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Рост цент на нефть и прочие топливно-энергетические ресурсы оказывает непосредственное влияние на экономику. Цены на нефть изменяют модель поведения предприятий в производственном секторе. При сильном росте цен на топливо и энергоресурсы предприятия пытаются максимально снизить их использование, что в конечном итоге ведет к снижению объема производства.
Стоимость энергоресурсов закладывается в себестоимость продукции и если уровень себестоимости в общем объеме выручки увеличивается, то снижается уровень рентабельности, а значит и эффективность деятельность организации.

Чтобы улучшить свое положение предприятия прибегают:

- к увеличению цен на продукцию (что не выгодно, т.к. падает конкурентоспособность);
- к снижению предложения труда (в масштабах страны - это рост безработицы);
- к экономии по заработной плате;
- к уменьшению выпуска продукции.
Но основное направление осуществляется в снижении затрат на производство продукции. Потребитель также как и производитель с ростом цен на топливо старается максимально снизить потребление, это особенно касается бензина, что в конечном счете ведет к снижению спроса.
Источник: Bureau of Labor Statistics.
На рисунке 1 показано, что в среднем…
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AAAnya avatar
AAAnya 19 July

nice artcile!

DimaBLR avatar
DimaBLR 25 July


daniellabas avatar

Хорошая работа

Sasha_spicy avatar

Well written!

bogos avatar
bogos 3 Aug.


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Dear fellow traders and community members:
We are reaching the end of the year! That’s good news. It means that we’re still trading and that we’ve managed to survive this challenging year, with lots of volatility.
This article is a year in review with one chart and one quote featuring the main financial/economic event per month.
Starting from…
  • Event: Falling oil prices
  • Chart_BRENT.CMD_USD_4_Hours_snapshot
  • Quote by OPEC January 2016 Oil Market Report [1]

Persistent oversupply coupled with increasing signs of a slowing pace of growth in the Chinese economy exerted pressure on the oil market.

  • Event: Equities’ volatility
  • Chart_USA500.IDX_USD_4_Hours_snapshot
  • Quote by Schwab Center for Financial Research, Feb 11 2016 [2]

Investors should review their portfolios to make sure they still reflect their target asset allocations and goals. They should also resist the urge to buy and sell based solely on recent market movements, as it could hobble their performance over time.

  • Event: A bouncing Yen
  • Chart_USD_JPY_4_Hours_snapshot
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al_dcdemo avatar

Very well done!

black_box_xx avatar

good job!

Mariia avatar
Mariia 10 Jan.

interesting. i like it

Elani avatar
Elani 20 Jan.

very good review!

LILYY avatar
LILYY 22 Jan.

отлично все написано! молодец!

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The fall in the price of oil has been a major talking point over the past eighteen months. With oil at the centre of global economy, a continued fall in the price of oil may have detrimental effects on oil producers, whilst the economies of heavy oil consumers may receive a much needed boost.
This article looks at the outlook for Brent crude in 2016, with particular focus to the fundamentals that are likely to drive the pricing of oil.

The Oil Price

In June 2014 the price peaked at 115.68, and has been plunging ever since. Fig 1 shows the price of crude oil, over the past five years.
Fig 1: Weekly chart of Brent crude
With nothing seeming to put an end to the decline in the oil prices, the beginning of 2016 posed new challenges to the price of oil which saw the price plunge to new lows in the 30s. The major question that most people are asking is how low can the price of oil go?

Cost of production

The starting point in the analysis is answering the question, “How much does it cost to produce a single barrel of oil?” Fig 2 below shows the median estimates for the all-in production cost (this includes the cost of discovery, extract…
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Annuuta avatar
Annuuta 26 Jan.


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SalviLeana 26 Jan.


SolomiaM avatar
SolomiaM 27 Jan.

it's realy interisting)

isbar avatar
isbar 29 Jan.

very interesting

mutsi avatar
mutsi 11 Mar.

Good job!

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The price of oil has been under pressure since mid 2014. The risks on the price remain to the downside with no end in sight to the current turmoil. Chart 1 below shows daily chart of Brent Crude in USD in the Period November 2014 to October 2015.
Chart 1: Daily chart of Brent Crude
As is evident in the Chart 1, the price of oil has taken a battering over the past months. From a high of USD115 per barrel in June 2014, the price of oil had fallen USD86 by the 1st of November 2014 and has since fallen to USD 49.4 on the 30th of October 2014. The article,The Oil Story has an in-dept look at the fundamentals behind the fall in the oil prices.
The fall in the oil prices has had a negative impact on growth, inflation and inflation expectations across the globe. This article looks at some of the most traded currencies that have come out worse due the falling oil prices.

1. The Russian Ruble (RUB)

  • The economy
The Russian economy relies heavily on energy revenues to drive growth. The country has an abundance of natural resources, including oil, natural gas and precious metals, which make up a major share of Russia's exports. As of 2012 the oil-and-gas sector accounted …
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anna_n avatar
anna_n 18 Nov.

so good!

williamb avatar
williamb 20 Nov.

very interesting article

laxmi avatar
laxmi 24 Nov.

great job

foreignexchange avatar

great article
do you study also  the gas ?

llolor avatar
llolor 27 Nov.

foreignexchange  I haven't looked at gas mainly because i cannot trade it at the moment. However it is an interesting prospect and i will begin to analyse it too.

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