EUR/USD waits for CPI

Note: This section contains information in English only.
Source: Dukascopy Bank SA
The EUR/USD appears to be waiting for this week's US Consumer Price Index release by fluctuating near the 1.1000 mark. Note that the rate has been ignoring the 50, 100 and 200-hour simple moving averages and the weekly simple pivot point.

Economic Calendar Analysis



Watch out for the US Consumer Price Index at 12:30 GMT on Thursday. The inflation data will reveal whether the Fed is managing to fight inflation or not.

On August 11, the markets will look at the UK GDP for signs of recession at 06:00 GMT and the US Producer Price Index at 12:30 GMT to analyse potential consumer price increases in the future.

EUR/USD hourly chart

A decline might look for support in the 1.0935/1.0950 range, before reaching the weekly S1 simple pivot point at 1.0928. Further below, note the 1.0900 mark, the weekly S2 simple pivot point at 1.0853 and the 1.0850 level.

On the other hand, a recovery of the Euro against the US Dollar would face the 1.1000 mark, prior to testing the 1.1030/1.1045 range.

Hourly Chart

EUR/USD daily chart's review

On the daily candle chart, the pair has been declining since the attempt to pass above 1.1250. Previously, the currency pair reached the combined support of the 1.0950 level, the 50 and 100-day simple moving averages and the lower trend line of a channel up pattern.

Last week, it appeared that the support had partially failed, as the trend line was pierced. However, the moving averages were still acting as support. On Thursday, the moving averages also failed. It appears that the combination of the 1.0850 level and the 200-day SMA are the next target.
Daily chart




Traders are neutral

Since Thursday, the Swiss Foreign Exchange traders were 52% in long positions.

Meanwhile on Tuesday, trader set up pending orders in a 100-point range around the current rate were 52% to buy the Euro against the US Dollar.

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