EUR/USD waits for US traders

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
Due to the US holidays the markets are closed in the United States, which has reduced volatility. In general, it has resulted in the EUR/USD remaining near the 1.0900 mark.

Economic Calendar Analysis



Next week, the EUR/USD could react to the publication of the German and Spanish Consumer Price Indices on Wednesday morning.

On Wednesday, at 13:30 GMT, the US Preliminary quarterly GDP is expected to impact the financial markets through the value of the US Dollar.

On Thursday, the publication of the US Core PCE Price Index at 13:30 GMT is most likely going to cause a USD move, as the US monetary policymakers watch this indicator.

EUR/USD hourly chart analysis

A resumption of the previous decline would have to pass below the 50-hour SMA and the 1.0900 mark. Further below, the rate could look for support in the 200-hour simple moving average near 1.0860 and the 1.0850 mark, before the rate reaches the weekly simple pivot point at 1.0831 and the 1.0825/1.0830 range.

On the other hand, the pair has to pass the 100-hour SMA near 1.0920, prior to a recovery to the 1.0950/1.0965 range. Higher above, take into account the combination of the 1.1000 mark and the weekly R1 simple pivot point.

Hourly Chart

EUR/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the rate has passed above the 200-day simple moving average near 1.0830 and confirmed the SMA as support. Next target for a broader surge could be the 1.1100 mark and the 1.1250 level that have acted as resistance during summer.
Daily chart




Traders are still shorting

On Wednesday, the Swiss Foreign Exchange traders were 64% in short positions.

Meanwhile, trader set up pending orders in a 100-point range around the current rate were 56% to buy the Euro against the US Dollar.

By mid-Thursday, traders were still 64% short, but orders were only 54% to buy.

On Friday, the positions had not changed, as 64% were short, but orders were 54% to sell.

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