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Intraday Advanced Patterns

Beto Posted 2 Oct. in #Trader's blog #Forecast #Patterns #Tactics #Strategies

5/28

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1. Abstract:
I have found some possible trade ideas to this week and maybe to the next by patterns on few currency pairs.
And today's article I want to give to you this possible opportunities.
As always do not take this information without any validation and forecast by your own risk management.
The next week I will review the results produced by this advanced patterns.
The suggested approach could be risk 50 pips as stop loss and entries a key levels and / or support - resistance areas.
2. Development:
The best is to follow the same process again, and again to improve results in the long time.
So, based on this goal. I will explain each of them with a picture to understand best what the price did after the signal.
The main goal is not to get a 100% correct pattern or signal, more like how good you can manage the trades and risk.
SIGNAL TIME: 02/OCT/2017 07:00 GTM(0) > LONDON SESSION
Chart = 4 hours by bars
X = current price at article's creation
SUMMARY:

AUD/CHF, BULLISH BUTERFLY, X=0.7588
AUD/USD, BULLISH BUTERFLY, X=0.7822
CAD/CHF, BULLISH GARTLEY, X=0.776
EUR/CAD, BEARISH GARTLEY, X=1.469

…

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My View on German Federal Election 2017

Beto Posted 23 Sep. in #Trader's blog #Forecast #Strategy #Risk #Management

10/54

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1. Abstract:
The financial markets will move after the federal elections this week.
This could be a nice opportunity for seasonal traders and experienced people who likes the big risk.
I want to explain my opinion and suggested directions to trade after this event, knowing that this analysis is made on Saturday and maybe
the release of this information can be available on Thursday or even Wednesday next week.
Most important is to get involved or trade with low risk because the high volatility could happen. The bad thing with that is any stop may
support it and a big loss could carry out or even pending orders could not been filled.
2. Development:
What to trade and why ? well, based on my research could be YEN pairs because the DAX is the correlated security for this currency Forex pair and because this kind of event and EUR/USD because high liquidity.
I will use an SMA(200) and key levels of Fibonacci retracement and the daily chart.
2.1 GBP/JPY Analisys:
As you can see the big picture of this pair, is making higher highs and higher lows. Also seems to be in a channel up.
I did create a projection using Fibonacci levels taking the key numbers.
With this I will create a forecast to…

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My Trade List (april 2017)

Beto Posted 10 Apr. in #Analysis #Forecast #Technical #Forex Risk

36/65

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1. Abstract
This week seems to be very interesting because the price action is making changes because of the strong US DOLLAR.
So, is very important to have a watch list and follow it and today I will share it.
The information suggested here is not an investment advice and must check it before to take any trade decision.
2. Development
2.1 AUDUSD
This pair was loosing ground since March 20th who reach a price of 0.775 but at the moment has reach a zone around 0.75
The price at this level was touched by first time on March 8th and seems to be forming a resistance level.
I am waiting for a pattern formation about reversal or trend continuation to make a move.
If the price action can close below this zone, we could see a move lower around 0.73
But if don't a move like correction to the recent lower high to reach the 0.762 zone maybe is the second option.
2.2 BRENT
The recent issues on Siria was the boost to this commotidy and maybe could be around 58$ or more.
This began on March 23th when brent touched the 50$ and since that day was climbing till today around 56$.
A strong resistance is around 57.5$ and a close above this level could send prices even higher.
For now I am waiting for …

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EURo Makes Rallies so what next ?

Beto Posted 3 Mar. in #Analysis #Forecast #Tactics #Strategies #Forex Market

6/52

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1. Abstract
On December last year, the Euro was in a range area of 250 pips, and then since the beginning of the year fall into a slow decline.
The most interesting here is about cross pairs because these are showing an interesting formation.
Technical analysis says that after a rally moves up or down happen a period of consolidation comes. Then a reversal is more likely.
I want to show the same scenario to the majority of the Euro pairs because these are the most tradable. More that exotic ones.
I prefer to work with the major pairs but not with the minors because of liquidity.
2. Development
The indicators used to this analysis are stochastic(15,5,5), EMA(40) and Fibonacci Levels.
As you can see the same characteristics on all of them, each pair have a particular setup to engage it.
Let's see each of them.
The realistic reward to risk ratio could be 1:1 but in strong moves, the best is 1:2 as minimun.
2.1 EUR/AUD
The chart above shows the price action going to touch a key level around the 161% Fibonacci Level.
The Stochastic is near to make a cross on a sell area.
A conservative approach could be put a sell limit at 161% or below the last candle low with targets at 23% or the la…

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Binary Option and Fundamental Analysis Contest

rupesh1984 Posted 2 Feb. in #Forex #Fundamental #Forecast #Fundamental Analysis #Binary Option #Trading Idea

22/59

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Hello every Community member,As u know my mostly post on article is related to Binary Option trading,today again for Feb month my first article is again related to Binary option trading and in this article,i show you how to trade Binary option with Fundamental Analysis Contest prediction.
Benefit of Binary option with Fundamental Analysis :
1) If you are good in Fundamental Analysis and your success ratio is good there you can easily make money in Binary option.
2) If you do not have much to spare all time on system,you can just put trade as Fundamental analysis contest prediction.
How to Trade Binary Option with Fundamental Analysis :
First we have to look each day on Fundamental analysis Contest page and to look which pair have upcoming Economic event and what to predict.
Example :
I took current Economic event of USD/RUB as on 3rdFeb,which is need to come at 10:30 GMT.Now we have to look what the data is and what we have to predict,if we suppose that USD/RUB will be Strong for next 10 min we give the buy order in USD/RUB and if we Bear on it then we give Put order in Binary Option.
As shown on Figure :
So Interest Rate Decision data is t…

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Predict the Direction of the Currency Eurusd

FXNOAD Posted 9 Nov. in #Forecast #Eurusd #Fundamental Analysis Contest #Movement #Technical Analisis #Predicted

24/65

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In this topic we will talk about the expected movement for the pair EURUSD , Based on fundamental analysis and technical,
Fundamental analysis:
Next week (November 14 to November 18) we have several important news,
we must focus on jobs news and CPI, Because the Fed will focus on the decision to raise interest rates
If released in a positive way We must think about selling the euro In the medium term and vice.
Other news will be a short-term impact
About interest rates, in my view it will be Hike in December
Technical analysis:
We will use the waveform analysis in the analysis,
In the weekly time frame, price is in sideways direction And it did not come out yet, The chart shows us the model triangle.
If the price level exceeding trend line and Shut down the level of 1.0800 , We made sure from the beginning of the downward trend.
In the daily time frame , we have in the chart sideways direction but Inclined for landing,
So we say that the trend has become bearish we need Close down the level of 1.0840 to start selling
but if the price close above trend line the trend is become bullish so we can start buying
Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Oct)

Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Oct)

Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Oct)

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Weekly Forecast 07-11-2016 to 11-11-2016

rupesh1984 Posted 7 Nov. in #Forex #Forecast #Weekly Analysis

35/65

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The EURUSD looks determined to retest trend line resistance that extends from the current 2016 high at 1.1615. Friday’s close above the 1.1122 handle appears to be significant and could lead to at least another 40 to 50 pips of upside in the week ahead.
With that said, the May trend line will likely put up a better fight than the 1.1122 level did last week. Considering this level extends from the current high for the year and rejected all four previous advances, chances are sellers will be keeping a close eye on the 1.1170/80 area. While the 1.1122 handle will likely attract bids on a move lower this week.
Be sure to take extra precaution this week given the US elections. In fact, taking a seat on the sidelines wouldn’t be a bad idea given the expected volatility and widening spreads.
At 340 pips from open to close, last week’s GBPUSD rally was the largest since late February. The pair first managed to climb above the 1.2325 area on Thursday and finished off the week with a close above the 1.2500 handle.
So does this mean that the British pound is in the clear?
Not quite. It’s important to remember that as impressive as last week’s rally was and could continue to be, the pair is st…

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Fed Interest Rates

AAARated Posted 12 Sep. in #Technical analysis #AUD #USD #Federal Reserve #Forecast

33/58

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Forex Market Overview:
With the NFP report many think that september interest rate hike is out of the picture, but there appears to be slightest of chance that FED may increase interest rates this month. Rosenberg a top FED official said that "risks to the forecast are becoming increasingly two-sided". "That means that while a slowdown overseas remains a concern, the U.S. economy has proven resilient and could even overheat if Fed policy remains unchanged for too much longer." He also stated that the "modest" wage pressures so far this year mean the labor market is tightening and could well exceed "full employment" next year. For the rest of this year, U.S. GDP growth will likely rebound and run above a 2-percent rate over the next two quarters.
On the other hand, Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari said, “There doesn’t appear to be a huge urgency to do anything,” implying that the problems facing the economy cannot be solved by monetary policy so there is no pressing need for action from the central bank. He also pointed out that he wanted to see “more movement” in core inflation, which he said was “stuck” at a 1.6% annual rate.
Following the comments, the US markets plunged lower…

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L'or De Shanghai

isomere Posted 9 May in #Forecast #Gold #Yuan #Sge

24/59

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1. Introduction.
Depuis mardi 19 avril 2016, l'opérateur des métaux précieux, le Shanghai Gold exchange dispose de son propre système de cotation de l'or libellé en yuan.Tout comme à Londres, le cours de l'or sera actualisé deux fois par jour. Participent au fixing; des banques d’État, des banques étrangères dont ANZ Bank, des compagnies minières chinoises, au total une petite vingtaine d'acteurs du marché fixeront le prix de l'or par le jeu de l'offre et de la demande. Le premier fixing affichait le gramme d'or à 256,92 yuans, soit 1.233,85 dollar l'once, au même moment il cotait 1.232,25 dollar à Londres.

2. Objectifs.

La Banque centrale chinoise a annoncé, en juin 2015, que ses réserves d'or étaient de 1.658 tonnes, soit une augmentation de 60 % depuis la dernière évaluation en 2009. La Chine détient ainsi la cinquième plus grande réserve d'or au monde avec en tête les États-Unis et ses 8.100 tonnes de métal jaune. Rappelons toutefois que la Réserve fédérale des États-Unis refuse un audit indépendant de ses stocks, que même les propriétaires d'or n'ont pas ce droit.
Faisant suite au lancement de l'or coté en Yuan, la Chine s'est engagé à publier chaque année le v…

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Trading Idea (semana 1ª Mayo)

DominguezV Posted 2 May in #Technical analysis #Forecast #Trading Idea

15/59

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Introducción
Todos los días aparecen oportunidades en el mercado de divisas, curiosamente la oportunidades aparecen a toro pasado, son oportunidades desaprovechadas, esto genera frustración y provoca precipitación en la siguiente decisión. La consistencia se basa en la capacidad de caer en la cuenta todo el tiempo cuando las probabilidades están a favor y cuando hay que estar fuera del mercado, con la serie de artículos "Idea de Trading semanal", analizare el mejor momento para entrar en el mercado durante la semana minimizando el riesgo.
El Método
Cada semana mediante el análisis técnico estudiare la situación de varios horizontes temporales para tener un visión global sobre la fuerza dominante, estudiaré en primer lugar el horizonte temporal mayor e iré disminuyendo horizontes temporales menores quitando capas como si el mercado fuera una cebolla, me informaré de las noticias macro económicas con un gran impacto en la volatilidad y por ultimo concluiré con la oportunidad con más probabilidad de éxito según lo evaluado. El método para determinar el punto de entrada y salida en el mercado será: "La regla del 76,40%" , esta regla la explico en el artículo del 5 de octubre 2015. …

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Trading Idea (semana 2ª Abril)

DominguezV Posted 22 Apr. in #Technical analysis #Forecast #Forex Systems #Trading Idea

18/51

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Introducción
Todos los días aparecen oportunidades en el mercado de divisas, curiosamente la oportunidades aparecen a toro pasado, son oportunidades desaprovechadas, esto genera frustración y provoca precipitación en la siguiente decisión. La consistencia se basa en la capacidad de caer en la cuenta todo el tiempo cuando las probabilidades están a favor y cuando hay que estar fuera del mercado, con la serie de artículos "Idea de Trading semanal", analizare el mejor momento para entrar en el mercado durante la semana minimizando el riesgo.
El Método
Cada semana mediante el análisis técnico estudiare la situación de varios horizontes temporales para tener un visión global sobre la fuerza dominante, estudiaré en primer lugar el horizonte temporal mayor e iré disminuyendo horizontes temporales menores quitando capas como si el mercado fuera una cebolla, me informaré de las noticias macro económicas con un gran impacto en la volatilidad y por ultimo concluiré con la oportunidad con más probabilidad de éxito según lo evaluado. El método para determinar el punto de entrada y salida en el mercado será: "La regla del 76,40%" , esta regla la explico en el artículo del 5 de octubre 2015. …

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Trading Idea (semana 2ª Abril 2016)

DominguezV Posted 13 Apr. in #Technical analysis #Forecast #Trading Idea

17/51

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Introducción
Todos los días aparecen oportunidades en el mercado de divisas, curiosamente la oportunidades aparecen a toro pasado, son oportunidades desaprovechadas, esto genera frustración y provoca precipitación en la siguiente decisión. La consistencia se basa en la capacidad de caer en la cuenta todo el tiempo cuando las probabilidades están a favor y cuando hay que estar fuera del mercado, con la serie de artículos "Idea de Trading semanal", analizare el mejor momento para entrar en el mercado durante la semana minimizando el riesgo.
El Método
Cada semana mediante el análisis técnico estudiare la situación de varios horizontes temporales para tener un visión global sobre la fuerza dominante, estudiaré en primer lugar el horizonte temporal mayor e iré disminuyendo horizontes temporales menores quitando capas como si el mercado fuera una cebolla, me informaré de las noticias macro económicas con un gran impacto en la volatilidad y por ultimo concluiré con la oportunidad con más probabilidad de éxito según lo evaluado. El método para determinar el punto de entrada y salida en el mercado será: "La regla del 76,40%" , esta regla la explico en el artículo del 5 de octubre 2015. …

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Trading Idea (1ª Semana Abril 2016)

DominguezV Posted 6 Apr. in #Forecast #Technical Analisis #Trading Idea

12/51

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Introducción
Todos los días aparecen oportunidades en el mercado de divisas, curiosamente la oportunidades aparecen a toro pasado, son oportunidades desaprovechadas, esto genera frustración y provoca precipitación en la siguiente decisión. La consistencia se basa en la capacidad de caer en la cuenta todo el tiempo cuando las probabilidades están a favor y cuando hay que estar fuera del mercado, con la serie de artículos "Idea de Trading semanal", analizare el mejor momento para entrar en el mercado durante la semana minimizando el riesgo.
El Método
Cada semana mediante el análisis técnico estudiare la situación de varios horizontes temporales para tener un visión global sobre la fuerza dominante, estudiaré en primer lugar el horizonte temporal mayor e iré disminuyendo horizontes temporales menores quitando capas como si el mercado fuera una cebolla, me informaré de las noticias macro económicas con un gran impacto en la volatilidad y por ultimo concluiré con la oportunidad con más probabilidad de éxito según lo evaluado. El método para determinar el punto de entrada y salida en el mercado será: "La regla del 76,40%" , esta regla la explico en el artículo del 5 de octubre 2015. …

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Prévisions Sur L'EUR/USD.

isomere Posted 4 Apr. in #Technical analysis #Forecast #Bce #EUR/USD #Fed

3/51

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1. Introduction.

L'EUR/USD a déployé une puissante vague haussière propulsant le cours de 1,08 à 1,14 en moins d'un mois. Ce faisant, des niveaux de résistances importants ont été franchis : 1,1220/1,1300/1,1380.Cette tendance à la hausse se caractérise par des impulsions haussières des volumes d'échange qui chutent lors des retracements du cours.
L'eurodoll évolue actuellement non loin des plus hauts de cinq mois, vers 1,1440. L'ensemble de ces constatations semble de bon augure pour une poursuite de la tendance, nous y reviendrons plus longuement.

2. Aspect fondamental.

L'EUR/USD connaît cependant un répit après la publication la semaine dernière des chiffres US. Les chiffres mensuels sur l'emploi publiés vendredi passé ont été meilleurs que prévu avec 215.000 créations d'emploi non-agricoles en mars.
De même pour l'indice SMI qui montre que l'économie US est en bonne santé en dépit d'une conjoncture internationale morose.
Il semble toutefois que ces conditions favorables ne soient pas suffisantes pour un relèvement des taux d’intérêt US. C'est en substance le discours prudent de Yanet Yellen la semaine dernière sur un éventuel resserrement monétaire qui de toute évidence ne…

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Trading Idea (4ª Semana Marzo 2016)

DominguezV Posted 23 Mar. in #Technical analysis #Forex #Forecast #Trading Idea

23/66

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Introducción
Todos los días aparecen oportunidades en el mercado de divisas, curiosamente la oportunidades aparecen a toro pasado, son oportunidades desaprovechadas, esto genera frustración y provoca precipitación en la siguiente decisión. La consistencia se basa en la capacidad de caer en la cuenta todo el tiempo cuando las probabilidades están a favor y cuando hay que estar fuera del mercado, con la serie de artículos "Idea de Trading semanal", analizare el mejor momento para entrar en el mercado durante la semana minimizando el riesgo.
El Método
Cada semana mediante el análisis técnico estudiare la situación de varios horizontes temporales para tener un visión global sobre la fuerza dominante, estudiaré en primer lugar el horizonte temporal mayor e iré disminuyendo horizontes temporales menores quitando capas como si el mercado fuera una cebolla, me informaré de las noticias macro económicas con un gran impacto en la volatilidad y por ultimo concluiré con la oportunidad con más probabilidad de éxito según lo evaluado. El método para determinar el punto de entrada y salida en el mercado será: "La regla del 76,40%" , esta regla la explico en el artículo del 5 de octubre 2015. …

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