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2/41
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Trading Short term
Why trade?
Now it's a very important question to answer why you want to trade short term if you want to trade at all. Many people would come up with multiple justification to trade short term starting with making some spare money in spare time to just for the thrill of trying to predict the future. Now whatever the motivation behind your motive to start trading short term one has to be very clear that it's a damn risky thing to do with accompanying huge pressure on your mental and emotional skills. If one were to simply look on the statistics available on trader's behavior, a realization dawns that almost four in five people loose money in trading in currencies and CFDs. So statistically speaking there is no justification for a average person to start trading either for short term or the long term as it's a surest way to loose money. Now all it boils down to developing some special skills to be among the minorities who make money in trading. So it leads to the next question which of course is 'how?'
How to trade?
Now if you start searching for this answer after studying all the risk factors in trading you would be literally floded with the answers. That's a irony…
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JaiBabaKi avatar

Great job!

Olkiss70 avatar
Olkiss70 1 Sep.

excellent work

Aaamira avatar
Aaamira 7 Sep.

great article!

tradelord avatar
tradelord 21 Sep.

well nice

Teo avatar
Teo 24 Sep.

good article

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1/34
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FX performance Q3 highlights

  • Dollar slightly down in Q3, dollar/yen flat as Fed maintains rate hike path but other central banks catch up.
  • Euro rally pauses after reaching 2 and ½ years high in September. ECB is proceeding gently with tightening policy. Political risks re-emerge in Europe.
  • Pound has a good Q3 quarter after a surprise hawkish shift by Bank of England. Brexit talks gather some momentum but take its toll on UK economy.
  • Commodity rally (especially metals). Oil also has a positive quarter amid signs that market is finally re-balancing.
FX year to date

  • US dollar off its lows as one more rate hike expected.
  • Euro’s rally has stalled on some political setbacks and ECB’s dovish tapering. Rise in German yields.
  • The pound up versus the dollar, down versus the Euro.
  • Aussie did well despite correction in Oct 2017, Kiwi is flat versus dollar.

United Stated Economy

  • Q3 GDP growth came in at 3.0%.
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mursei avatar
mursei 25 Nov.

مقال رائعه

Annyrio avatar
Annyrio 30 Nov.

very interesting!

khalidamassi avatar

Good luck +1

Yonggi7 avatar
Yonggi7 12 Dec.

This article is well done!
And it is well presented!
Congratulations!!!!

thedoctor avatar
thedoctor 15 Dec.

well done

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27/44
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In order to be more successful in trading, a trader must be armed with many tools and information, on the basis of which he could draw conclusions about the current situation in the market and about his future movement. One such tool is the weekly report on open positions of traders COT (Commitments of Traders).
The market must be regulated, otherwise it will be in chaos! In order to make the market more transparent, traders constantly report to U.S. Commodity Ftutres Trading Comission (CFTC). Thus, in public access, anyone can look at the information on the instrument of interest.
Reports are posted on the CFTC Commission website. To view the report, click on the link.
Report structure
For example, take the block of the report, which provides information on the Euro. This information (see the figure) is presented in the form of a text report indicating the number of open positions (contracts) for the purchase (LONG) or the sale (SHORT) of futures and options contracts, as well as their change (CHANGES FROM) relative to the previous report. The SPREADS column contains the number of opposite positions. In the TOTAL column, the total number of positions is stored - separately for LON…
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RahmanSL avatar
RahmanSL 27 July

"Large players use "deep pockets" and their deposits are able to withstand large movements against their positions." Yes, in the world of forex, money makes money

Achchuthan avatar
Achchuthan 28 July

Fundamentally sound.

earspower avatar
earspower 28 July

myfxbook is useful. I will add this into my system.

JuliannaS avatar
JuliannaS 15 Aug.

This article needs dukat

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35/65
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We usually don't comment on other central bank decisions, but one has to say that the decision the Fed took was appropriate given the position of the U.S. economy... and it was perfectly communicated and flawlessly executed.
-ECB President Mario Draghi, January 2016
A technical trader once told me that fundamentals don't drive the markets and using it does not give traders an edge. He further stated that when the price moves in the opposite direction of what's expected, a fundamental analyst will say "it was priced in".
The fact remains that many, if not most new traders, will solely rely on technicals. Similar to all aspects of trading, fundamental analysis can be difficult to comprehend. As a result, it is also difficult to profit from it without a sound understanding.
While there are several aspects of fundamental analysis, the Federal Reserve made one thing very clear at their March meeting. I hope to convey this and how to profit during the Fed tightening cycle. This one piece of information should allow traders to profit that normally do not follow fundamental developments.
To provide a backdrop to the above quote from ECB's Draghi, it was made during a time where he had gre…
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gargantua avatar
gargantua 21 Apr.

good article

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49/65
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1.- Abstract
US Dollar was strong against the JEN until December 2016 touching a zone around 118, but from that time was going deep and deep.
Today the US Dollar has reached a zone around 108 and seems to be forming a correction and maybe that means to be even lower. So, the responsible for that could be the JEN and many people say the next month will gain more ground in the forex market.
2.- Development
The chart below is showing the actual status of pairs with YEN and the analysis of each of them.
2.1 USD-JPY
There is a strong area around 106.5 and the price action here could reach it these weeks.
The weekly chart has formed a big bearish candle and to see a big swing we need a reversal pattern.
2.2 GBP-JPY
The pound looks less affected here and seems to be going up to the nearest high at 147.5
But if the price action goes lower the next area comes to the support at 130.
2.3 AUD-JPY
The Aussie has affected as well as the US Dollar and the next level of interest are around 80.
If the price action closes below this area, the next level could be around 76.
2.4 NZD-JPY
The Kiwi has the same outlook and the next level of interest is around 74.…
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AnnaZhurina avatar

Интересная статья !

antoniogreenblue avatar

Interesting

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36/59
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USD/JPY has been trading sideways for the most of February this year. In absence of immediate triggers there were not many reasons for the big moves in USD/JPY. So I thought it's best time to analyse the USD/JPY for the big moves ahed.
A look on Fundamentals.
In recent months the labor market has continued to strengthen as well as economic activity is expand at a moderate pace. Job gains have remained solid, and the unemployment rate is staying near its recent low. Household spending is rising moderately, while business fixed investment is on a bit softer side. Measures of consumer and business sentiment are also improving after a long time. Recent indicators of activity in the housing sector were generally positive. Starts and permits for single-family housing and sales of existing homes rose moderately in the fourth quarter, and real residential investment bounced back after two quarterly declines. The outlook for the business sector is improving. A number of national surveys of sentiment among corporate executives and small business owners as well as information from participants’ District contacts is indicating a high level of optimism about the economic outlook. Many participa…
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RahmanSL avatar
RahmanSL 27 Feb.

Good analysis

Sanju777 avatar
Sanju777 27 Feb.

Nice article

lelipuzik avatar

good job!

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44/68
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Although there are many factors affecting the value of currency for a given country relative to others, there are still the same fundamental laws of economics of supply and demand that can be applied to this asset class. If the demand for a given currency increases this implies its value will go higher thus increasing its price relative to other currencies. The opposite is true if there is too much supply of currency of a given country in its economy. These are just a few variables that affect FX rates by no means this is an exhaustive list:
- Each countries’ level of Gold in Reserve
- The amounts of the Imports coming in and the Exports going out of the country
- The level and amounts of foreign investment that the country receives
- The inflation levels in the economy
- The amount of the public debt
- Political stability and governmental policy
- Interest rates imposed by the Central bank in the particular country
- Current Account deficit that the country runs in other terms the balance of payments
- Unemployment rates
On the basis of changes in a number of these factors we see how the US dollar has appreciated against the Swiss Franc or alternatively said the Swiss Franc has b…
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Beto avatar
Beto 11 Jan.

Nice analysis, good job.

VictoriaVika avatar


Great article.  An original ideas, and really impressive approach

mcquak avatar
mcquak 15 Jan.

Very good article written with high expertise. Thanks you ' ve shared with us

brilliant avatar
brilliant 25 Jan.

you can put some images in article .that will give you higher quality ppoints friend

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9/65
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The president elections in US impacted financial markets since the beginning of the election process. Dollar, gold and stocks volatility rose above the normal. Mexican pesos saw 2% growth. Gold dropped that much. And one week till the elections things got dramatic. Dollar index fall 1. 42%, S&P 500 saw 1.94% drop, in contrary gold started to rise and became 2.38% more expensive. Economists try to explain and predict market move. Let’s first look into general information.
Elections impact financial markets in every country. A research made from 466 election period in 79 countries between 1980-2006 shows that investors become less sensitive to the price during elections. This lack of interest can be up to 40%. It depends on democracy, corruption level and level of government involvement in business. In us investors become 20% less sensitive to the price during the elections.
This is because of the possibility of elections to change economic situation. New president can cause legislative or policy change that can cause prosperity in one sphere and decline in another, or may open new possibilities. Investors also can behave because of political loyalty or rivalry.
Political rhetoric al…
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adiray avatar
adiray 16 Dec.

great piece of work

Starsailor avatar
Starsailor 21 Dec.

good work

Dieselfx avatar
Dieselfx 27 Dec.

nice

bibo avatar
bibo 3 Jan.

good luck

Josecarlos avatar
Josecarlos 20 Feb.

interessante, informação ótima

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10/65
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1. What drives the pair?
One of the important fundamental factors driving the pair is safe haven versus yield search. We must remember though, that New Zealand is not a high risk country! This is why we can see NZDJPY going up sometimes in spite of JPY currency index going up too. Both countries are 'far' from the rest of the world and both are 'isolated' as they are 100% insular. Although initial reactions to events like Brexit make JPY or CHF appreciate against everything, after the first moments NZD and similar currencies also go up, as they give better yield while not being affected that much by general pains of economy and politics.
Let's see relevant data for both countries when it comes to trading the pair:
  • New Zealand
  1. Politics: Constitutional monarchy with parliamentary democracy. Constitution is not codified. British monarch is the head of state.
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ak10 avatar
ak10 23 Nov.

Useful method, Ito new for me.

Uliana_Alexandrova avatar

Very interesting!!!

brilliant avatar
brilliant 24 Nov.

I like those pairs too

marina2016 avatar

хорошо)

FXRabbit avatar
FXRabbit 14 Dec.

Good article!

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41/76
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Introduction
In this article, GBP/USD will be analyzed both fundamentally and technically and as known nothing is impossible in Forex, so different scenarios will be drawn to express about the most probable scenarios with the GBP /USD.
What is affected the move of GBP/USD nowadays:
Fundamental Analysis:
GBP/USD is affected now by two different policies by both Bank of England (BOE) and United States Federal Reserve (FED) and also affected sometimes by UK internal issues like last Scotland independence and UK exit from European Union (EU), finally pound and other currencies is affected due to strong growth in US in the last months which make US$ to be favored.
[list][/list]…
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Natalia_Kisenko avatar

good analysis!

Kbelestro avatar
Kbelestro 16 Feb.

Отлично!

Olkiss70 avatar
Olkiss70 21 Feb.

useful information!

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31/76
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Introduction
In this article USDJPY will be analyzed both fundamentally and technically and as known nothing is impossible in Forex so different scenarios will be drawn to express about the most probable scenarios with the USDJPY.
What is affected the move of USD/JPY nowadays:
Fundamental analysis
USD/JPY is affected now by two different policies by both Bank of Japan (BOJ) and United States Federal Reserve (FED) and also affected strongly by BOJ quantitative easing which strongly hit Japanese Yen, finally Yen and other currencies is affected due to strong growth in US in the last months which make US$ to be favored.
[list][/list]…
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Natalia_Kisenko avatar

weel done! it seems now is scenario #3

khalidamassi avatar

Yeah, natallia we r now exactly in scenario #3 with big target ....

zarina avatar
zarina 12 Feb.

I wish you, the option that is waiting!

FX90 avatar
FX90 19 Feb.

good article

Olkiss70 avatar
Olkiss70 21 Feb.

great article!  good luck!

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5/53
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HOW CRUCIAL IS TIME AND TIMING IN FOREX TRADING? The pros don’t want you to know this!
Introduction
This article if not about HOW to trade, but focuses on the WHEN of trading – its about time and timing. I have researched this information about Forex trading to enable you answer for yourselves the question “Does it matter WHEN I trade?” While you can make money whether the market is moving up or down, it’s extremely difficult to make money when the market is moving sideways.
Therefore, given that the market for a particular currency may spend 60% to 75% of its time moving sideways, it is very important to know when the TRENDING activity is MOST likely to occur.
This Two-part article (I & II) reveals the habits of Five major currency pairs in the 4Hour time-frame.
This article seeks to help you make the odds even.
How?
Imagine,that having access to this information will stack the odds in your favor. But, pause for a moment, and think that for each currency pair you already knew you will now know: [list][/list]…
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forexpower avatar
forexpower 25 Aug.

Good job

000rk avatar
000rk 25 Aug.

nice!

9jakas avatar
9jakas 25 Aug.

THANKS GUYS

CriticalSection avatar

nicely done!

RahmanSL avatar
RahmanSL 18 Nov.

Very well thought out and researched :)

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17/58
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Introduction

One year ago, the EUR looked bullish as ever as many expected EURUSD to reach 1.50's and beyond. It was in July of last year that it had started it's initial descent, which has continued right throughout the past year.
Last year I wrote an article titled A Comprehensive Fundamental & Technical Analysis on EURUSD (Please click the link to read). It outlined some of the reason we could see some downside in the pair.
Euro Outlook
In the previous article, we looked at fundamental factors, such as inflation. In fact, this graph was posted in that exact article.
Figure 1 - Euro Inflation as of July 2014 - hovering at 0.5%

Since then, we have seen the ECB Implement several measure including rate cuts and QE. The main argument for the July 2014 article was that the Eurozone was facing a period of disinflation. Let's see how it is doing today.
Figure 2 - Euro Inflation as of July 2015 - Down 0.3% from July 2014

How is it possible that after all of ECB's efforts, we are sitting at an even lower inflation rate? Well in all fairness, inflation is a global concern at the moment which has been fueled by a sharp drop in oil prices. At the same time, EUR is one of the few currenc…
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Forex_champion avatar

Very good work +1

WallStreet6 avatar

Very interesting article giving some ideas for trades and the reasons behind it!

anna_n avatar
anna_n 31 July

smart man!

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3/58
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The media is going ‘crazy’ over the Chinese stock market shaving off trillions in a couple of weeks. The Chinese government meddling in the markets to save it is being compared to burning a ‘holy book’ - in that it shouldn’t have done it.
What were those communists thinking? No one ever intervenes in a free market, not even the president of the land of the free in 2008 on an interview with CNN. (Irony Intended)
Here is a video.
Listen carefully for the following:
Look. I obviously have made a decision to make sure the economy doesn't collapse. I have abandoned free market principles to save the free-market system.

This is what happened to the market after “abandoning free market principles in order to save the free market” – in the US and China.
From the above it is clear China is simply replicating what the United States did to its stock market.
The Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges are not of great interest to me. My real interest lies in the dinosaurs that lived through the 1929 stock market crash. These dinosaurs are doing great right now! Or are they?
While history repeats itself, only a few are attuned to signs of it repeating itself – the rest of us live in the moment and trus…
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pipx avatar
pipx 28 July

driven Thank you and yes, the governments’ interference in free markets will eventually lead to disaster. George W. Bush saying “I have abandoned free market principles to save the free-market system.”  was the start of interference by the government which will not stop anytime soon. Just as China did, instead of letting the markets correct themselves they will keep pumping in more money.

lelipuzik avatar
lelipuzik 29 July

wow! really interesting

Milian avatar
Milian 30 July

interesting article)))

Margoshka avatar
Margoshka 30 July

great!!))))

Kivetat avatar
Kivetat 31 July

good job(Y)))))))))

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15/58
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I have been often told by friends that STOCK trading is way better than FOREX trading and it has better prospects in the long run. Today, I would like to draw out the advantages and disadvantages of both the world in order to get a better idea for myself along with other community members. I wouldn't go much into the history and definition as most community members are pretty much aware of them.
My sole objective would be to point out the difference to grasp a proper knowledge and base our future trading decisions.
LIQUIDITY FACTOR
Forex market is considered as the most liquid market with a trading volume crossing over $ 5.3 trillion per day back in 2013. This is a massive figure and way more than the combined figure of all stock markets.
Each month, Thompson Reuters Index tells us the combined average daily volume of all spot, forwards, swaps, options and non deliverable forwards.
The above charts clearly depicts how often Forex is traded over Stocks.

EASE OF TRADING
New York Stock Exchange has over 4500 stocks listed and NASDAQ has close 3500 stocks. Apart from them, we have Tokyo, London and other stock exchange as well. If we combine the US, European and Asian stock markets …
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Lyubant avatar
Lyubant 11 July

cool!

CharmingRimma avatar

great!

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 11 July

Great article - useful content and very well written!

BeautybyLesya avatar

Well done!

Mariia avatar
Mariia 15 July

Good job!

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