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22/41
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Forex fundamentals and Forex news are essentially economic variables that can be thought of as catalysts for price movement in the Forex markets. The school of thought known as “Forex fundamental analysis” essentially says that a trader can predict future price movement of a market based on a market’s fundamentals or news data. Whilst it seems perfectly logical to assume you can study the economic fundamentals and news of a market and make predictions about it’s future direction based on this data, it’s not quite that simple.
Have you heard the old saying “Buy the rumor, sell the fact”? There’s a reason this saying has been around on Wall Street for hundreds of years, it’s because when market data comes out, it typically has already been factored into the market and it’s impact will thus be minimal once it finally is released. Traders and investors tend to operate on expectations of what might happen in the future, based on some news data or fundamental analysis, that’s where the ‘buy the rumor’ part comes in at. The tricky aspect of this is that we can never know for sure exactly how much of any piece of impending economic news has already been acted upon / factored into the mark…
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Dominos avatar
Dominos 21 Aug.

good article :))

daniellabas avatar

Good job

AAAnya avatar
AAAnya 22 Aug.

Very nice article!

anvifx avatar
anvifx 28 Aug.

great work !!!

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20/26
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Trading-Tactical Approach The major distinction between pro traders and others are deeply associated with their trading approaches. Depending on the approach some will grow up as pro trader and some will go to the paths of gambling. Unfortunately, there is tremendous tendency for people to want to follow a guru, or anyone who speaks with authority instead of developing their own skills and without awareness they fall to the latter category. So, I will share with you my experience of how I am developing my skills (I must say that I am still on learning curve). “House Building” is my concept to build competitive edge in trading business. (Figure 1) The principle of gaining skill in trading is a like building house. You need strong foundation, floors, walls, pillars, windows, ceiling and roofs. The “House Building” concepts I used will provide you with a powerful idea on trading methodology. Your intra-day decisions will be better timed and you will have more confidence when you use all of these tools. Figure 1. Trading House Foundation-Discipline. You must have a strong base for a profitable structure. To build base in the trading is the discipline (the foundation). Without build…
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Ne_juli avatar
Ne_juli 9 May

Like always nice article about trading my friend

Sasha_spicy avatar

Well written article! Keep going :)

AAAnya avatar
AAAnya 10 May

Nice!

vugarali avatar
vugarali 13 May

interesting article

Dominos avatar
Dominos 23 May

good article

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25/31
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Since 12th January 2018 EUR/USD has been trading within the interval of 1.2150 and 1.2550. Since mid February it has narrowed further down from the top to 1.2480. I find the EUR/USD to be at a very interesting point at the moment. Currently this pair is fluctuating around 1.22 level and further depreciation below the recent low at 1.2150 could entail a stronger downward movement and euro selloff.
Last week EUR/USD rose to 1.2415 mid week just to drop steeply afterwards. This week the pair has continued it's rather strong depreciation by breaking resistance at 1.2220, low from April 6th, and is nearing the low of March 1st at 1.2150.
On the 4 hour graph we could distinuish the 5 Elliot wave movement from 1.2400 to 1.2180. Afterwards we saw some retracement to around 1.2240 what lead to the break of the most recent downward trend line on the 4 hour graph. I consider the current point to be crucial in the EUR/USD determing furhter direction. Further depreciation will confirm the downward trend. However a move back up and moving away from the lower bounderies of the current canal (visible on 1 day graph) may indicate further consolidation within the previous intervals of the canal.
In …
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Aaamira avatar
Aaamira 30 Apr.

very nice article!

spo1409 avatar
spo1409 6 May

Зб

WallStreet6 avatar

thanks :)

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4/32
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FX 2017 highlights
  • Euro was the strongest performer last year on dissipating geopolitical risk, strong economic growth and ECB tapering.Pound,
  • Aussie and Loonie also did well.
  • Dollar Index down by 10%. The reason for this big move is that other CBs will likely tighten following FED.
FX year to date
  • Sizeable movement for short span of time.
  • Dollar still is the punching bag.
  • Pound outperformance on Brexit optimism.
  • Aussie, Kiwi outperformed on better global economic prospects and rising commodity prices.
  • Yen is not as bearish as expected.
United Stated Economy

  • Annualized growth topped 3% in Q2 and Q3 but Q4 GDP growth missed the expectation to grow by 2.6%. However growth to return above 3% after tax rate cut effect.
  • Headline Inflation for December 2017 was 2.1% y/y, below the 2017 high of 2.7% hit in February. Core PCE came in at 1.5 % y/y in December.
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Verona888 avatar
Verona888 12 Mar.

Great job!)

Vlad73 avatar
Vlad73 16 Mar.

good luck

habiemile avatar
habiemile 20 Apr.

Interesting article!

pramuk avatar
pramuk 3 June

Nice

mydream avatar
mydream 8 June

good

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27/32
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Hints and Ideas about FX Majors

Ideas from last week :

  • USD enjoyed a ride against most currencies as US data helped a lot, ADP and NFP employment data were better, Wages growth at 2.9% VS 2.6% expected and all of this helped expectation of higher interest rate at (FED) March meeting.
  • Euro still hold last month gains VS majors as EU data still helpful, also most of (ECB) speakers agreed that next normalization step should be soon and some hint that QE may end at September meeting and all of this helpful for Euro bulls.
  • Aussie got a hit last week as most AUD data disappointed, Mean CPI Q/Q 0.6% VS 0.7 expected, Building approvals -20% VS -7% expected and all of this put heavy weight on Aussie.
  • Kiwi moved in mixed VS majors as no significant Kiwi data last week but Kiwi mostly affected by drop of Aussie which in most time move in same direction VS majors.
[list][/list]…
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22/59
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Hello every Community member,As u know my mostly post on article is related to Binary Option trading,today again for Feb month my first article is again related to Binary option trading and in this article,i show you how to trade Binary option with Fundamental Analysis Contest prediction.
Benefit of Binary option with Fundamental Analysis :
1) If you are good in Fundamental Analysis and your success ratio is good there you can easily make money in Binary option.
2) If you do not have much to spare all time on system,you can just put trade as Fundamental analysis contest prediction.
How to Trade Binary Option with Fundamental Analysis :
First we have to look each day on Fundamental analysis Contest page and to look which pair have upcoming Economic event and what to predict.
Example :
I took current Economic event of USD/RUB as on 3rdFeb,which is need to come at 10:30 GMT.Now we have to look what the data is and what we have to predict,if we suppose that USD/RUB will be Strong for next 10 min we give the buy order in USD/RUB and if we Bear on it then we give Put order in Binary Option.
As shown on Figure :
So Interest Rate Decision data is t…
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isbar avatar
isbar 17 Feb.

buen articulo

FXRabbit avatar
FXRabbit 23 Feb.

^_^ Good effort!

thedoctor avatar
thedoctor 23 Feb.

great work

someday777777 avatar

great

ajnje avatar
ajnje 3 Mar.

Interesting 50 50

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29/65
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Hi, friends I want to share with you all, how I am feeling being a Dukascopy community member. Few days ago one of my relative told me to visit Dukascopy site. His description about Dukascopy was , here you can earn without investing, you can grow in trading with other traders by following them. And there is much scope for personal growth as well. And I am very much happy to be a member of Dukascopy community.
When I visited and opened a community account I found 13 contest to participate. When I compared with other brokers, Dukascopy is the single broker to offer these many contests. And for girls there are different contests as well. Among all these contest one have flexibility to choose a contest which suits them. There is a proverb "sky s the limit", which perfectly suits Dukascopy community membership. Here there is no restriction or there are no terms and condition like, If you win prize you cannot participate next time. So all depends on your hard work and efforts, you can participate in as many contests as you wish and can win prizes as many times.
One thing I liked most, Dukascopy is the only broker which offers free automated trading services. Besides they are teaching ho…
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brilliant avatar
brilliant 24 Nov.

thanks for sharing your experament

Beto avatar
Beto 13 Dec.

You are very welcome, and yes this community is amazing.
In the mid-term, we can improve our skills.

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44/76
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Introduction
In this article EURUSD will be analyzed both fundamentally and technically and as known nothing is impossible in Forex so different scenarios will be drawn to express about the most probable scenarios with the EURUSD.
What is affected the move of EUR/USD nowadays:
Fundamental analysis:
EURUSD is affected now by two different policies by both European Center Bank (ECB) and United States Federal Reserve (FED) and also affected strongly by ECB quantitative easing which strongly hit Euro, finally Euro and other currencies is affected due to strong growth in US in the last months which make US$ to be favored.
[list][/list]…
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wisdom_consultant avatar

nice article

zarina avatar
zarina 27 Feb.

I read your article! worked hard !

Nihad avatar
Nihad 27 Feb.

بالتوفيق اخى الكريم

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33/70
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Previsiones para el mercado SUA para 2016 - Segunda parte
Continuare el articulo empezado la semana pasada. En la primera parte expuse la análisis fundamental de lo que ha ocurrido en SUA y una parte de la análisis técnica. En esta publicación continuare con la análisis técnica del mercado americano .
Introduccion Intentare hacer una descripción de lo que podría pasar con el Mercado de Valores estadounidense en el año 2016. Es muy difícil acertar el recorrido de un activo a un mes vista; hacer unas previsiones para un año entero es muy arriesgado, como mínimo resulta muy complejo. Lo que quiero exponer son los catalizadores que podrían influir en el futuro desarrollo del mercado de valores de EEUU. Bajo mi punto de vista, de cara al año que viene, a nivel mundial nos vamos a enfrentar a un factor muy importante que va a tener como catalizador critico lo que pasa en Estados Unidos. Dependemos muchísimo del dólar y de la renta fija y variable de Estados Unidos, que influyen en todo lo que pasa en el resto del mundo.
b) El efecto inducido por la subida de tipos sobre la bolsa americana
A continuación muestro el grafico del SP500 semanal y mi previsión para 2016
El gran desplome que…
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al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 10 Jan.

Thorough analysis and great explanation, well done!

sonjatrader avatar

Mágnifico artículo!!

Airmike avatar
Airmike 13 Jan.

hello. I think that you should use different program for screenshots. those are poor quality.

Skif avatar
Skif 27 Jan.

2016 will not be easy  ((

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41/70
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Previsiones para el mercado SUA para 2016 - Primera parte
Introduccion
Intentare hacer una descripción de lo que podría pasar con el Mercado de Valores estadounidense en el año 2016. Es muy difícil acertar el recorrido de un activo a un mes vista; hacer unas previsiones para un año entero es muy arriesgado, como mínimo resulta muy complejo. Lo que quiero exponer son los catalizadores que podrían influir en el futuro desarrollo del mercado de valores de EEUU.
Bajo mi punto de vista, de cara al año que viene, a nivel mundial nos vamos a enfrentar a un factor muy importante que va a tener como catalizador critico lo que pasa en Estados Unidos. Dependemos muchísimo del dólar y de la renta fija y variable de Estados Unidos, que influyen en todo lo que pasa en el resto del mundo.
1 – Análisis fundamental

EEUU se encuentra en un proceso de subida que dura desde hace mas de 7 años; es uno de los ciclos más largos de subida, y hasta ahora los Bancos Centrales no han encontrado ningún remedio para evitar los cambios dParte 1)e ciclo, pueden alargarlos o retrasarlos pero es inevitable que las economías pasen por fases de expansión y después de decrecimiento.
Los elementos clave para el año …
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tdbatinkov avatar

That is interesting article

al_dcdemo avatar
al_dcdemo 10 Jan.

Thorough analysis and great explanation, well done!

isbar avatar
isbar 28 Jan.

Interesante. gracias por el aporte

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30/66
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This article (if you'd like to call it an article) will be strictly technical and based on andrew's pitchfork analysis of the weekly and daily charts of EUR/USD. So here are the charts:
This is an analysis of the pitchfork, which, as you can see in the first weekly chart, is respected by the price action, meaning that the median line served as strong support in Q2 and Q3 of 2015. Then at Q4 we broke this support and revisited the 1.05 region, which has both strong psychological and volume wise barrier, ie. bids are very strong at this level.
The euro just can't keep falling forever as the short trade is way too overcrowded. This gave rise to the short squeeze on the ECB event, where just in one day bears got ripped apart. This is the turning point for the euro, as all the fundamental dire straits have been priced in over the last year or so. Holding a euro short position these days feels like holding a hot potato, where fund managers are looking for a way and excuse to cover the shorts (preferably before year end). By an excuse I mean any event that will bring about volatility and volume, for example, even if the NFP's are a blowout number then they will cover their shorts into tha…
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Maxim3 avatar
Maxim3 13 Jan.

good writing

Anastasia_Sidneva avatar

very interesting

fx211pips avatar
fx211pips 14 Jan.

today the price opened on the boundary of the minor pitchfork in pink, wicked below and went back up again, this pitchfork really is working nicely

fx211pips avatar
fx211pips 16 Jan.

well, it's not working nicely with the article results:)

massimoscalas avatar

very interesting!

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12/61
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Introduction

In this article, it has been collected a series of information about the NZD/USD pair and a description of a trading strategy with the scope of indicate a pair forecast at 21:00 GMT 30/09/2015 . In accordance with a traditional approach to explaining exchange rate changes, the studies focus on the
  1. The role of the China and the FED played in fundamental analysis
  2. A selection of indicators that support the technical analysis.
  3. A trading strategy
The data and the chart comes from the Dukascop…
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Mariia avatar
Mariia 27 Sep.

very useful Durden

Vitalinka_Pavlenko avatar

wonderful job

missanzhelika avatar

Love the detailed description! Very well done.

TRAD3R avatar
TRAD3R 1 Oct.

surely useful , thanks :)

Natali_Niyazova avatar

great! Ur job is great!

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23/61
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Introduction
In this article EUR/USD will be analyzed both fundamentally and technically and as known nothing is impossible in Forex so different scenarios will be drawn to express about the most probable scenarios with the EUR/USD.
What is affected the move of EUR/USD nowadays:
First/ Fundamentally:
EUR/USD is affected now by two different and opposite policies by both European Central bank (ECB) and United States Federal Reserve (FED) and also affected by special crisis of each country of the EU which is affected –sometimes- the unity of EU and finally Euro and other currencies is affected due to strong growth in US in the last months which make US$ to be favored.
  • Different policies by ECB and FED:

ECB was injecting EU area by quantitative easing (QE) in order to support growth and raise inflation, simply (QE) means that ECB printed more Euros and the natural reaction for this is to weaken Euro against other pairs, in last meeting, ECB still ready to inject more QE is market conditions required.
In different, US FED is ready to raise interest rate for the first time from years, FED delayed its first rate hike more than once in order to prevent broad US$ gains which may dampe…
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Airmike avatar
Airmike 23 Sep.

nice

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18/58
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Because Greece is one of the most watched economic events in the past weeks, I want to talk a bit about the history of the Greek economy. This country isn't in this debt problem by chance of course, it has a track record of problems. Let's get started from the beginning.
The economist Charles Bullock has published an interesting essay on an economic experiment made by Dionysius the Elder, which was the ruler of the Greek city state of Syracuse from 407 B.C. to 367 B.C. What this leader did was to print more drachmas, which was the official currency of Greece during several periods in history, after he ran out of debt to fund his military campaigns. Because nobody wanted to lend him anymore money he forced his citizens to hand him all their money. Like this wasn't enough, after all the coins were collected he simply restamped one drachma coin as two drachmas. The problem here is that just printing more money was not a reliable way of creating more wealth. So Greeks have made a mess when it comes to economy for a long time.
Coming to a more contemporary timeline, if the Greek leaders had learned something from the past they would have not embraced the Euro as the common currency of …
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iiivb avatar
iiivb 12 July

I like this article. I disagree on "(...) if the Greek leaders had learned something from the past they would have not embraced the Euro as the common currency of the zone (...)" Actually I think that if Greek governments had indeed learnt something from the past, they would have changed already the ways they've been managing the money issues and adopting the Euro would have been a catalyst growth. Thanks for sharing!

Ivory avatar
Ivory 12 July

Thanks for the feedback. There is always a trade-off when a small country like Greece enters the same group with the "big fish" like Germany. The fast growth comes when you keep yourself competitive in the international market, you need cashflows for that, at least that's my opinion. Anyway, it looks like they'll keep themselves in the zone for now.

WallStreet6 avatar

Nice summing up. I like the story from the past- I see the Greek were searching for easy money already in the ancient times:)

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2/23
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The EURUSD has been in an uptrend since July 2012. Recent monetary policy changes have triggered a sell off in the pair creating speculation that the uptrend has concluded, The reversal in progress, has the capacity to take the pair much lower, this article will shed some light on the catalyst required to drive the trend change, as well as a trade plan.
Fundamental Outlook
Disinflation remains a concern for the Eurozone. HICP is the measure of inflation used by the ECB. The most recent reading came in at 0.5%, while targets are to be as close to 2% without going over.
Figure 1.1 - HICP on steady decline after a high of 3% posted on September 2011
The ECB has several different tools for battling disinflation. In April, an attempt at verbal intervention was made. See my blog post from April 12 - Possible EURO sell off at Open for details. The results was a 20 pip gap down, followed up with a 2 day sell off taking the pair 90 pips lower. The method proved to be ineffective as buyers stepped in and did not allow the pair to close lower.
The ECB Press conference on May 8, however had a major impact when Draghi indicated a clear time frame for when action would be taken.
Figu
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FXdream avatar
FXdream 16 July

nice work

sonjatrader avatar

Very interesting!!! Thanks

khalidamassi avatar

Good work.

sukeshroy avatar
sukeshroy 21 July

Very good article for finding combination of profitable orders using fundamental and technical analysis both.

Jignesh avatar
Jignesh 23 July

UPDATE - The trade idea is invalidated at this point with the daily close below 3500.  There is still a possibility of an irregular expanded flat, and I do like the setup with revised targets of 1.3750, but at this point the trade carries much less conviction.  it's worth keeping an eye on USDCHF for direction at this point to see if it breaks the high

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