Greetings dear friends. I hope that You have managed to read my Monthly View Analysis from Friday, conducted on the Daily Charts for the Major Pairs. My last article could help to see a larger view of the market for March and could also help you to find better entries on the 4 Hours and 1 Hour Trigger Charts.

This Week we will analyse the 4Hours Time frame Chart and the 35 Pips Constant Range Bars Charts for the Major Pairs: Eur/Usd (Fiber), Gbp/Usd (Cable), Aud/Usd (Aussie), Usd/Chf (Swiss Franc), Nzd/Usd (Kiwi), Usd/Cad (Loonie) and Usd/Jpy (Yen).

I use the same instruments for my analysis just like the ones that You can see in my last article, only that I will also post Today the 35 Pips Range Bars Charts from Dukascopy's J-forex Platform.


>> 1) Eur/Usd - Weekly View - 06-09th of March - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart.

 


 


   Bearish Probability - We can clearly see an important Key Area between 1.317-1.320 (Key confluence between 200 SMA, Uptrend Line, and 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Bearish).

   If the price will break and confirm that breakout from that area, we could see a downside move to reach 1.308 (Weekly S1 Pivot), further a retracement back to 1.317, and a bearish continuation to 1.304(Monthly S1 Pivot) and even further to 1.298(Important Key Support level, confluence between Weekly S2 Pivot, Main support, and 261.8% Fibonacci from Pitchfork on the higher time frames).

   Bullish Probability - If the price will find support at 1.317-1.320 area (Key confluence between 200SMA, Uptrend Line and 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement), the Uptrend Could continue further a little more to reach first 1.326 (Key confluence between 100 SMA and the Monthly Main Pivot line) and 1.328(Key confluence between 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement bearish and Weekly Main Pivot).

   This Resistence area is very important for the uptrend continuation futher to reach 1.336-1.338 area (23.6% Fibonacci Retracement and Weekly R1 Pivot). From this Level price could retrace back to 1.326-1.328 area (Weekly Pivot, Monthly Pivot, 38.2% Fibonacci and Uptrend Line Dynamic Support).


>> 2) Usd/Chf - Weekly View - 06-09th of March - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart.

 


  


   Bullish Probability - The Important Key level that holds the Downtrend on the 4hours chart is 0.916(Key confluence between 200 SMA, Downtrend Line and 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement).

   If that level will be broken and confirmed price could move upside to 0.922(Weekly R1 Pivot) and further to 0.925(Monthly R1 Pivot). The next resistence level to watch is 0.929(important resistence and Weekly R2 Pivot).

   Bearish Probability - If the 0.916 Key Level (confluence between 200 SMA, 61.8% fibonacci Retracement and Downtrend Line dynamic Resistence) will hold as resistence, price could turn bearish to reach first 0.909(Monthly Main Pivot , confluence with 100 SMA on the 4hours chart) and then 0.907(Key Level confluence between 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement and Weekly Main Pivot Line).

   The next support level to watch is 0.902(Key confluence between 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and Weekly S1 Pivot). from this support price could retrace back to the 0.907-0.909 Key area.



>> 3) Gbp/Usd - Weekly View - 06-09th of March - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart.

  


 


Bearish Probability - Price is trending between 1.585-1.587 Levels (Key Confluence between Weekly Main Pivot, Monthly Pivot, 50 SMA and 38.2% fibonacci retracement, also confluence wtih the Secondary Uptrend Dynamic Support Line).

If the price will trun back bearish under 1.585 Level (Monthly Pivot) it will move down to 1.578 Level (Key confluence between 200 SMa and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, and the confluence between the Donwtrend Line on higher time frames and Uptrend Line on the 4 Hours Chart). Further support is 1.575(Weekly S1 Pivot).

Bullish Probability - If the 1.587 Level (Key confluence between Weekly Main Pivot, 50 SMA and 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement) will be broken and confirmed, price will continue the uptrend further to reach 1.595(Weekly R1 Pivot) and 1.597(Dynamic resistence from Pitchfork on the Daily Chart).

We could se a bearish retracement from here, back to 1.587(Weekly Pivot, confluence with the Dynamic support from the Uptrend Line).



>> 4) Aud/Usd - Weekly View - 06-09th of March - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart.


 


  


   Bearish Probability - Price has been moving sideways in the last few weeks. Now, price has reached the support of the congestion area around the 1.059-1.062 Area (Key confluence between Weekly S1 Pivot and Monthly S1). Price is trending under the 200 SMA, and the 50 SMA seems to form a future confluence with the 200SMa which signals a Bearish Probability.

   If price breaks 1.059(Monthly S1 Pivot) it could fall further to 1.053(Weekly S2 Pivot) and even reach 1.043-1.042 Area (Key confluence between Monthly S2 Pivot and weekly s3 Pivot).

   Bullish Probability - if the 1.059-1.062(Weekly S1 and Monthly S1 Pivots) Area will hold as support, price could turn back upside to reach the Key area between 1.072-1.074(Monthly Main pivot, confluence with weekly Pivot and 100SMA) above the 200 SMA. We can see a future confluence between 100 and 200SMA level arund 1.072-1.074 Area on the 35 Pips Range Bars charts.


>> 5) Usd/Jpy - Weekly View - 06-09th of March - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 15 Pips Range Bars Chart.




  


   Bearish Probability - If the breakout of the 81.17 Level (Weekly Main Pivot Line,confluence with the Uptrend Line dynamic support and 30 and 50 SMAs) will be confirmed,price could fall further to 80.46(weekly S1 Pivot, confluence with 100SMA), and further to 79.66-79.31 Area (Monthly Main Pivot and Weekly S2 Pivot).

   Bullish Probability - If the price will signal a false breakout of the 81.17 Level (Weekly Main Pivot, confluence with Uptrend Line and 30 and 50SMAs).Price could continue the Uptrend to reach 82.31(Weekly R1 Pivot) and 83.02 (Weekly R2 Pivot).



>> 6) Usd/Cad - Weekly View - 06-09th of March - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart.


 


  


Bearish Probability - if price will find resistence at 1.00 Level (Key Level between Weekly R1 Pivot and Monthly R1, just above the 200 SMA, also confluence with the Downtrend Line dynamic Resistence), then it will continue the downtrend to reach 0.992 (Key Level, confluence between Monthly Main Pivot and Weekly Pivot). further support would be 0.984 (last support) and 0.980(Key confluence between Weekly S1 Pivot and Monthly S1 Pivot).

Bullish Probability - If the price will break and confirm the 1.00 Level (Hystorical level, Key confluence between Weekly R1 and Monthly R1 Pivots, and Downtrend Line resistence), then we have a Downtrend reversal signal, and the price could reach 1.013 (Key confluence between Monthly R2 Pivot and Weekly R2)



>> 7) Nzd/Usd - Weekly View - 06-09th of March - 4 Hours Chart in analogy with the 35 Pips Range Bars Chart.




    


   Bearish Probability - If 0.816 Level (Weekly S2 Pivot) will hold as resistence price will fall further to 0.808 (Monthly S2 Pivot) and even 0.804 (Weekly S3 Pivot). From this level we could see s spike all the Way to 0.821 (Key confluence between Weekly S1 Pivot and Monthly S1 Pivot).

   Bullish Probability - If price will break 0.822 (Key Level confluence between Monthly S1 Pivot and Weekly S1 Pivot), move upside further to 0.83 (200 SMA), and reach finally 0.834 - 0.835 (Key Area, Important confluence between Monthly Pivot, Weekly Pivot and 100 and 50 SMA). From this level we could see a Bearish retracement.


   This is all for Today, my friends. I will try to Update the Analysis on Thursday with the 1 hour charts analysis.

   Thank you for You time and support.

   Disclaimer: Please take responsability for Your own trading decisions.

   To Your success,
   Doctortyby - Tiberiu
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