GBP/USD decline aims at 1.2300

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The GBP/USD ended the waiting near 1.2400 mark and declined below 1.2350 on Tuesday morning. By the middle of the day, it appeared that the pair could reach the 1.2300 level.

Economic Calendar



This week, various events will impact the markets. In general, fundamentals are set to impact the currencies.

On Tuesday, at 15:00 GMT, the Consumer Board Consumer Confidence index is set to reveal how the consumers are looking into the future.

On Wednesday, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, JOLTS Job Openings and ISM Manufacturing PMIs might cause moves in the USD. The releases will occur at 13:15 GMT and 15:00 GMT.

Afterwards, at 19:00 GMT, the US Federal Reserve is set to hike its Federal Funds Rate. The central bank is expected by the markets to increase its interest rate from 4.50% up to 4.75%. The announcement will be followed by a press conference of the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell at 19:30 GMT.

On Thursday, the Bank of England is expected to hike its interest rate from 3.50% up to 4.00% at 12:00 GMT.

On Friday, the US monthly employment data will be published at 13:30 GMT. The release will consist of Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change and the Unemployment Rate.

GBP/USD short-term view

A move below the 1.2300 level might result in the rate looking for support in the weekly S1 simple pivot point at 1.2290. Further below, take into account the two support and resistance zones, which are close by one to another. 1.2253/1.2263 and 1.2241/1.2246 are expected to act as support.

Meanwhile, a recovery of the Pound against the US Dollar could encounter resistance in the combination of the 50, 100 and 200-hour simple moving average and the weekly simple pivot point at 1.2370. Higher above note the 1.2400 mark.

Hourly Chart

GBP/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the pair trades between a resistance zone at 1.2305/1.2455 and support zone at 1.1740/1.1840. The pair has been located in the resistance zone since January 17.

Meanwhile, the 50-day simple moving average is catching up with the pair.
Daily chart


Traders close short positions


On Monday, traders were 61% bearish, as 61% of trader open position volume on the Swiss Foreign Exchange was in short positions.

In the meantime, pending orders in a 100-base point range around the pair were 58% to buy the GBP/USD.

On Tuesday, the sentiment was 57% short and pending orders were 52% to buy.

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