GBP/USD adjusts to US CPI and UK GDP

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
Initially, the US CPI was at the forecasts or slightly lower, which caused a drop of the US Dollar on Thursday at 12:30 GMT. However, then the markets realized that the data has showed first growth in 13-months. This caused a piercing of the resistance range and 1.2800 mark, before the pair started a decline.

The decline passed below the previously marked support range near 1.2680. However, the rate started a recovery near 1.2660. By doing so the rate revealed that the support range is wider than previously marked.

At 06:00 GMT, the United Kingdom published its monthly Gross Domestic Product data. The UK economy was expected to have grown by 0.2%. However, it turned out that the country has recovered in economic scale by 0.5%. The event caused a sharp surge of the GBP/USD of 0.22%. The surge was stopped by the 50-hour simple moving average near 1.2720.

Economic Calendar



On August 11, the markets will look at the US Producer Price Index at 12:30 GMT to analyse potential consumer price increases in the future.

Producers usually increase their prices in accordance with their own expense increases. Namely, they quite often investigate the consumer tolerance of price hikes by continuous increases until they spot a drop in volume. In the current environment some firms have reached this point.

GBP/USD short-term view

In regards to the near term future, the pair is set to face the resistance of the 50-hour SMA at 1.2720, before testing the combination of the 100 and 200-hour SMAs and the weekly simple pivot point at 1.2735/1.2745. In addition, the 1.2750 level could act as resistance. Higher above, take into account the 1.2783/1.2793 range and the 1.2820 level.

If the Pound declines in value against the US Dollar, support is expected to be found at 1.2667/1.2685, prior to the rate reaching the weekly S1 simple pivot point at 1.2618 and the 1.2600 mark.

Hourly Chart

GBP/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the rate has passed the support of the 1.2800 mark and the 50-day simple moving average. The levels turned into resistance at the start of the month. A move above the resistance could aim at the 1.3000 mark.

Most recently, the GBP/USD reached the support zone above 1.2600 and the 100-day simple moving average. A passing below these support levels could result in the rate looking for support in the 1.2300/1.2450 range and the 200-day simple moving average.
Daily chart


Traders are bullish on GBP


On Friday, open GBP/USD positions by Swiss Foreign Exchange traders were 62% long.

Meanwhile, trader pending orders in the 100 pip range around the rate were 62% to sell.

Actual Topics

Subscribe to "Fundamental Analysis" feed

Suscribir
Para conocer más sobre la plataforma de Trading de CFD y Forex de Dukascopy Bank, SWFX y otras informaciones relacionadas con el Trading,
llámenos o haga una solicitud de devolución de llamada.
Para obtener más información sobre la posible cooperación, por favor llámenos o haga una solicitud de devolución de llamada.
Para obtener más información sobre las opciones binarias de Dukascopy Bank / La plataforma de operaciones de Forex, SWFX y otra información relacionada con el Trading, por favor llámenos o solicite una devolución de llamada.
Para conocer más sobre la plataforma de Trading de CFD y Forex de Dukascopy Bank, SWFX y otras informaciones relacionadas con el Trading,
llámenos o haga una solicitud de devolución de llamada.
Para obtener más información acerca de la plataforma de operaciones Crypto Trading / CFD / Forex, SWFX y otra información relacionada con el comercio,
llámenos o realice una solicitud de devolución de llamada.
Para obtener más información sobre Business Introducer y otra información relacionada con el comercio,
llámenos o realice una solicitud de devolución de llamada.
Para obtener más información sobre la posible cooperación, por favor llámenos o haga una solicitud de devolución de llamada.