSD will be analyzed both fundamentally and technically and as known nothing is impossible in Forex so different scenarios will be drawn to express about the most probable scenarios with the NZDUSD.
What is affected the move of NZDUSD nowadays:

Fundamental analysis:
NZDUSD is affected now by two different policies by both Reserve bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and United States Federal Reserve (FED) and also affected strongly by commodity prices especially diary milk which strongly hit Kiwi in the last year, finally Kiwi and other currencies is affected due to strong growth in US in the last months which make US$ to be favored.
[list][/list]…
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WallStreet6 avatar

Interesting

fx211pips avatar
fx211pips 24 Mar.

good analysis of the kiwi

Olkiss70 avatar
Olkiss70 31 Mar.

useful information!

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48/76
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Introduction:First To All , Here My Article about Cross Currency Related ,so You can Lose all Your Money If You Not Follow Proper Money Management and Trading Rules.We Know Forex Trading is Very Risky Online Earning Method ,so we must be First Learn it and Try To For Earn.
Sell Strategy For High Rate Currency:Emotion Has no Value During Forex trading ,Here You Invest Your valuable money for Earning ,Today Here I Described about High Rate Currency or Cross Currency Trading Technique.Many Trader Open Position Before Market Rollover time For Hunting Swap By High Rate Currency Pair ,But I think It is Very bad Practice ,Your Daily Target 10$ or More But Your risk More than 300$ .If You Open Sell Position For hunting swap by USDZAR ,USDTRY,USDRUB ,All of Position will Be open With Big spread ,and if market movement against Your Position ,what will be result?You can expect 90% Market will be opposite of Your Position !Why?Why?Why?
Most Of The Bank Sell High Rate Currency or Cross Currency ,So We Can See High Rate Currency or Cross Currency Always sell Rally Mode and Your Lose will be 10 Time Bigger of Your swap ,so It is Not Better always sell High Rate Currency or Cross Currency ?
Buy
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bdfx avatar
bdfx 19 Feb.

Thank You For Good Comment

Olkiss70 avatar
Olkiss70 21 Feb.

good and useful work!

williamb avatar
williamb 22 Feb.

good work

bdfx avatar
bdfx 22 Feb.

Thanks every body

Nihad avatar
Nihad 27 Feb.

Good luck buddy

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13/76
Ranking
  • TREND IS YOUR FRIEND


Trend is your friend
- every trader knows this golden rule for consistent profits . It simply means to trade in the direction of the present trend until it shows signals to be at its end .
No matter of the used Time Frame , every financial instrument is in one of this two modes : Range or Trend .
- Range - this is a congestion , no movement in a particular direction for long period of time .
- The opposite - a Trend is a big movement in any direction for relatively short time period .
The most simple and accurate method to identify those conditions are Lines of Support and Resistance , Trend Lines and the Price Channel .
  • SUPPORT , RESISTANCE AND TREND LINES
A trend starts with break out of the previous Trend Line ( or Support / Resistance Line ) .
At the present , for NZD / USD ( TF 1 W ) this is Previous Upward Support Trend Line (1) broken out in 2014 . Since that moment , the price have been in Downward Trend Mode .
The Price stays in its Downward Price Channel (2) , and its Momentum even gets stronger and stronger .
In this Downward Price Channel (2) , also there are moments of Impulsive Movements , followed by local Congestions . The Price makes To…
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avava avatar
avava 25 Feb.

very interesting!

vanvan avatar
vanvan 25 Feb.

good money

BeautybyLesya avatar

Great job!

tdbatinkov avatar
tdbatinkov 27 Feb.

Thanks my BeautybyLesya

Eldar avatar
Eldar 18 Mar.

хорошая работа

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10/66
Ranking
FOMC Introduction

Next week is going to be a big week for all the International investors and all the Forex traders around the world, as FED is considering for an Interest rate hike from 0.25% to 0.50%. It's along the wire for so many months since the start of 2015 but got delayed unexpectedly mainly because of the global economic breakdown caused by Chinese around mid of the year.
Amid economic slowdown all round the world, things started to recover from more fast for US and US economy shows better improvement from the global economic breakdown than all other currencies. Because of this, FED again started showing some hope of rate hike before 2015 end. Once the hope rises, US more important NFP reports started beating the forecast twice (271K, 211K) which poses more strong contention to increase the Interest rate. As US data are more supportive for a rate hike, 99% we will be witnessing a rate hike next week.
Now, the important question for all the traders would be when to go long on USD and which pairs to consider. My personal advice would be not to trade during such news event to avoid big heartbeats and tension. But at the same time, we can use this by being in the market well…
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tdbatinkov avatar
tdbatinkov 26 Dec.

I succeed in my deal and take +100p on EUR/USD

ijayakumar avatar
ijayakumar 26 Dec.

tdbatinkov : That's really great. Seems you nailed it at the right time!

wisdom_consultant avatar

good article!

ijayakumar avatar
ijayakumar 27 Dec.

Thanks!

WallStreet6 avatar

interesting

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6/53
Ranking
1.0 Introduction
If we look at the world economy and compare the interest rates we will see that the NZD has the highest interest rate of 3% .While Gross domestic product was only 0.2% and Global Dairy Trade Price Index declining for 18 weeks we can see a lot of room for more rate cut. in the future.In May NZD was clearly desperate decline in employment in the first quarter. All economic indicators point to the poor state of the economy of New Zealand.
In this article I will try to show the fundamental and technical analysis of the NZD currency, and to point out that there is still room for new lower price levels, new bearish wave.
2.0 Fundamental analysis
Rate cut was imminent in July. All analysts had hoped, and as always happens, after such decisions the currency starts to fall further.

Figure 1: Rate cut economic event in July 2015.

But when we make analysis we need to be open-minded. So I will give you in Figure 2. fundamental events for and against bullish and bearish direction.
Figure 2: Economic events which can cause bullish or bearish scenario for NZD/USD

As I wrote in introduction, bad employment data, weak GDP and now rate cut, everything points to the poor state of …
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albertpip avatar
albertpip 27 Aug.

Great article...

khalidam avatar
khalidam 28 Aug.

Do you see fxigor future NZD gain in autumn 2015. ?

pipericky avatar
pipericky 31 Aug.

NZD moves down and I'll not trade this "slow" pair.EURNZD & GBPNZDlook excellent for trading.

fxigor avatar
fxigor 31 Aug.

NZD is outside my radar now. I do not see any bullish momentum but we will see.

albertmakris avatar

NZD 'll go down in my opinion. nice work

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9/22
Ranking
I bet you are wondering what has the trading to do with poker and the African savannah, draw your own conclusions after reading the article. This article is written for beginners and professionals in markets with technical analysis basics and know the rules of poker. You can find a similarity between trading and poker, which more than a card game, is a game of people. It could be written thousand of pages about trading and poker, but is not my intention to dwell on deeper technical aspects which would be boring, in this way I will focus future articles on topics such as money management. This time, the aim is to understand that we can integrate a basic poker strategy which works in our trading. Moreover, I will confess the technical pattern which has proven to me to be more efficient in my experience in trading, I will develop "The trap pattern".
Speculation in financial markets is not suitable for all psychological profiles, speculation is hard and wild, it is very dangerous to get into markets with intent of winning immediately. Imagine a gazelle approaching a pride of lions who are resting in the shade of a tree, with the intention of fighting and winning. Could it achieve it? T…
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Korol avatar
Korol 21 Nov.

Yes, and trade in the Forex market and the poker game and hunting require approximately the same quality: especially strong nerves, strict adherence to the plan of the course well, a bit of luck)))
Excellent article)))

DominguezV avatar
DominguezV 21 Nov.

WallStreet6 in the following article will talk about money management.

Direct avatar
Direct 25 Nov.

Funny comparison. The main thing that the lion did not get from bulls and bears :)
A good article.

Convallium avatar
Convallium 30 Nov.

excellent article!

WallStreet6 avatar

If 90% of the little fish in the pond react in a certain, predictable way, then the big fish (market makers, investment banks) can influence their behaviour easily. Btw- you're late with your money management article- I already zeroed my traders contest account.

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14/35
Ranking
As the global equity markets continued to rally in response to the new round of stimulus measures outlined by the US Federal Reserve, the Kiwi also registered sharp gains relative to the US Dollar over the last several days. In reaching its current exchange rate, it broke the major Resistance boundary of the Monthly and Weekly Pennant to signal the possible start of sharp and fast gains over the next few months. Nevertheless, this bullish signal could be the setup for a false breakout that leads to a sharp bearish reversal insidethe Pennant, if safe-haven flows take over the markets once more. This analysis will therefore look at these two scenarios in detail, using Fibonacci Retracement and Extension levels as well as Support and Resistance to predict possible turning points and price targets in both directions. CURRENT SCENARIO The Kiwi Dollar has been moving within the large Descending Pennant that began to be formed at the start of August in 2011 (see Monthly Chart). This has taken place at the peak of the strong uptrend that has held since the recovery of the financial markets in March 2009, following the flight to safety actions in favour of the US Dollar. MONTHLY CHAR…
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DaddyPapi avatar
DaddyPapi 25 Sep.

thanks, QE 3 isnt gonna do much to stimulate growth, just limit downside risks. Despite the European and Asian export market downturn, a lower USD definitely would still help

Nick_T avatar
Nick_T 26 Sep.

DaddyPapi, are you more into the Forex market or do you also pay some interest to stock market? Do you trade for living?

LinnuxFX avatar
LinnuxFX 26 Sep.

Another excellent analysis in a great article, good luck...

DaddyPapi avatar
DaddyPapi 26 Sep.

Thanks Linnux, Nick T, Forex is the focus, will branch off into stock markets later since the patterns and principles are the same...yes I trade live and earn income, but part-time for now..

scramble avatar
scramble 27 Sep.

seems like if we no see a new clear high this week... shorts will be in play next one to go for 8000. just an opinion looking develops in PA. great analysis btw!

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