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13/40
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*Estimated reading time - 6 minAbstract: This is the first part of the medium term outlook for the 3 major pairs: EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY. This analysis has three parts: the fundamental outlook , technical analysis , and the Order Flow Book Analysis (COT Charts, SWFX Sentiment Index and the Supply and Demand). Please follow my Daily Webinars in the Dukascopy Live Tv section for the Daily and Weekly Updates for this analysis."Money won't create success, the freedom to make it will." Mandela1) Fundamental Outlook.Disclaimer: Market condition change all the time and I watch the fundamentals as a trigger because sometimes the theory and the practice of the fundamentals market impact go into conflict. We can often see an important pre-news market impact.a) Unites States (USD). On Friday night, President Obama has put into action the automated spending cuts (‘sequester&rsquo . The most important question is if speculators will focus on the FED stimulus development rather than losing confidence because of the the negative economic implications of the sequester. A relief from risk aversion and downgrade potential respectively still remains in focus for the medium term.While the Feder…
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Likerty avatar
Likerty 18 Mar.

In these articles of yours I'm always looking for a conclusion section with advised entries and exits:) Maybe on part2 ? :)

khalidamassi avatar

nice work ... continue

Schaolin avatar
Schaolin 26 Mar.

nice work, good journalist :)

SpecialFX avatar
SpecialFX 28 Mar.

I look at those US yields and think to myself "one day people will say: I remember when we the 5year US bond was 0.74%"...in the long run they can only go up given the fiscal mess there, and quite a lot. Good article with fundamental analysis Doc, we need more of those :)

DumbAsArock avatar

As usual, "A" for effort. +1

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9/51
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*Estimated reading time 5m30sAbstract: This article contains the first part of the medium term outlook for the major pairs. This brief analysis follows the usual content of my Daily Webinars in the Live TV section and has three parts: the fundamental outlook (main market movers to watch during the month of February for each pair), technical analysis (Monthly ,Weekly, Daily and 4 Hours charts and the correlated Range Bars Charts ), and the Order Flow Book Analysis (COT Charts, SWFX Sentiment Index and the Limit and Stop Orders Levels). This is a medium term analysis. The short term analysis will be updated daily in my webinars. I also present the highest probability scenarios for each pair and the correlation between time frames scenarios respectively. As I am limited to 1500 words this first part contains the analysis for EUR/USD. "Great minds have purposes, others have wishes." - Washington Irving1) Fundamental Outlook : Disclaimer: I watch the fundamentals as a trigger because sometimes the theory and the practice of the fundamentals market impact go sometimes into conflict. Also keep in mind that speculators know very well how to take advantage of a news release and that is why …
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doctortyby avatar

@citikot - Of course that now this article is not useful anymore, because it was posted at the beginning of the month of February, and we have different fundamentals now and the FED and the Italian Ellections have changed the market conditions. Maybe you should read the last article if you want to find useful data for your trading. Thank you for your opinion

citikot avatar
citikot 4 Mar.

@doctortyby It's not useful because of nature of any market analysis. Show me Your trades based on Your analysis. We are traders here. At least we want to think so ))) Analysis itself has no any value without real trade behind ;) Otherwise it's wasting of time to go through somebody's opinion without clear conclusion: where to buy or sell and where place stop-loss and take profit ;)

doctortyby avatar

@citikot - I showed the possible scenarios and trade setups in the charts. I use fix SLs based on the ATR for each pair (for example half of the ATR for the last 30 days). If you want to see my Live trades I post them in my Daily Live Tv Webinars, I use this analysis in my live trades because I also trade based on the Order Flow book analysis, but I have some secrets regarding the entry and the exits and they should remain this way in order for my strategies to keep working. It would be a pleasure for me if you could join in. Thank You

citikot avatar
citikot 6 Mar.

Please, get me right. I don't against Your analysis. But I against to post such an articles as Contest articles. Anyway it's my humble opinion. Peace...

doctortyby avatar

@citikot - Thank you again for your reply... I have a quote from the Dukascopy Team : "This contest is a wonderful tool to show your analytic skills, describe your trading techniques and share valuable trading ideas." I hope it helps :) Peace

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62/94
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CURRENT TECHNICAL LEVELS AND SWING TRADES IN FOREX MARKET.( Part 3 of 4 )This article will focus a bit more on the current technical levels within the forex market, with highlighted opportunities that can be made by observing a 1 day time frame. In my other two articles there was a focus mainly on the economic data points that surrounds the movement of currency prices in general, but in this article more emphasis will be placed on exact technical levels.Every once in a while we must pay attention to the key psychological levels that are present in the marketplace (even from a long term view) as the composition of the markets include fund managers who trade psychologically, and sometimes without good fundamental reason.We will not however abandon our completely our economic eye, as this too will prove reckless especially in these uncertain times of a global market recovery.Without further ado, the following pairs have been highlighted.(1) USD / CHF : Can we still go higher ?If we have been following the story over the last couple of weeks we already know that the Swiss central bank backing of its currency "seems" real. How real ? Well lets follow the charts. The last retracement in …
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Livornese avatar
Livornese 24 Sep.

Like your style of trading! Very sound!

doctortyby avatar
doctortyby 25 Sep.

Good analysis... +1 and keep writing

ritesh avatar
ritesh 27 Sep.

Great article and last week of competition, so best of luck buddy +1

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63/94
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The U.S. stock market finished the week of the fall ... amid expectations of continuing negative scenario of events around Greece and the exit of weak macroeconomic data from the U.S.. Index of U.S. banks BKX closed at 36.23 (-3.36%). Shares of Bank of America Co. fell to 3.06%, JPMorgan Chase & Co. at 4.27%, Citigroup Inc. at 4.43% and Wells Fargo & Co. at 3.61%. U.S. stock indexes for the previous day to close at: DJI-10,992.13 (-2.69%), S & P 500 - 1,154.23 (-2.67%), NASDAQ Comp. - 2,467.99 (-2.42%). On the eve of the U.S. trading session on futures extended the S & P 500 is 1,133.90 (-1.60%). U.S. markets opened in negative territory. Oil futures traded in London continue to fall amid expectations of falling demand for raw material assets in the world. Additional negative market adds European debt crisis. Crude futures mark Brent Oil (ICE) during the day at 111.10 (-1.50%), U.S. crude oil WTI (ICE) 86.03 (-1.41%) at auction in Europe. Futures on gold is 1,839.00 (-1.10%). Goldmann Sachs Commodity Index XOI last session stopped at 1,102.41 (-2.98%). In the currency market there is some rebound after the strengthening of the dollar in Asian trading …
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Livornese avatar
Livornese 12 Sep.

Good fundamentals! Thanks for sharing your knowledge with us!

doctortyby avatar
doctortyby 12 Sep.

Good Luck, my Friend! +1

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46/94
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Attention to JPY ... Yesterday in the U.S. and Canada celebrate Labor Day, but because - did not work. As a conclusion yesterday on the motion of a thin market might be inadequate. Hence - the risks. Traditionally, Labor Day speech occur prominent men and women. Acted and Barack Obama. Exactly after a scoring problem in the labor market on Friday. Was made in Detroit, on the border with Canada. Why? Symbolic. Broadcast, one might say, into two states. Remember the story of the miraculous resurrection and the bankruptcy of the American automobile industry in the early years of Barack Obama after the peak of the crisis? Headquarters U.S. largest automaker (General Motors, Ford Motor Company, Chrysler) are still in Detroit and its suburbs. A number of areas, encircling the center of Detroit, is a decadent ghetto, populated predominantly by blacks. What say? In a speech in Detroit, the U.S. president promised that the plan to revive the labor market will be indicated in the report of the U.S. Congress on September 8. Quote: "We in Congress will open a new path for economic development." Called for "tune in" for the best. Outlined the main project of the "labor…
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ritesh avatar
ritesh 6 Sep.

Nice article buddy, keep more coming +1

doctortyby avatar

Good Luck

Livornese avatar
Livornese 11 Sep.

Nice analysis. In my humble hopinion if the EUR/USD goes to 1.4030 it will blow the 1.40 barrier as there are so many stop loss down there. Oh Yeah!!!

doctortyby avatar
doctortyby 25 Sep.

BOJ intervention still not Here...it must come as a surprise right?... +1 and keep writing good articles my friend

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57/73
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Focus on the level of 1.44. The range of his protorgovyvaniya: 1.4291 - 1.4589 (refined guidance on a daily basis). As stated in "Analysis of Strategies", the breakdown of marks 1.4589 and confident trading above it will be talking about the high risks of a strong upward movement. Ie In this case, the pair will be able to get rid of the level of 1.44, which is not only very strong support, but also attracts a couple to him. In this case the lower boundary of the sample (1.4291) indicates significant downside risks, because once someone's strongest interests to do so.At the time of publication of a pair of adjusted downwards from the region of 1.4550. What is stopping the movement up? Previously, significant, but today has lost its relevance level of 1.43 (its upper limit protorgovyvaniya: 1.4557). In principle, this is not an obstacle. What could be further guidance from the bottom? 1.4472 mark. What's remarkable? At present, the rating is not only a lower limit of short-term uncertainty range 1.4472 - 1.4488, but the lower boundary level protorgovyvaniya 1.50! That means, if a couple can stay at the current elevations (above the range 1.4472 - 1.4488), then…
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54/73
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"Piastres! Piastres! Piastres !»...I can not share with the reader ...A friend of Israel today is sent by:"The British have chosen favorite quotes.The first took place in the ranking of the statement of the famous British statesman Winston Churchill: "Success - not final, failure - are not fatal: the value has only the courage to continue."In second place was the famous aphorism of U.S. President Abraham Lincoln: "In the end, it is not the years of his life, but life in these years."The third citation in the list belongs to the actor James Dean: "Dream as if you are immortal, live as if you die today."Not bad, you know. In the morning the mood lifts.About Churchill add. He liked to stay in Madeira. What to do? Watercolor, landscapes, and of course, Madeira. House, where Winston Churchill stayed, is in a stunning location above the bay.Incidentally, the island of Madeira - Portuguese, but when there you are, it seems the British. So the British social work program ... that contribute to the debt burden of the UK. It is noteworthy also that Madeira - it offshore, just to blend and "money" retirees.What's on the market?All too.Now it is called like this: "Wait, sir, that Ber…
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ritesh avatar
ritesh 25 Aug.

Nice commentary dude :) +1 for ya

LinnuxFX avatar
LinnuxFX 25 Aug.

Well done with this article, good luck for the contest ... vote for mine here : http://www.dukascopy.com/fxcomm/fx-article-contest/?action=read&article=How-To-Trade-Harmonics-&id=13

ritesh avatar
ritesh 28 Aug.

check out my articles too at http://www.dukascopy.com/fxcomm/fx-article-contest/?action=blog&user=ritesh

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55/73
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Introduction  Generally Speaking, the forex market are great and superb as they are open all the time and provides an excellent opportunity for traders with wide range of currencies to choose from and to trade 24hours a day.As the forex Market is open round the clock,it brings up an important question to our mind as when to trade, what to trade, and what forex session to trade in order to get secure profit and minimize lossess.             Every trader has his own perception about trading sessions , some like to trade European session and other see the American session useful due to great volume and votality.But the Asian session too has its advantages, I would like to unfold some of them. And you can judge better as they are good or bad as Asian session is often considered as slower and is often described as watching the paint dry as it has less volume, less votality .Besides this it is ranging and chooppy market with less amount of pips comparativly.And traders have to wait for long  as it is called slower session .The only currency that has noteworthy activity is the jpy and this activity is often slow unless a major financial news or event happens. Ben…
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adask avatar
adask 17 Aug.

Good article. I have noticed almost the same things about Asia session. And I use it for my Europe session trading. Good luck!

schnitzel avatar
schnitzel 18 Aug.

Thanks for this interesting article. I analyzed the 24 hour market statistically and this might be a good aricle to continue reading: http://www.dukascopy.com/fxcomm/fx-article-contest/?action=read&article=Liquidity-Flow-In-The-Fx&id=31

ritesh avatar
ritesh 25 Aug.

Asian session usually witnesses start of major moves in currency markets (based on weekly chart). +1 for the nice article my dear friend.

ritesh avatar
ritesh 28 Aug.

check out my articles too at http://www.dukascopy.com/fxcomm/fx-article-contest/?action=blog&user=ritesh

LinnuxFX avatar
LinnuxFX 29 Aug.

Good article about asian session, vote for mine here:
http://tiny.cc/m74j4

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