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35/53
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Greetings dear Dukascopy Community. Last week I was caught in an offline project and I was not able to update my weekly analysis for the major pair. I appologize for that. This week I will post the Weekly view Analysis for the 4 Hours Time Based charts and the 35/20 pips Constant Range Bars charts in this article and I will also update the Monthly View Analysis from Friday, conducted on the Daily Charts for the Major Pairs.(in the comments section).Before We start our analysis You should read my article from last month : Key-levels Explained for Range Bars+weekly Analysis for Major Pairs.(to help You understand better the analysis that We will conduct in this article)In any moment given, We have to remember always that no matter what probability we can calculate for the future movement of the price, there is also a chance that the price action could turn against the higher probability. That is why I consider that the probability is always 50-50% for the price to go bullish or bearish. It can only be safe to be prepared always for the both scenarios. If You toss a coin 10 times and You get heads 8 times, and tails 2 times, for the 11th roll, the probability will be 50-50%, unless th…
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doctortyby 20 Mar.

7) Nzd/Usd - Weekly View - 19-23rd of March - 4 hours Chart in analogy with 35 Pips Range Bars Charts:Bullish Probability,if the price will find support at 0.822-0.820 Area(Key confluence between Monthly S1 Pivot, Weekly Main Pivot, and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, and 50 and 30 SMAs cross), it will rise to 0.830-0.831 area (Key confluence between 200SMA and 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement), and move further to 0.834 (Key level, confluence between Monthly Main Pivot and Weekly R1 Pivot). The next resistence could be 0.841(Weekly R2 Pivot)

doctortyby 20 Mar.

7) Nzd/Usd - Weekly View - 19-23rd of March - 4 hours Chart in analogy with 35 Pips Range Bars Charts:Bearish Probability,if the price breaks and confirms the breakout of 0.822-0.820 Key Area(confluence between 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement, Monthly S1 Pivot, Weekly Main Pivot and 30 and 50 SMAs cross),it could fall further to reach first 0.812(Weekly S1 Pivot, key confluence with the Downtrend Line, which is acting now as Dynamic support), and then 0.808(Monthly S2 Pivot and support)and 0.798-0.796 area (Monthly S3 Pivot and Weekly S2 Pivot confluence)

doctortyby 20 Mar.

6) Usd/Cad - Weekly View - 19-23rd of March - 4 hours Chart in analogy with 20 Pips Range Bars Charts:Bullish Probability, if the price will find support around 0.988(Weekly S1 Pivot), and it will turn bullish above 0.991-0.993 Key area (Key confluence between Monthly Main Pivot , Weekly Main Pivot, and 30 and furture confluence with 100 SMA), it will move upside to 0.995(Weekly R1 Pivot, key confluence with 200 SMA on the 4 Hours chart), and continue further upside to reach 0.998(Weekly S2 Pivot) and finally 1.001(confluence between Monthly R1 Pivot and Weekly R3 Pivot)

doctortyby 20 Mar.

6) Usd/Cad - Weekly View - 19-23rd of March - 4 hours Chart in analogy with 20 Pips Range Bars Charts:Bearish Probability, under 0.988(Weekly S1 Pivot), price could fall to reach first 0.984 (Weekly S2 Pivot) and then continue sideways for a few days between 0.984-0.988. There is a stronger bearish probability to break the Weekly S2 Pivot and reach the 0.980 area (Monthly S1 Pivot confluence with the Weekly S3 Pivot)

marius24 22 Mar.

what a nice analysis here..it must come from a good trader

31/53
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Greetings dear friends. I hope that You have managed to read my Monthly View Analysis from Friday, conducted on the Daily Charts for the Major Pairs. My last article could help to see a larger view of the market for March and could also help you to find better entries on the 4 Hours and 1 Hour Trigger Charts.This Week we will analyse the 4Hours Time frame Chart and the 35 Pips Constant Range Bars Charts for the Major Pairs: Eur/Usd (Fiber), Gbp/Usd (Cable), Aud/Usd (Aussie), Usd/Chf (Swiss Franc), Nzd/Usd (Kiwi), Usd/Cad (Loonie) and Usd/Jpy (Yen).I use the same instruments for my analysis just like the ones that You can see in my last article, only that I will also post Today the 35 Pips Range Bars Charts from Dukascopy's J-forex Platform.>> 1) Eur/Usd - Weekly View - 06-09th of March - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart.        Bearish Probability - We can clearly see an important Key Area between 1.317-1.320 (Key confluence between 200 SMA, Uptrend Line, and 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Bearish).    If the price will break and confirm that breakout from that area, we could see a downside move to reach 1.308 (Weekly S1 Pivot), further a retracement back to …
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ELENA_M 7 Mar.

thanks for good analysis.

good article

marius24 22 Mar.

you are good my friend..hope you will aply all this knowledge on real

7/53
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Greetings dear friends. Thank You for your support in the last months. I feel motivated me to write even more elaborated analysis and explanation for the Constant Range Bars Charts, the Key Levels and the Timing Solutions (Entry and Exit from the Market).    In this first article from March I would like to post the monthly view analysis, on the daily charts, for the Major Pairs: Eur/Usd (Fiber), Gbp/Usd (Cable), Aud/Usd (Aussie), Usd/Chf (Swiss Franc), Nzd/Usd (Kiwi), Usd/Cad (Loonie) and Usd/Jpy (Yen).   As You know I conduct a weekly analysis for the major pairs, based on the 4 Hours time based charts and 35 Pips Constant Range Bars Charts. Because Today it is Friday and I do not have yet the weekly Pivots from next week, I will have to post another article on Monday with the weekly view.   That is why We will only analyse the Daily charts in this first article from March.   Our Daily chart analysis contains the following instruments:- Monthly Pivots (Main, 3 Supports, 3 Resistences),- SMA - 30,50,100 and 200,- Trendlines and Channels,- Supports and Resistences,- Fibonacci Retracements,- Volume analysis,- Andrew's Pitchfork (new from this month),- Fractals (5 Candles setup, ne…
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Nicco 6 Mar.

Interesting...like the others from the same author! +1

Thanks for hard working!

nfx 12 Mar.

Great market structure analysis! Thanks!

marius24 22 Mar.

so far i like the most your article compared with the others

ELENA_M 31 Mar.

pleasure to see you in top-10 again, good luck in final evaluation :)

25/58
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Welcome back to a new Trading week my Friends from the Dukascopy Community. As you probably know my Weekly Articles contain Analysis Explanation for the time-based Charts and the Constant Range Bars Charts, and the Analysis for the Current Week for the Major Pairs on the 4Hours Charts in analogy with 35 Pips Range Bars Charts. I try to update the analysis at least once more during the week through the daily view on the 1Hour charts. Sometimes I even post Analysis for other important pairs. My analysis has had 85% Success ratio so far. I make my analysis on both bulish and bearish scenarios, because in any moment the price action has 50-50% of going Bullish or Bearish.This month I have introduced the Timing Solution and the Explanation of the Key-Levels that I use in my Analysis with the Classification depending on the Importance and Impact on the Market.In my analysis I use the following instruments:- Pivot Points (Daily, Weekly and Monthly - Main Pivots, 3 Supports and 3 Resistences),- Fibonacci Retracements (during a Trend),- Simple Moving Averages (30,50,100 and 200 SMA - also effective during an Uptrend or a Downtrend),- Trendlines and Channel Trendlines (During trends and C…
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doctortyby 28 Feb.

Gbp/Usd-1Hour chart-28.02-Update-Bearish Probability,if 1.581(Weekly Main Pivot,confluence with 200 and 100SMA and Uptrend Line)will be broken and confirmed price could reach first 1.575(confluence between Monthly R1 Pivot and Daily S2 Pivot from Tuesday),and further to 1.572(Key Confluence between Weekly S1 Pivot and Uptrend Main Dynamic Support Line).This would be a good level for a Bullish continuation of the Uptrend on 1Hour and 4Hours charts.

doctortyby 28 Feb.

Eur/Usd-1Hour chart-28.02-Update-Bullis Probability,if 1.342(Key Level,confluence between Daily Main Pivot from Tuesday and Uptrend Line,30 and 50SMA cross)will hold as support,price could rise to 1.353(Daily R2 Pivot from Tuesday)and 1.357(Weekly R1 Pivot,confluence with the Uptrend Dynamic Resistence Channel Line).From this level price could retrace bearish to the 1.346(Daily R1 Pivot from Tuesday,becomes then Support),and then continue the upside move to reach 1.368(Weekly R2 Pivot).

doctortyby 28 Feb.

Eur/Usd-1Hour chart-28.02-Update-Bearish Probability,under 1.342(Key confluence between Daily Pivot,30,50SMA and Uptrend Line)price will have to break a key support, the 1.338Level(Key Level,confluence between Weekly Pivot and 100SMA),and finally 1.327(Key Level confluence between 200SMA and Weekly S1 Pivot line),to break the uptrend on the 1Hour Chart.The next support will be 1.312(Monthly Main Pivot,and confluence between two Main Downtrend and Uptrend Line from the Higher Time Frames).

ELENA_M 28 Feb.

as always very informative and with good presentation :)

Bluedragon 29 Feb.

good article ;) +1

1/58
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>3) >>> AUD/Usd <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart:   4) >>> Nzd/Usd <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart:
5)>>> USD/CHF <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart:
6) >>> Usd/Jpy <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the (15) Pips Range Bars Chart:
7) >>> Usd/Cad <<< Weekly view - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart:      Thank You for Your Patience to Read My Article and My Analysis.I will post the Written Explanations for the charts in the Comments Section of the Article, as soon as it will be posted. Disclaimer: Please Take responsability for Your own Trading Decisions.To Your success,Doctortyby - Tiberiu
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doctortyby 16 Feb.

Usd/Cad,Daily view,1Hour chart(16.02);Bearish probability if price breaks and confirms 0.998(confluence between Weekly and Daily Pivot and 200Sma),it could drop further to 0.995(Daily S1) and 0.938(Weekly S1 Pivot).Bullish probability,if 0.998(Key Level explained earlier)will hold as support,price could turn bac upside to reach 1.002(Daily r1 Pivot)and 1.005(Key Level, confluence between Weekly R1 and Daily r2 Pivots)

ELENA_M 18 Feb.

again you were right in analysis, will waiting for another. Thanks :)

Schaolin 22 Feb.

Good luck in Contest! +1

corneliu 22 Feb.

good luck +1 :) interesting :))

WyMe 22 Feb.

Well Done +1

20/58
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This is the beginning of a new trading month, a new succsessful trading week and our new Constant Range Bars Charts Technical Analysis (35
Pips Bars/Candles) in Analogy with 4 hours Time Based Charts for This Week, for
the Major Pairs (Eur/Usd, Gbp/Usd, Aud/Usd, Usd/Chf, Usd/Jpy, Usd/Cad and
Nzd/Usd). So far, my Analysis has had 85 % Success, because it is based on
Price Action. In this First Analysis in February I will also Post the Monthly
View through the Daily Charts.
You can see examples for my Analysis in My Article Series from December and
January.I recommend You to read my Timing Solution Article, with the help of the Range Bars Charts, because it can help You to find a better use for this Analysis in your trading Plan. As You may know from my previous analysis my Technical instruments are: - Pivot Points (Daily, Weekly, Monthly), supports and resistences,- Simple Moving Averages (30,50,100 and 200),- Fibonacci Retracements,- Trendlines and Channels,- Candlestick Formations,- Volumes Analysis.My analysis contains the 4 Hours Time-Based Charts in Analogy with the 35 Pips Constant Range Bars Charts for the Weekly View. This analysis also contains the Daily Chart for the Mon…
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ELENA_M 11 Feb.

as always very informative and with good presentation :) trading is really yours

Forsmin 12 Feb.

Good luck. I wish you the first step

ovidiu_gnt 12 Feb.

Hard work, high satisfaction .

mauyama 13 Feb.

nice work

Schaolin 22 Feb.

good article

21/58
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kkforex 14 Feb.

ELENA_M 18 Feb.

new part of your textbook :))

Bluedragon 29 Feb.

good luck +1 ;)

ritesh 29 Feb.

Thanks a million to all of and doc, kk, Adask, BlueD and Elena for all the encouragement and support.

30/65
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Welcome Back... this is the 4th Part of January's Major Pairs Weekly Analysis Series based on 4 Hours Time Frame charts and 35 Pips Constant Range Bars Charts. Last week my Major Pairs' Analysis has had
about 85-90% Accuracy for the Price Projection. As You know from my
previous analysis I make projections based on Price Action and
Technicals for both the Bullish and Bearish Probabilities. Check Out the
Success Ratio on My Price Projections for Last Week and then proceed to
Read My Analysis for Next Week (23-27th of January). Read My 12 steps to Make a trade, 12 Solutions to Discipline Yourself as a Trader, before You can successfully use my Analysis in you trading.I have Explained the Constant Range Bars Charts (based only on Price Movement and Volatility) in my first two articles fromt his Month:1) Introduction to Constant Range Bars Charts,2) Constant Range Bars Charts in comparison with Time Based Charts.This week's Article will contain the Usual analysis for the Major Pairs on 4 hours charts and 35 Pips Range Bars Charts (Updated through Comments Throughout the Week for the 1 hour Charts) for: Eur/Usd, Gbp/Usd, Aud/Usd, Usd/Jpy, Usd/Chf, Usd/Cad, Nzd/Usd. I use the following …
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Milani 24 Jan.

Take a look at my strategy contest. ............First month and successful for now.

ovidiu_gnt 24 Jan.

In the market anything is possible, I think that the moment we assume a complex correction

men79 24 Jan.

Yes, it is too smart for me :)

pistek 27 Jan.

corneliu 31 Jan.

interesting :) good luck

37/65
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kkforex 23 Jan.

Good luck for the article contest 1+ Thanks for support

positive 23 Jan.

Planning and homework are the first stages of any activity.Well done +1

38/65
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INTRODUCTION          This new article series focused on the finer aspects needed for a forex trader to make this activity targeted towards the goal of Financial Freedom. Upcoming articles would be dedicated on this Financial Freedom aspect, so as to make it easier for the readers to grasp the underlying equation of making consistent profits with currency trading and thereby replace their present job which is presently a obligation to just an optional activity. Articles will include powerful techniques needed to remove major trading related issues, problems traders face while managing their money for achieving financial success. So without further delay, let's dive into the world of currency trading with a professional and realistic attitude to achieve our respective financial goal.What is Financial FreedomFinancial freedom is generally described as the financial state achieved by a person, which makes him or her free from any obligations to work in future in order to preserve or maintain the standard of living for whole of their lifetime. In simple terms, one has enough money to spend at the same rate as of now, without any need to work or do a job or perform business ac…
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kkforex 19 Jan.

Best lcuk and thanks for the support 1+

doctortyby 19 Jan.

This subject is an old passion of mine. I have also written about Financial Freedom (obtained through a business, Trading, Inheritance, or just plain "Luck"). But one of the most important facts is how you protect you Financial Freedom (inflation, taxes and especially New Habbits and Needs that we create ourselves with the Money - Mental Freedom). If You have more Money doesn't mean you are Free. Good luck +1

ritesh 23 Jan.

thanks doctortyby, new habits for sure are nice, while Financial Freedom only secures the present living standard for future. thanks :)

29/65
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Welcome Back my friends, to a new Trading week.This Week's Article will contain the Weekly Analysis View for this Week (16-20Th of January) for the Major Pairs: EUR/USD , GBP/USD , USD/CHF , USD/JPY , USD/CAD , AUD/USD and NZD/USD.The analysis has been made on 4 Hours charts in Analogy with 35 Pips Constant Range Bars Charts / 15 Pips Constant Range Bars Charts (USD/JPY).You can Read my first 2 Articles for this Month where I have explained the Constant Range Bars Charts (based only on volatility and Price Movement) and I have made an Analogy with Time Based Charts.1) Introduction to Constant Range Bars Charts,2) Constant Range Bars Charts in comparison with Time Based Charts.I also think You should Read My 12 steps to Make a trade, 12 Solutions to Discipline Yourself as a Trader, before You can successfully use my Analysis in you trading.   As You may Know from my Previous Analisys I use the following instruments for my Weekly Analysis:- Pivot Points (Daily , Weekly , Monthly) - the Main Pivots, Supports and Resistences,- Simple Moving Averages (30,50,100,200 SMA) Crosses,- Fibonacci Retracements (38,2 ; 50 and 61,8),- Trendlines,- Channels,- Support and Resistences,- Candlestick …
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doctortyby 19 Jan.

SILVER - Bullish Probability – If it Breaks 30,83(Weekly R1 Pivot confluence with the Downtrend Line) and confirms the Bullish Signal it could reach 31,84(weekly R2 Pivot), 32,22(Monthly R1 Pivot) and 32,97(Weekly r3 Pivot). Price is moving inside an uptrend Channel on 4 hours Chart and this would be a good level for a bearish retracement to the Channel Support.

doctortyby 19 Jan.

Silver Price has Broken the 200 Simple Moving Average on 4 Hours Chart and has formed a “Red Cross” (50 SMA cross with 200 SMA) simillar to Gold. This could signal a Trend Reversal. The Sentiment is Bullish with Bullish Volume.
Silver Looks more Bullish than gold at this Moment.

kkforex 19 Jan.

Agree. Range bars win over any price based charts. 1+

doctortyby 22 Jan.

This week my Major Pairs' Analysis has had about 85-90% Accuracy for the Price Projection. As You know from my previous analysis I make projections based on Price Action and Technicals fro both the Bullish and Bearish Probabilities. Check Out the Success Ratio on My Price Projections for Last Week and remember to Read My Analysis for Next Week (23-27th of January) tomorrow in My article Section.

positive 24 Jan.

Liked the depth of your study Doctor. Great work and top rated article +1.

28/65
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In my first article for the Month of January, you have been able to see a different view of the Market through a brief Introduction to Constant Range Bars Charts (or range candles if it suites You better). I have also posted My January analysis on daily Charts for the Major Pairs. This week My article will also contain 2 parts: 1) The Range Bars Charts advantages in comparison with Time Charts, integrated in part 2) My weekly Analysis for Major Pairs for each of the Major Pairs (which will be updated through comments, and also other pairs). I also insist that You read My 12 Steps to Make a Trade, 12 Solution to Discipline yourself as a Trader, before you read My Weekly Analysis.Part I - Constant Range Bars/Candles Charts advantages:- Range Bars give You a Better Price Action, by eliminating the Choppy Market Noise because the Time is irrelevant in Range Bars Charts. The Long Candles are cut into smaller candles with the same size that give You clearer Entry Signals, and let You make a Better Analysis.- Support and Resistence Levels are Clearer on Range Bars Charts.- Some of the Indicators that are based on Price Action, like MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands, Stochastic oscillator, Moving…
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doctortyby 16 Jan.

USD/CAD,Weekly View(16-20.01),4hours Chart:Price is Moving Sideways on the 4 Hours Chart.Bearish Probability would break 1,015(Weekly S1 confluence with Uptrend Line) Pivot and move further to 1,005(Weekly S2 Pivot). From this level it could retrace Long back to the Uptrend Line - now resistence.Bullish Probability could rise to 1,023(Weekly Main Pivot confluence with 200SMA) and move further to 1,027(Downtrend Line) and 1,032(Weekly R1). This could be a False Breakout and price could Retrace Back down.

WHERE'S THIS WEEK'S ANALYSIS? WAITING FOR IT

men79 17 Jan.

kkforex 18 Jan.

pistek 18 Jan.

gl4you+1

3/65
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Dieselfx 14 Jan.

some of the levels u put in did actually hit so we're waiting for the next week bulletin news ;0

doctortyby 15 Jan.

I have posted today the Weekly analysis view on 4Hours chart for Euro Index, USD Index, USD/SEK, USD/NOK, USD/SGD, EUR/GBP, EUR/CHF, EUR/JPY in my article comments from this week. I will post later the analysis for GBP/JPY, GBP/AUD, EUR/AUD, AUD/JPY, CHF/JPY in the same place.

doctortyby 15 Jan.

Tomorrow, on Monday Morning, You will be able to read My Weekly Analysis on 4Hours charts and 30 Pips Range Bars Charts in my new article, along with other Constant Range BArs Charts elements. I will post tonight some previews on the Major Pairs analysis in the comments of the other article and in My trading blog.To Your success, Doctortyby

Milani 17 Jan.

Always good analyse

kkforex 23 Jan.

43/100
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doctortyby 29 Dec.

And Finally EUR/USD(29.12 UPDATE)-Price broke down from two congestion areas on 1H and 4H charts.Fundamentals are Negative(waiting for S&P ratings).Higher Probability is Short from 1,285(Monthly S1 and Weekly S2)to target 1,364(Weekly S3).It could retrace to 1,295(Weekly S1 now resistence) or further to 1,297(daily Pivot) or even 1,30(resistence confluence with downtrendline on higher time frames).

musmus 29 Dec.

very good article +1

Very good advises doc. but i still feel the r/r ratio of 1:2 or more and betting 1 or 2% risk per trade is gambling attitude.

EyeOfRA 31 Dec.

Good article +1

Drackyboy 31 Dec.

un vot pentru ajutor acuma cand conteaza +1

36/100
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doctortyby 23 Dec.

FRIDAY UPDATE - USD/JPY: If price breaks Daily S1 Level standing at 78,04, could reach 77,918 (Daily S2), or even weekly Pivot Main Line(77,85). Upside resistence 78,12 (Weekly R1 and Daily Pivot Confluence), and further 78,24 (Daily R1). Happy Holidays everyone and Happy Trading

doctortyby 23 Dec.

FRIDAY UPDATE - USD/CHF: Is accumulating strenght trending inside a congestion area. A break under daily S1 (0,93) or upside 0,9386 (Weekly Pivot) would signal higher amplitude moves. Neutral Right now on this pair.Happy Holidays everyone and Happy Trading

doctortyby 23 Dec.

FRIDAY UPDATE - USD/CAD: this pair had the highest amplitude price action yesterday (about 70 pips). Price is trending in a downtrend on 1H chart with the first support at Daily S1 (1,0182), next 1,015 (daily s2 confluence with uptrendline on higher time frames). If price will break that trendline, look for signals for a higher amplitude bearish move. Upside we have an important Resistence area between 1,0225 and 1,0238 (Monthly Pivot Main Line and weekly S1). Happy trading and Happy Holidays

musmus 29 Dec.

nice article.congratulation

Drackyboy 31 Dec.

frumos articol+1