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9/56
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At a time when the world is facing a major financial disruption investors look for a safe haven for their money, and despite the economic backdrop the yen is seen as one of the safe havens, a place with little risk.
Paradoxically, the world's largest debtor nation, with negative interest rates and an ageing citizenry don't seem to gather the regular conditions for the country’s currency to spike, but that’s exactly what has been happening to the yen during this year.
Polls over the past year have shown that more than three quarters of the Japanese population have not benefited from Abenomics.
The economy is at a standstill, wages and household income are stagnant and deflationary pressures remains strong.
When it was first advertised, Abenomics filled the Japanese stakeholders with encouraging expectations over an economic rebound.
With too little changes in the economic situation, the current policy is gathering the acronym of the “welfare for the wealthy” - it only boosts Nikkei and Topix.
William Pesek [1] author of Japanization: What the World Can Learn from Japan’s Lost Decades (2015) stated by Jeff Kingston:
Abe’s catchy marketing campaign wowed a media establishment accustom
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Tasha_Mk avatar
Tasha_Mk 26 Oct.

great

k_morocco avatar
k_morocco 26 Oct.

very intersting

Boznow avatar
Boznow 29 Oct.

Bardzo interesujące

Alexander22 avatar

good job

Mani avatar
Mani 17 Nov.

good job

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3/66
Ranking

The yen is being traded with an unfavourable volatility. This is due to the negativity of the interest rate. Nikkei 225 index has fallen from 19,033 points at the beginning of the year till 15,960 points at the end of February. The recent sell off in equities is lightening that recent BOJ measures are short-lived, pointing out into further intervention.
Japan’s economy shrank 0.4% quarter on quarter in the last three months of 2015, dragged down by a fall in consumers spending and housing investment, failing 0.3% GDP (QoQ) shrinkage forecasted by analysts.
Reporting Mario Blascak and Matus Mader [1],
With the Japanese yen breaking to multi-year highs, the likelihood of further monetary stimulus from the Bank of
Japan (BoJ) rises.

Kuroda’s efforts enhanced in 2013 with a massive Q.Q.E. program to combat the 15-year long era of deflation are not providing the results yet predicted.
The recent downtrend in yen vs other major currencies is unwelcome, as it tightens the competiveness of Japan’s exports. It also pressures the unwanted Japanese imports purchase power, which unweighs in BOJ’s 2% targeted inflation.
Markets are questioning the effectiveness of negative interest rates to lift [/1]…
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Sveetlana avatar
Sveetlana 19 Mar.

Very good article. Good luck!

EliasOmar avatar
EliasOmar 22 Mar.

great article .. keep going

angelina_may avatar

i like it)

rajib217 avatar
rajib217 25 Mar.

Nice Article

Olkiss70 avatar
Olkiss70 31 Mar.

excellent article!

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11/29
Ranking

This article is a continuation and a reproduce of my recent blog post series were I was trying to give my own view on the major currency pairs for this year but I never got the change to finish it, so I though it may be a good idea to write an article were to cover this subject. Keep in mind this is just my personal opinion and my own plan for this year, it may or may not work out, flexibility is key, because things can change very fist in today's market.
  • USD/JPY Outlook
I'm going to give out my Fx Market Outlook for this year and I'm going to start with my favorite currency pair: Japanese Yen. I want to take the time to go through all the major currency pairs and give my personal outlook for 2014.
We know that currently the YEN pairs is all about Abenomics market policies. The "Abenomics effect" have had a huge impact to revive Japan's economy, strengthening consumer consumer spending. Although many have doubted the market policies of Japan's new Prime Minister Shinzo Abe are working very well: stock market is booming, real estate prices are rising, and retail sales are also rising. So far "Abenomics" has been a huge success, and this is very supportive for the current USD/JPY
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Schaolin avatar
Schaolin 22 Jan.

good job and good luck

Daytrader21 avatar

@Metal Mind thanks buddy I hope everything is good on your side.

Daytrader21 avatar

@Decebal & @Schaolin Thanks guys

Jignesh avatar
Jignesh 1 Feb.

Really good article. I love the USD/JPY Fractal. It scares me a bit how I've been looking at the same pairs with almost the exact same analysis! The only difference in my analysis is that I'm looking at the GBP/CAD rather than the GBP/USD. Good Job on the article and best wishes on your trades for 2014

Daytrader21 avatar

@jignesh thanks man, The thing with having a long term view is to be very flexible as this days central banks around the world tend to change and adjust their market policy to the new the economic threats, see for example recent emerging market crisis and how central banks reacted.

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8/29
Ranking

There are many ways to skin a cat and that certainly applies to market analysis methods as well. There are no guarantees when it comes to defining price movements but in my humble opinion the most interesting approach a trader can apply is the philosophy that a market is fractal in nature. Fractals not only that can explain price movement but it can give you a road map, so to speak, for the future price action.
One things that consistently works is where price action repeat itself because of many reasons particularly because nature of events are quite similar and more importantly because participants tends to do the same type of things, they have the same profile in terms of their emotions, aspiration, greed, fear, hope and also that is true even today when algorithms and robots dominate the markets because they are subject to the same type of behavior.
  • What is a Fractal?
Based on Wikipedia definition:"Fractals are typically self-similar patterns, where self-similar means they are "the same from near as from far".Fractals may be exactly the same at every scale, or they may be nearly the same at different scales.The definition of fractal goes beyond self-similarity per se to exclude
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Daytrader21 avatar

@DumbAsArock lol....I have to say that I'mfascinated about fratclas andthe way they can explain market movements. Thanks

WallStreetBlog avatar

Thanks!!!

HOANG_MAI_NHI avatar

very helpful thanks daytrader21

Daytrader21 avatar

@WallStreet @Hoang_Mai_NHI thank you guys

Rnesbitt avatar
Rnesbitt 28 Jan.

Great article. Hope to see more about forex and fractals in the future.

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