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AUD/USD Forecast and Effects of Dollar Fluctuations

bhavinvanza Posted 20 June in #AUD #Trade #Audusd #Australian Dollar #Audusd Short #Forecas #Dollar Fluctuations

18/26

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AUD/USD Forecast and Effects of Dollar Fluctuations
AUD/USD Forecast: May 2018
Tuesday, 1 May 2018 6:08
The Australian dollar has broken down during the last couple of weeks of April, slicing through major uptrend line that goes back to late 2015. This is a very negative sign, and even though we did bounce a bit towards the end of the month, I think we will probably see resistance near the uptrend line once we approach it again. If we stay below the uptrend line, I suspect that we will then eventually go to the 0.75 handle, and then break down below there to go to the 0.7250 level. Pay attention to the yields in the United States, because if they do rise that will send this market much lower. There is a lot of noise just below though, so I think that even if we break down it will probably be more of a grind than anything else.The alternate scenario of course is that we break above the 0.77 handle, and that should send this market much higher, perhaps towards the 0.80 level. That would also prove the market breaking through the uptrend line as a “false breakdown”, which of course is something that shows just how bullish the market is. Currently, I think that we have a lot of volati…

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торговые идеи 24.07-28.07

Lowech Posted 22 July in #Eurusd #Audusd #EUR/AUD #Brent #Технический Анализ #Торговля #Фундаментальный Анализ

24/44

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Доброго времени суток друзья. Сегодняшняя статья будет описывать торговые идеи о трех валютных парах и сырьевом активе Brend. На этой недели выйдет блок информационной статистики которая окажет влияние на валютные пары представленные ниже.
Фундаментальный Анализ
EUR
Индекс делового оптимизма в промышленности (июл)
Индикатор делового климата (июл)
Индекс настроений в экономике (июл)
JPY
Индекс совпадающих индикаторов (июн)
Индекс опережающих индикаторов (июн)
Заседание комитета по кредитно-денежной политике Банка Японии
Иностранные инвестиции в японские акции (июл 17)
Инвестиции в иностранные облигации (июл 17)
AUD
Индекс потребительских цен (кв/кв) (Q2)
Индекс базовой инфляции РБА методом усечённого среднего (г/г) (Q2)
Индекс потребительских цен (г/г) (Q2)
Индекс базовой инфляции РБА методом усечённого среднего (кв/кв) (Q2)
USD
Индекс PMI Markit в производственном секторe (июл)
Cоставной индекс деловой активности Markit (июл)
Индекс деловой активности в секторе услуг Markit (июл)
Продажи новых домов (м/м) (июн)
Продажи новых домов (м/м) (июн)
Комментарий ФРС по кредитно-денежной политике
Решение ФРС США по процентной ставке
Годовые данные по ВВП (Q2)Предварительный
Евро по прежнему…

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торговые идеи на 05-09.06.2017

Lowech Posted 3 June in #Audusd #USD/CAD #USD/RUB #CAD/JPY #Технический Анализ #Торговля #Фундаментальный Анализ #Графики

23/44

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Доброго времени суток друзья. Статья будет описывать торговые идеи о четырех валютных парах.
На этой недели выйдет блок информационной статистики которая окажет влияние на валютные пары представленные ниже.
Фундаментальный Анализ
JPY
Изменение уровня заработной платы (г/г) (апр) пред. -0,4%
Инвестиции в иностранные облигации (июн 2)
Иностранные инвестиции в японские акции (июн 2)
Прогноз развития событий от Eco Watchers (май) пред. 48,8
Индекс текущей ситуации от Eco Watchers (май) пред. 48,1
Индекс активности в сфере услуг (м/м) (апр) пред. -0,2%
AUD
Индекс товарных цен от ANZ (май) пред. -0,2%
Сальдо счета платежного баланса (Q1) пред. -3,9B
Решение Резервного Банка Австралии по процентной ставке пред. 1,5%
Сопроводительное заявление Резервного Банка Австралии
Индекс активности в строительном секторе от AiG (май) пред. 51,9
Валовой внутренний продукт (г/г) (Q1) пред. 2,4%
Валовой внутренний продукт (кв/кв) (Q1) пред. 1,1%
Экспорт (апр) пред. 2%
Импорт (апр) пред. 5%
Торговый баланс (апр) пред. 3 107M
Ипотечные кредиты (апр) пред. -0,5%
Инвестиционные заимствования для строительства домов (апр) пред. 0,8%
CAD
Индекс деловой активности Ivey (май) пред. 58,5
Индекс деловой активност…

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Analyse Technique De Quelques Paires De Devises

k_morocco Posted 24 Oct. in #Eurusd #Support #Audusd #Reversal #Usdmxn #Gbpjpy #Analyse Technique

23/56

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Dans cet article je vais analyser quelques paires de devises sur le weekly et le daily time frame en vue de d'avoir une vision globale des mouvements qui peuvent se dessiner les jours prochains.

EURUSD: un trend baissier qui s'approche d'une zone de support.

Sur le weekly la paire évolue toujours dans un trading range qui a débuter Mars 2015, la récente baisse de la paire l'a amener tout près de la de support à 1.07, qui représente la borne basse du trading range.
Sur le daily nous constatons un très fort momentum, mais comme sur le weekly se mouvement est déjà arrivé à une zone de support.
L'achat de l'EURUSD quand il montrera un comportement bullish est très justifié. Sur le daily il suffira de quelque chandelier de reversement, sur les lower time frame il faudra attendre les premiers higher low.

AUDUSD: Zone d'incertitude

Sur le weekly la paire est dans un trend baissier très soutenu qui l'a conduit au alentours d'une zone de support de 0.68.
Le trend baissier risque de se convertir en trading range puisque la paire a construit son premier higher low et a casser le lower high à 0.7380.
En ce moment la paire est tout prés du 0.7830.
Sur le Daily la paire s'inscrit dans u…

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8月9日趋势分析audusd澳元美元（august 9th Trend Analysis Audusd Australian Dollars)

HOME Posted 9 Aug. in #Audusd #Trend Analysis #澳元 #澳元美元

23/57

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English text

K-line daily candle chart
Trend Analysis AUDUSD AUDUSD daily, the pressure level is 0.7670 straddle the dividing line, such as a breakthrough, the bullish 0.78. Since the Reserve Bank of Australia cut interest rates, the Australian dollar has been in a post-up instead of defensive, unable to break the short-term pressure, it is possible to fall into decline.
The first support position: 0.7550
The second support position: 0.7450
If not effectively support, then fell into a pressure position

1 hour K line candles

AUDUSD AUDUSD, 1 Xiaoshi candle chart analysis of trends in the upward trajectory
SELL①: at 12:00 on August 5, touch on the track, provides a good short-selling positions, operational risk with stop-loss is minimal sharp decline in touch 0.7590 to obtain support under the rail
SELL②: August 9 02 points, touching the lower rail, and below the support trend was confirmed SELL①
How to successfully find SELL① time and price position within time? See below:

10 minutes K-line diagram candle

10 minutes K Line candles: at 12:00 on August 5th, the Australian dollar fell, and below the rising trend line, MACD is also in departure from breaking under the 0 axis, the succ…

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How the Seasonality Help us

TRAD3R Posted 14 June in #Forex #Article Contest #Audusd #Seasonality

22/52

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Who from all of us at least once tried to prevent the market trend?
And I am not talking about target INTRADAY or of some BROKERS spot , I'm talking about speculating the market trend of the following weeks or even months!
In the last weeks I have done different season testing on many cross with stops until 20 years, though some are less evident than others, all the cross have shown repetitive behaviors!
Important times in the same period of the year, for years! Who has read my previous article on CAD, (you can find it HERE) knows what im talking about.
Actually this feature we know it already and is not a new, in fact as we know
the economic phases of the nations repeats and the coin represents an economic expression of that nation.

But how can we use this feature in FOREX?
Easy, the more a cross behavior happens in time, the more is the chance it will happen again!
With the accurate observations and technical analysis we can speculate the trend of a cross with accuracy and then position our self accordingly! Before the movement starts!
As you can guess the potential of this kind of analysis are evident, the chances of earning are incredible!
In the meanwhile express your opini…

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Forex Weekly Outlook - Audusd after Rba and before Fed

amerfx86 Posted 12 June in #Technical analysis #Audusd #Rba #Fed #Fundamental Analysis #Forex Weekly Outlook

17/52

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Review of the last week
Beginning last week marked the continuation of pressure on the dollar for the last nfp who was disappointed and I went out to the data of only 38k in relation to the expected 165k. But as Sunday progressed dollar is coming back all the losses and the finals Sunday press the advantage in relation to other currencies.
Although the euro was one of the currencies that have strengthened the most against the dollar in the nfp despite good data that marked last week and especially more than expected gdp in the EU, euro is start to loosing momentum on the end of the week. Reason for that we can find in brexit polls where Britons will decide to stay in EU or not. Last polls shows that ,,leave” have some advantage and that bring risk for both UK and EU. Because of that euro and pound was on the big pressure on the two last days of the week.
Usdcad was very choopy last week and the main reason for that is that oil was on the crucial resistance and some false breakout and bouncing from resistance level of 51.6$ lead huge volatility on usdcad. This pair fall around 150 pips last week but that can be worst for usd because in the last two days usd recover on almost all …

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Forex Weekly Outlook - Rba Effects of Cutting Rates

amerfx86 Posted 15 May in #Audusd #Rba #Fundamental Analysis #Forex Weekly Outlook #My View #Technical Analisis #Rba Meeting

23/59

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Review of last week
Last week began with the BOJ meeting minutes which was not volatile for the yen pairs and we got the conclusion that the economy of Japan improving gradualy, however it did not help the yen to be held in relation to other currencies and was the weakest currency in the last week among the majors. In the EU we had weak data particularly in the industrial production and GDP of EU, which was below expectations, while perhaps the only positive point was that Germany had somewhat better than expected inflation and trade balance that far exceeded expectations. Also, the euro was one of the weakest currencies and compared to usd fell and broke through some key supports.
On Thursday we had the BoE, pound was very choppy but after expectations of lower inflation and moderate dovish stance of Carney continued to decline. Rise of oil prices in the last week did not help commodity currencies and they were all in the red compared to usd. Based on the above, we conclude that the US dollar was the strongest currency in the last week after a week of declined from the low this year.
This week we will analyze one of the commodity currency compared to usd which is now in a very st…

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AUDusd Scenarios in the Midterm View

khalidamassi Posted 20 Mar. in #Technical analysis #Forex #Audusd #Gold #Fed #Fundamental Analysis #Interest Rate #Pair Review #Expected Scenario

37/66

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Introduction
In this article AUDUSD will be analyzed both fundamentally and technically and as known nothing is impossible in Forex so different scenarios will be drawn to express about the most probable scenarios with the AUDUSD.
What is affected the move of AUDUSD nowadays:
Fundamental analysis:
AUDUSD is affected now by two different policies by both Reserve bank of Australia (RBA) and United States Federal Reserve (FED) and also affected strongly by commodity prices which strongly hit Aussie in the last year, finally Aussie and other currencies is affected due to strong growth in US in the last months which make US$ to be favored.
[list][/list]…

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Always Sell on Rally

bdfx Posted 17 Feb. in #Usdrub #Audusd #Euraud #Gbpaud #Nzdusd #Eurnzd #Usdtry #Usdzar #Eurtry #Gbptry

48/76

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Introduction:First To All , Here My Article about Cross Currency Related ,so You can Lose all Your Money If You Not Follow Proper Money Management and Trading Rules.We Know Forex Trading is Very Risky Online Earning Method ,so we must be First Learn it and Try To For Earn.
Sell Strategy For High Rate Currency:Emotion Has no Value During Forex trading ,Here You Invest Your valuable money for Earning ,Today Here I Described about High Rate Currency or Cross Currency Trading Technique.Many Trader Open Position Before Market Rollover time For Hunting Swap By High Rate Currency Pair ,But I think It is Very bad Practice ,Your Daily Target 10$ or More But Your risk More than 300$ .If You Open Sell Position For hunting swap by USDZAR ,USDTRY,USDRUB ,All of Position will Be open With Big spread ,and if market movement against Your Position ,what will be result?You can expect 90% Market will be opposite of Your Position !Why?Why?Why?
Most Of The Bank Sell High Rate Currency or Cross Currency ,So We Can See High Rate Currency or Cross Currency Always sell Rally Mode and Your Lose will be 10 Time Bigger of Your swap ,so It is Not Better always sell High Rate Currency or Cross Currency ?
Buy…

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Over Trading and Money Management Vs Trading Success

bdfx Posted 1 Jan. in #Usdjpy #Eurusd #Audusd

48/70

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Introduction
Now Forex Trading Not Only Popular But also Very attractive Online Based Earning Method From Home.Any People Can Start Forex Trading From Home If He/She Has Minimum English Skill and Computer or Smart Phone Operating Knowledge,But It is Very Easy to Start But Very Hard For Earning.
Over Trading
Over Trading is Big Problem For All Trader ,Most Of The Time we Influence By Over Trading and End Of The Day We Lose Our Profit and Part Of Our Own Capital.But It is Big Question Why Forex Trader Like Over Trading?
Firstly Control Your Emotion During Forex Trading ,we know Human emotion is The Big Reason For Over Trading.Forex market is the Biggest Market in the World ,Here we need Invest Our Own Money and use Our Own Talent For Earning ,so Forex Trader Need satisfy-cation Of Daily Profit and Use Follow Trading Rules Properly
Money Management
Forex market Is Big Single Market,So Every Forex Trader Need Follow Money management Rules.But It is True many Forex Trader Has No Enough Idea or Knowledge about Money Management But We know Money Management is Main Key Of Trading Success .Without Money management Forex trader lose all capital Within Few day . I think Money Management is th…

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Long Term Investment Tip

Lincoln Posted 9 Oct. in #Audusd #Carry Trade #Gold #Leverage #Euraud #Ma

18/38

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Introduction of this mannerThere are millions of traders who want to reach a profit on their investments, but since it is a zero sum game, and there are a lot of big banks, and so on, you must do everything you can not to be on the loss side of the market movements.The more the knowledge is the more the profit? No, there is no sure money in these circumstances. If it was, someone would use a big fund with a vast leverage and would get all the money of the investors.. But it is impossible, and it shows the impossibility of sure trade, too.What about the basis?Today, I am going to share a useful manner of trading the forex market.The principles what I used as base to this manner:If a monkey opens positions in the market, with 10 pips profit and 10 pips loss, it will be probably a successful trader, for a time, and some time later makes a loss and again profit, it will go around the base capital, and proceed nowhere. Sometime show +-10-20% profit/loss, but then turn back.If you do the same with a strategy, tied to some MA, or pivot points, it will be not the same. What will happen? Theorically, you will not have larger chance to be successful. If you had, it would be the same what I h…

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Weekly Analysis for 5 Major Pairs and Trends' Market Conditions

doctortyby Posted 15 May in #Technical analysis #Usdjpy #Eurusd #Audusd #Gbpusd #Major Pairs #Usdchf #Key Levels #Weekly Analysis #Supports And Resistences

7/67

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"When market conditions change, I change my mind" (J. M. Keynes) Greetings dear traders. Today we are going to make our usual analysis for 5 of the major pairs: Eur/Usd (Fiber), Gbp/Usd (Cable/Pound), Usd/Chf (Swiss Franc), Usd/Jpy (Jap. Yen) and Aud/Usd (Aussie). We will also try to cover some of the commonly market conditions for a trend. To better understand a trend we have to start from the definition: The general direction of the market price for a certain trading instrument (currency pair, commodity, bond, stock). If we want to identify a trend we have to look at the charts and see if we can find some simple signs:Higher Swing Lows and Higher Swing Highs for an Uptrend,Lower Swing Lows and Lower Swing Highs for a Downtrend. Trends Classification:Major Trends (Primary Trends) - are ascending or descending trends, interrupted by corrections (Sell-offs in Uptrends and Rallies in Downtrends), last from several months to several years. Intermediate Trends - can develop in the direction of the Major Trend or in the opposite direction (in this case it is considered a correction), last from several weeks to several months.Minor Trends (Sell-Off or Rallies) …

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Today & Week Ahead

MATTACORE Posted 16 Apr. in #Audusd #Dax #Dow News

44/68

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Quiet start on Sunday - In turn will wait for London to Break momentum and when the DAX breaks through its prior high or low of Friday i would jump for 40pips 1:1trading ratio.Trade on the enevelope bands 0f 60 : 0.1 when there is a break out above the DAX look to the AUDUSD. At the moment aussie follows the stock very well on correlation.DOW & DAX are in a correction and will continue its rally in the Bullish Trend.US retail will fuel things up - if we get 1.1 or more 0.1 or lessactual number trade the USDJPY pair using the limit order system or then the 1min60sma should then be considered when the limit order value has been breached.UK CPI has not surprised in
a while. The track record is border line for the limit order system. The 1
minute 60sma is the best bet. Best trade the GBPUSDUnemployment Claimshave not surprised in a very long time but would
be a great limit order candidate in the event there is a trade signal. One
caveat is the UK MPC minutes (specifically the QE vote count) are released
simultaneously and they could throw a monkey wrench into the price action.
Consider the limit order system in light of the minutes’ headlines
(specifically the QE vote count), in the …

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EURusd - Audusd - Usdcad - Technical Analysis

FX_Swingtrader Posted 21 Jan. in #Eurusd #Audusd #Usdcad #Risk #Reward

45/65

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EURUSD - EURUSD roes sharply this week from 1.2640 to 1.2930 a substantial rise.Most believed to be on the back of short covering but the recent COT report suggests otherwise as it hit Record Shorts of -160K from -155K Net Short contracts.Fundamentals - Greece, Italy and Germany are running the markets recently andfor the foreseeable future, with Europes debt crisis being far more important than any US news. Greece is dangerously close to the edge with its next major debt repayment date being March 20th. If Greece doesn't pay it could trigger a credit event meaning CDS's have to be paid and this could lead to greater problems than 2008 and lehman brother.You just have to look at Greek 1 yrs ( http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=GGGB1YR:IND) yielding 390% and 10yrs (http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=GGGB10YR:IND) at 34%Those figures are entirly unsustainable and greece will most likely Default.Technicals - We saw EURUSD brake up above a desecding trendline and rise to just short of 1.300 - a major pyschological level - which if broken will lead to massive short covering which could potentially push up 200+ pips.we appered to have bottomed at just above 1.26 with a fa…

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