USD/JPY breaks large scale pattern

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA

On Monday, the USD/JPY recovery reached above the 110.00 mark. However, the rate encountered resistance at 110.29 where the weekly simple pivot point and the 100-hour simple moving average were located at.

Economic Calendar



On Tuesday, the US Consumer Price Index at 12:30 GMT is expected to impact all USD traded assets and currency pairs.

On Wednesday, the US Producers Price Index at 12:30 GMT will impact the USD.

On Thursday, the weekly US Unemployment Claims could cause minor USD moves.

The week will end with the US Retail Sales data at 12:30 GMT.

In addition, note that the Bank of Japan is set to make a Policy Statement on Friday. However, the bank does not set a time for the event.

Click on the link below to find out more about the data releases of this and other currency exchange rates.

USD/JPY short-term review

In the case that the rate surges above the technical resistance levels near 110.30, the pair could reach for the 200-hour simple moving average and the July 7 high level.

On the other hand, a potential decline would look for support in the 110.00 level and the 55-hour simple moving average. In the case that the rate passes below the 110.00 mark, it could reach for the 109.55 level.

Hourly Chart

USD/JPY daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the rate has broken the channel up pattern, which guided it since April. Moreover, the pair passed the support of a 61.80% Fibonacci retracement level at 110.05.

In the meantime, note that the 55 and 100-day simple moving averages could provide the rate with support at 109.73 and 109.23.

Daily chart




Traders are short

On Monday, traders on the Swiss Foreign Exchange were 70% short on the USD/JPY currency pair.

On Friday, the open position volume was 69% short.

On Monday, SWFX traders set up pending orders in the 100-pip range around the rate were 61% to buy.

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