- SWFX market sentiment is 74% bearish
- 57% of pending orders in 100-pip range are to SELL the Euro
- 72% of total pending commands are to sell the Euro (-1%)
- Upcoming events: US Advance GDP q/q, US Core Durable Goods Orders m/m, US Advance GDP Price Index q/q, US Durable Goods Orders m/m, WEF Annual Meetings
The Euro growth was muted against the Greenback on the ECB interest rate decision announcement. Though, the European single currency managed to reach the peak after the Bank's President Mario Draghi stated that economic figures indicate solid and broad expansion with inflation likely to increase in the mid-term. The European Central Bank opted to keep the key interest rates at the same level with the quantitative easing programme remaining at €30B per month until September 2018, in line with market expectations.
From the US side, as the country's President Donald Trump announced that he wanted stronger US Dollar, contracting the Treasury Secretary comments, EUR/USD fell back below the 1.2400 a few hours later.
Focus on US GDP
The main focus in this session is put on the US who is to release four sets of noteworthy data at 1330GMT, namely, the Advance GDP for Q4 2017, the Advance GDP Price Index and the (Core) Durable Goods Orders for December.
EUR/USD regains some losses after Trump's comments
Even though the losses of EUR/USD were limited solely to 11 pips on Thursday, the pair made two massive leaps throughout the day.During the first one, the Euro started to appreciate during the ECB Press Conference when the lack of comments by Draghi about the strong currency was interpreted as a buying signal. Meanwhile, the rate edged in the opposite direction in the wake of Trump's comment about Greenback's upside potential in the future.
The pair has managed to appreciate in the Asian session; however, it should not exceed the 1.25 mark. Given that the US is to release two sets of important fundamentals in this session, these releases are likely to guide the rate's subsequent direction. In case of strong bearish sentiment, the downside potential should be halted at the 200-hour located near 1.2250.
Hourly Chart
EUR/USD continues to climb higher on Friday. The pair managed to surpass the monthly R3 and remained near the weekly R3 during the morning. The following week might mark a minor correction southwards towards the 1.2250 area.
Daily Chart
Market sentiment is strongly bearish
The bearish market sentiment has remained at the same level today with 74% short positions.
In the meantime, the outlook for the two currencies against the rest of the traded financial instruments is the following: the Euro is 73% bearish and the US Dollar is 65% bullish.
OANDA traders remain bearish, as 63% of open positions are short (unchanged from Thursday). Saxo Bank clients are likewise bearish on the pair with 59% short positions (-1%).
Spreads (avg, pip) / Trading volume / Volatility