GBP/USD prior support turns into resistance

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
During the high volatility caused by Jerome Powell, the GBP/USD fluctuated between 1.2650 and 1.2550. During the event it was shown that the 50-hour simple moving average can act as resistance and the 1.2550 mark acts as support. On Monday, the moving average was keeping the rate down.

Economic Calendar



This week, on Tuesday the CB Consumer Confidence and JOLTS Job Opening data sets could impact the markets via the US Dollar at 14:00 GMT.

On Wednesday, the US ADP Non-farm Employment Change number could impact the US Dollar's value at 12:15 GMT. However, more impact might be caused by the US Preliminary GDP publication at 12:30 GMT.

On Thursday, the US Core PCE Price Index should cause a USD move. Although, the head of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell has already commented on the data during the Jackson Hole symposium. Due to this reason there might be no currency adjustment.

On Friday, the US monthly employment data will be released at 12:30 GMT. The release will consist of the Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change and the Unemployment Rate.

In addition, also on Friday, note the US Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index release at 14:00 GMT.

GBP/USD short-term view

A resumption of the broader Pound's decline against the US Dollar would have to pass the 1.2550 mark, before approaching the 1.2500 level and the weekly S1 simple pivot point at 1.2480.

On the other hand, a recovery of the currency pair would have to break the combination of the 50-hour simple moving average and the 1.2600 mark. Higher above, note the 1.2615/1.2620 range, the weekly simple pivot point at 1.2640 and the 100-hour simple moving average near 1.2650.

Hourly Chart

GBP/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the GBP/USD pair is confirming the 1.2610/1.2670 range as resistance. The range acted as support throughout the first half of August.

A continuation of the broader decline could result in the rate looking for support in the 1.2300/1.2450 range and the 200-day simple moving average.

Daily chart


Traders are bullish on GBP


On Monday, open GBP/USD positions by Swiss Foreign Exchange traders were 55% long.

Meanwhile, trader pending orders in the 100 pip range around the rate were 59% to sell.

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